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Reference Date: 12-May-2015


  1. Wheat production 2015 forecast to increase

  2. Cereal imports in 2015/16 marketing year forecast at average levels

Wheat production 2015 forecast to increase

Harvesting of the 2015 mostly irrigated wheat crop has just started and is expected to continue until July. FAO forecasts this year’s wheat output at 860 000 tonnes, 3 percent above last year’s good level. This forecast is the result of a small expansion in area planted, as well as estimated higher yields, following overall favourable weather during the growing season. However, below-average rains and lower availability of water supplies in parts of Hokkaido Island, and prefectures of Tochigi, Saitama and Akita, is expected to result in slightly lower yields in these areas.

Planting of the 2015 rice crop, started in early April and will continue until the end of May. Early indications point to a slight decrease in the area planted, mainly reflecting the prevailing low prices in the market. Assuming favourable weather conditions for the growing season, FAO preliminarily forecasts the 2015 rice production at 10.5 million tonnes, around last year’s below-average output.

Cereal imports in 2015/16 marketing year (April/March) forecast close to average levels

Total cereal imports in the 2015/16 marketing year (April/March) are forecast at 25.4 million tonnes, covering some 65 percent of total domestic cereal utilization. Annually, the country imports large quantities of maize (which is not produced domestically) of around 15.5 million tonnes and, on average, 6.2 million tonnes of wheat. By contrast, relatively smaller volumes of rice, some 700 000 tonnes, are imported annually.

Relevant links:
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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