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Reference Date: 31-March-2016

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Prospects for 2016 winter crops favourable

  2. Wheat production estimated above five‑year average in 2015

  3. Cereal imports decline in 2015/16, while exports increase to record level

Prospects for 2016 winter crops favourable

The 2016 winter wheat is in the early vegetative development stages after winter dormancy and the outlook for the harvest is positive following generally favourable weather conditions since the beginning of the cropping season. The area planted to winter wheat last autumn for harvest in 2016 is reported to have remained unchanged from the previous year, at about 760 000 hectares. At this early stage, assuming normal weather for the remainder of the season, FAO forecasts the country’s total cereal production in 2016 similar to last year’s level at about 1.6 million tonnes, of which 1.4 million tonnes would be wheat.

Wheat production estimated above five‑year average in 2015

The latest estimate of 2015 cereal production stands at 1.6 million tonnes, representing a growth of 14 percent from the previous year. Most of the increase is on account of an improved wheat output which is estimated at 1.4 million tonnes, 200 000 tonnes up from the 2014 level.

Cereal imports decline in 2015/16, while exports increase to record level

Total cereal imports for the 2015/16 marketing year are forecast at 111 million tonnes, 3 percent below last season and 17 percent below 2013/14. This reduction is mainly attributed to reduced rice purchases from the Russian Federation. Wheat imports are forecast to be unchanged from the last season at about 80 000 tonnes (including wheat flour in wheat equivalent), Kazakhstan remaining the main supplier of durum wheat.

By contrast, wheat exports are expected to reach a record level of 200 000 tonnes, reflecting a surplus supply after the good harvest.







Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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