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Reference Date: 22-August-2016

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Rice production in 2016 forecast down from 2015 record level

  2. Rice exports in 2016/17 marketing year to remain close to previous year’s level

Rice production in 2016 forecast down from 2015 record level

Harvesting of the 2016 first season rice crop, which accounts for about half of the annual output, concluded in June. While no official estimates are yet available, it is likely that production has declined with respect to the previous year, as sowings were some 20 percent below the 2015 level for the same season, due to exceptionally dry conditions at planting time. The dryness at the beginning of the season is also expected to have reduced yields. Planting of the second season rice crop concluded in July under favourable moisture conditions. While no official data is yet available with regard to the area sown, the favourable weather conditions could have permitted increased plantings to offset some of the first season reduction. A preliminary forecast puts the 2016 aggregate rice crop (first and second season) at 940 000 tonnes, 12 percent down from last year and the first decline in production since 2007.

Rice exports in 2016/17 marketing year to remain close to previous year’s level

Rice is the country’s second most important export commodity, after gold, with normally about half of the annual rice production being exported. Rice exports in the 2016/17 marketing year (January/December) are anticipated to remain close to the previous year’s level at about 510 000 tonnes.







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