Reference Date: 21-November-2014
FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT
2014 aggregate cereal production forecast to remain high
Cereal imports of 2014/15 marketing year forecast at average levels
2014 cereal production forecast to remain high
Harvesting of the 2014 paddy crop is currently underway and will continue until the end of November. FAO’s latest forecast points to a paddy harvest slightly below last year’s bumper output, at 10.6 million tonnes, as a result of a small decrease in plantings due to low prices at sowing time.
The 2014 winter wheat harvest, concluded in July, is estimated by FAO at 840 000 tonnes, slightly higher than the level of 2013 but over 100 000 tonnes higher than the average for 2009-2013.
Aggregate cereal production for 2014 is forecast at 11.6 million tonnes, close to last year’s level and above the average recorded for the period 2009-2013.
Cereal imports in 2014/15 marketing year (April/May) forecast at average levels
Total cereal imports in the 2014/15 marketing year (April/March) are forecast at around 26 million tonnes, covering 76 percent of total domestic cereal utilization. Annually, the country imports large quantities of maize (which is not produced domestically) of around 16 million tonnes and, on average, about 6 million tonnes of wheat. By contrast, relatively smaller volumes of rice, around 700 000 tonnes, are imported annually.