Reference Date: 14-June-2017
FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT
Wheat production in 2017 forecast close to 2016 high level
Cereal imports forecast to increase in 2017/18
Cereal output in 2017 expected at high level of last year
The 2017 winter crops, mainly wheat, are currently being harvested. According to the Ministry of Agriculture, the wheat-harvesting campaign started in the Ahal, Balkan, Lebap and Mary provinces on 7 June and in a few days it will start in the Dashoguz Province. Considering that the planting area remained at the same level of last year (760 000 hectares) and weather conditions were favourable during the growing period, the forecast for 2017 wheat output is set at 1.6 million tonnes, unchanged from last year’s above-average production. At this level, the country will be able to meet the expected domestic utilization requirements for wheat (expect for high quality wheat).
Cereal imports to increase slightly in 2017/18
Total cereal imports for the 2017/18 marketing year (July/June) are forecast at 126 000 tonnes, slightly above the previous year but close to five-year average. The increase in cereal imports comes from bigger purchases of rice, which are set at 45 000 tonnes this year. Imports of high-quality wheat are forecast at 80 000 tonnes (including wheat flour in wheat equivalent), unchanged from the last year’s average level.