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Analysis and Mapping of Impacts under Climate Change for Adaptation and Food Security (AMICAF)

Project design

Climate change impact studies can be disconnected from stakeholder decision making . At the same time climate change adaptation projects can lack a solid evidence base climate impacts and vulnerabilities.

To fill this information gap, FAO implemented a project named “Analysis and Mapping of Impacts under Climate Change for Adaptation and Food Security (AMICAF)”.

From 2012 to 2015, the Philippines and Peru were recipient countries of the project’s first phase.

AMICAF employs a multi-disciplinary assessment approach to address climate change impacts and adaptation planning to improve food security. The outputs of this project - support strategic planning, investments and decisions by national policy makers.

In the second phase of AMICAF (AMICAF-SSC), from 2015 to 2018, FAO is attempting to replicate the AMICAF approach through the South-South Cooperation scheme (SSC) in two new recipient countries: Indonesia and Paraguay.

The AMICAF framework consists of four components that can support recipient countries to address food insecurity resulting from climate change.


Component 1: Assessment of climate change impact on agriculture

Nation-wide assessment of projected impacts of climate change on agriculture at the sub-national scale for evidence-based adaptation planning.

Component 1 contributes to the following policy questions:

  • Are some regions more affected than other regions by temperature increase or precipitation increase/decrease?
  • Are some regions more affected than other regions by productivity changes?
  • Are some regions more affected than other regions by river flow changes?
     

Component 2: Vulnerability analysis

Food security vulnerability analysis at household level as the result of climate change and mapping of vulnerable locations and households

Characterizing vulnerability to food insecurity under climate change, and identifying variables associated with the highest levels of vulnerability.

Component 2 contributes to the following policy questions:

  • Are some regions more affected than other regions in terms of food security?
  • Should we allocate more resources to help more vulnerable regions adapt to climate change? 
     

Component 3: Enhanced capacities of vulnerable communities to adapt to climate change

Linking or integrating impact and vulnerability assessments (top-down) with community-based adaptation assessments/analyses (bottom-up).This Component is applicable only for Asian recipient countries (The Philippines and Indonesia).


Component 4: Guidance in support of adaptation planning

Facilitating governments to plan climate change adaptation, based on the information from Components 1, 2 and 3. The output also aims to support mechanism(s) to institutionalize impact assessments and vulnerability analysis, and subsequent adaptation planning for climate change and food security. This component is only applicable for Asian countries (The Philippines and Indonesia).