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Country Briefs

  Republic of Moldova

Reference Date: 19-December-2016

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Cereal production forecast to recover in 2016 after sharp drought‑induced decline in 2015

  2. Cereal exports in 2016/17 (July/June) anticipated to increase

  3. Prices of wheat and wheat flour decreased in November 2016

Cereal production forecast to recover in 2016 after sharp drought‑induced decline in 2015

FAO’s latest estimates of 2016 cereal production stand at 2.8 million tonnes, almost a 30 percent increase from the drought‑reduced level of the previous year. Most of the increase comes from wheat, output of which is estimated to rebound to 1.2 million tonnes in 2016.

Planting of the 2016 winter cereals finished by the beginning of November under satisfactory weather conditions. The winter crops have benefited from the above-average precipitations before entering the dormant phase. Despite the current poor snow cover, the conditions of winter crops remain satisfactory as the soil temperature at the tillering node depth remains well above the killing level (-15 degrees).

Cereal exports in 2016/17 (July/June) anticipated to increase

Following a 30 percent increase in total cereal production this year, exports are expected to increase to 615 000 tonnes in the 2016/17 (July/June) marketing year. The shipments of maize are expected to rise by 50 percent to 250 000 tonnes, while total wheat exports are forecast unchanged at 350 000 tonnes.

Prices of wheat and wheat flour decreased in November 2016

Due to a rebound in wheat production this year, prices for wheat declined by 6 percent in November. Prices of wheat flour decreased slightly, but were 20 percent above their levels in November 2015 following increasing flour production costs.

Prices of potatoes grew by 2 percent in November, following a smaller-than-expected harvest in 2016. However, at this level, prices were 40 percent lower than their year-earlier values, when a drastic decline in production in 2015 brought prices to all-time highs.