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Reference Date: 22-January-2015

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. White maize production in 2014 to reach record levels, wheat output to remain high

  2. Cereal imports in 2014/15 marketing year are expected to remain high

  3. White maize prices continued their decline in December, black bean prices unchanged

White maize production in 2014 to reach record levels, wheat output to remain high

Harvesting of the 2014 main season maize crop, spring-summer, is well advanced. Early official estimates point to a 6 percent increase over last year’s same season output. The increase reflects higher-than-expected yields which compensated for lower plantings in response to low prices at the beginning of the season. The 2014 maize aggregate (autumn-winter and spring-summer seasons) production is preliminarily estimated at a record level of almost 24 million tonnes.

Planting of the 2015 secondary season, autumn-winter, maize crop is currently underway and official estimates point to a sharp reduction in the area planted as a result of high carryover stocks following two consecutive years of good outputs.

The 2014 wheat output reached almost 3.7 million tonnes, or 5 percent above last year’s level and the five-year average, mainly as a result of favourable weather conditions during the season which resulted in higher yields.

Cereal imports in 2014/15 marketing year are expected to remain high

Despite the high level of cereal production in 2014, official forecasts point to only a slight decline in cereal imports during the 2014/15 marketing year (October/September). Cereal imports are expected to reach 16 million tonnes or 3 percent below the high level of 2013/14 but still well above the country’s five year average. High imports mainly reflect strong demand from the feed industry for yellow maize.

White maize prices continued their decline in December, black bean prices unchanged

White maize prices declined slightly for a third consecutive month in December 2014 and were at a four-year low. The declining trend reflects high supplies in the market and more recently the entry of new crop from the spring-summer 2014 harvest.

Black bean prices, by contrast, remained unchanged in December from their previous three months’ level and were 6 percent below their year-earlier values.









Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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