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Reference Date: 3-August-2016

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Cereal production in 2016 forecast at record level

  2. Cereal imports in 2016/17 marketing year are forecast at high level

  3. White maize prices were unchanged during first half of July, black bean prices increased

Cereal production in 2016 forecast at record level

Harvesting of the 2016 autumn/winter maize crop is well advanced, and early estimates point to an output of 6.7 million tonnes or 20 percent above the same season last year. Planting of the spring/summer maize crop is well underway, and area planted is expected to remain close to last year’s level. Aggregate maize production (autumn/winter and spring/summer crops) for 2016 is forecast at a record level of 25.7 million tonnes. Harvesting of the 2016 wheat crop is virtually concluded, and preliminary estimates point to output reaching 3.8 million tonnes or 2 percent above last year’s level and above the five‑year average. Given the good crops already harvested this year and in view of the favourable prospects so far for the spring/summer crops, total cereal production for 2016 is forecast at 36.5 million tonnes (paddy equivalent), a record level.

Cereal imports in 2016/17 marketing year are forecast at high level

Cereal imports in the 2016/17 marketing year (October/September) are anticipated to reach19.3 million tonnes or 8 percent above last year’s level and above the five‑year average. The increase mainly reflects higher maize imports for feed, which are expected to cover a third of domestic utilization. Wheat and rice imports are also forecast to increase moderately during the marketing year.

White maize prices were unchanged during first half of July, black bean prices increased

Maize prices remained unchanged in July, reflecting the entry to the market of product from the autumn/winter harvest. However, prices remained significantly above the same period last year, pressured by the weak local currency.

Black bean prices increased in July and were well above last year’s level, pressured by tight supplies from this year’s reduced harvest and the weak local currency.









Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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