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Reference Date: 22-September-2016


  1. Bumper 2016 summer cereal crops expected

  2. Rice exports forecast to increase in 2016

  3. Prices of wheat and wheat flour relatively stable

  4. Localized food insecurity persists

Bumper 2016 summer cereal crops expected

Harvesting of the 2016 summer (monsoon) season crops, including rice and maize, is currently underway and will continue until early December. FAO forecasts the 2016 paddy and maize outputs close to their 2015 levels at 10.3 million tonnes and 4.9 million tonnes, respectively. The good outputs are the result of generally favourable weather conditions during the cropping season, coupled with adequate water supply for irrigation and adequate availability of fertilizers.

The 2016, mostly irrigated, rabi’’ (winter) wheat crop, harvested by mid‑June, is officially estimated at 25.5 million tonnes, 2 percent above last year’s good level. A slight contraction in plantings was more than offset by higher yields achieved, as a result of good water availability in the main reservoirs and adequate supply of quality seeds, fertilizers and herbicides.

Rice exports forecast to increase in 2016

FAO anticipates that rice exports by Pakistan in 2016 will exceed the 2015 level by 7 percent and reach 4.4 million tonnes. Cumulative rice deliveries in the first seven months of 2016 are officially put at 2.5 million tonnes, up 13 percent from the same period in 2015.

Wheat exports for the 2016/17 marketing year (May/April) are forecast to increase from last year’s low level to 850 000 tonnes, in line with the 2016 overall good output and large carryover stocks.

Prices of wheat and wheat flour relatively stable

Prices of wheat and wheat flour, country’s main staple, were relatively stable in recent months, owing to adequate availabilities from the 2016 bumper output and high level of stocks.

Overall, food security conditions stable but concerns remain in Tharparkar District and northern Pakistan

Overall, the food supply situation is stable following consecutive years of good harvests and large carryover stocks of the main staples. However, food security concerns remain in some areas, particularly in Tharparkar District and northern Pakistan.

In Tharparkar District (southeastern Sindh province) and the surrounding areas of Sindh Province, where cereal production shortfalls due to drought for the third consecutive year, coupled with losses of small animals, especially sheep and goats, have aggravated food insecurity and caused acute malnutrition. Furthermore, recurrent floods since March 2016, which particularly hit Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province located in the northwestern part of the country, have exacerbated the food security situation of the affected population. The latest official assessments report losses of hundreds of lives, displacement of large numbers of people and severe damage to housing, infrastructure and agriculture in the most affected areas.

Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, located in northern Pakistan, are affected by large scale displacement due to recurrent insecurity. Authorities report that, as of early 2016, over 1 million people remained displaced in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

Relevant links:
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
 Crop and Food Security Assessment Mission (CFSAM) Reports & Special Alerts: 2001, 2000
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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