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Reference Date: 21-Septemeber-2016

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Cereal production in 2016 forecast at record level

  2. Cereal imports in 2016/17 marketing year are forecast at high level

  3. White maize and black bean prices increased in August 2016

Cereal production in 2016 forecast at record level

Total cereal production for 2016 is forecast at 36.5 million tonnes (paddy equivalent), a record level. This follows the good output of the 2016 autumn/winter maize crop, harvested in August, which has been estimated at 6.7 million tonnes, 20 percent above the same season last year. The outlook for the spring/summer maize crop, recently planted, is also favourable as the area planted is estimated to have remained close to the last year’s good level. Aggregate maize production (autumn/winter and spring/summer crops) for 2016 is forecast at a record level of 25.7 million tonnes. Harvesting of the 2016 wheat crop concluded in July and preliminary estimates point to an output of 3.8 million tonnes, 2 percent above last year’s level and well above the five‑year average.

Cereal imports in 2016/17 marketing year are forecast at high level

Cereal imports in the 2016/17 marketing year (October/September) are anticipated to reach19.3 million tonnes, 8 percent above last year’s level and above the five‑year average. The increase mainly reflects higher maize imports for feed, which are expected to cover a third of domestic utilization. Wheat and rice imports are also forecast to increase moderately during the marketing year.

White maize and black bean prices increased in August

White maize prices increased in August after the completion of the 2016 autumn/winter harvest. Prices were above their levels in August last year due to the weak local currency and sustained export demand. A recent increase in fuel prices added to the upward pressure.

Black bean prices increased sharply in August, with seasonal trends exacerbated by the weak local currency and increased fuel costs.









Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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