PARTE 1: texto principal

1 FAO. 2020. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2020. Los mercados agrícolas y el desarrollo sostenible: cadenas de valor mundiales, pequeños agricultores e innovaciones digitales. Roma, FAO.

2 Qiang, W., Niu, S., Liu, A., Kastner, T., Bie, Q., Wang, X. y Cheng, S. 2020. Trends in global virtual land trade in relation to agricultural products. Land Use Policy, 92: 104439.

3 Traverso, S. y Schiavo, S. 2020. Fair trade or trade fair? International food trade and cross-border macronutrient flows. World Development, 132: 104976.

4 Dalin, C., Wada, Y., Kastner, T. y Puma, M.J. 2017. Groundwater depletion embedded in international food trade. Nature, 543(7647): 700–704.

5 Rosa, L., Chiarelli, D.D., Tu, C., Rulli, M.C. y D’Odorico, P. 2019. Global Unsustainable virtual water flows in agricultural trade. Environmental Research Letters 14(2019): 114001.

6 Baylis, K., Heckelei, T. y Hertel, T.W. 2021. Agricultural Trade and Environmental Sustainability. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 13(1): 379–401.

7 Dorn, D. y Levell, P. 2022. Changing views on trade’s impact on inequality in wealthy countries. En: VoxEU.org. Londres. Consultado el 14 de febrero de 2022. https://voxeu.org/article/changing-views-trade-s-impact-inequality-wealthy-countries

8 Vidya, C.T., Prabheesh, K.P. y Sirowa, S. 2020. Is Trade Integration Leading to Regionalization? Evidence from Cross-Country Network Analysis. Journal of Economic Integration, 35(1): 10–38.

9 Xu, K. 2015. Why Are Agricultural Goods Not Traded More Intensively: High Trade Costs or Low Productivity Variation? The World Economy, 38(11): 1722–1743.

10 Schmidhuber, J. y Qiao, B. 2021. Surging trade, record import bills and rising food prices: how the international food system kept a lid on a global health crisis. En: Food Outlook - Biannual Report on Global Food Markets: June 2021, págs. 67-80. Roma, FAO.

11 Dellink, R., Dervisholli, E. y Nenci, S. 2020. A quantitative analysis of trends in agricultural and food global value chains (GVCs). Documento de antecedentes para El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2020. Roma, FAO.

12 Daugbjerg, C. y Swinbank, A. 2008. Curbing Agricultural Exceptionalism: The EU’s Response to External Challenge. The World Economy, 31(5): 631–652.

13 FAO. 2018. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2018. El comercio agrícola, el cambio climático y la seguridad alimentaria. Roma, FAO.

14 Bordo, M.D. 2017. The Second Era of Globalization is Not Yet Over: An Historical Perspective. Working Paper 23786. National Bureau of Economic Research.

15 Irwin, D. 2020. The pandemic adds momentum to the deglobalisation trend. En: VoxEU.org. Londres. Consultado el 21 de marzo de 2022. https://voxeu.org/article/pandemic-adds-momentum-deglobalisation-trend

16 Jafari, Y., Engemann, H. y Zimmermann, A. 2022. The evolution of the global structure of food and agricultural trade: Evidence from network analysis. Documento de antecedentes para El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2022. Roma, FAO.

17 Tombe, T. y Zhu, X. 2019. Trade, Migration, and Productivity: A Quantitative Analysis of China. American Economic Review, 109(5): 1843–1872.

18 Chen, L. y De Lombaerde, P. 2014. Testing the relationships between globalization, regionalization and the regional hubness of the BRICs. Journal of Policy Modeling, 36: S111–S131.

19 Iapadre, P.L. y Tajoli, L. 2014. Emerging countries and trade regionalization. A network analysis. Journal of Policy Modeling, 36: S89–S110.

20 Vidya, C.T., Prabheesh, K.P. y Sirowa, S. 2020. Is Trade Integration Leading to Regionalization? Evidence from Cross-Country Network Analysis. Journal of Economic Integration, 35(1): 10–38.

21 Sartori, M. y Schiavo, S. 2015. Connected we stand: A network perspective on trade and global food security. Food Policy, 57: 114–127.

22 FAO. 2020. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2020. Los mercados agrícolas y el desarrollo sostenible: cadenas de valor mundiales, pequeños agricultores e innovaciones digitales. Roma, FAO.

23 Aguiar, S., Texeira, M., Garibaldi, L.A. y Jobbágy, E.G. 2020. Global changes in crop diversity: Trade rather than production enriches supply. Global Food Security, 26: 100385.

24 Remans, R., Wood, S.A., Saha, N., Anderman, T.L. y DeFries, R.S. 2014. Measuring nutritional diversity of national food supplies. Global Food Security, 3(3): 174–182.

25 Wood, S., Smith, M., Fanzo, J., Remans, R. y DeFries, R. 2018. Trade and the equitability of global food nutrient distribution. Nature Sustainability, 1: 34–37.

26 Geyik, O., Hadjikakou, M., Karapinar, B. y Bryan, B.A. 2021. Does global food trade close the dietary nutrient gap for the world’s poorest nations? Global Food Security, 28: 100490.

27 FAO. 2018. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2018. El comercio agrícola, el cambio climático y la seguridad alimentaria. Roma, FAO.

28 Anderson, J.E. y van Wincoop, E. 2004. Trade Costs. Journal of Economic Literature, 42(3): 691–751.

29 Pomfret, R. y Sourdin, P. 2010. Why do trade costs vary? Review of World Economics, 146(4): 709–730.

30 Anderson, J.E. 2011. The Gravity Model. Annual Review of Economics, 3(1): 133–160.

31 Bergstrand, J.H. 1989. The Generalized Gravity Equation, Monopolistic Competition, and the Factor-Proportions Theory in International Trade. Review of Economics and Statistics, 71(1): 143–153.

32 Irwin, D.A. 2019. Does trade reform promote economic growth? A review of recent evidence. Working Paper 25927. National Bureau of Economic Research.

33 Staiger, R.W. 2021. A world trading system for the twenty-first century. Working Paper 28947. National Bureau of Economic Research.

34 Organización Mundial del Comercio (OMC). 2022. Regional trade agreements database. En: OMC. Ginebra (Suiza). Consultado el 13 de febrero de 2022. https://rtais.wto.org/UI/PublicMaintainRTAHome.aspx

35 Hallak, J.C. 2006. Product quality and the direction of trade. Journal of international Economics, 68(1): 238–265.

36 Bouët, A., Tadesse, G. y Zaki, C., eds. 2021. Africa Agriculture Trade Monitor 2021. Kigali y Washington, D.C., AKADEMIYA2063 e Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias.

37 Besedeš, T. y Prusa, T.J. 2011. The role of extensive and intensive margins and export growth. Journal of Development Economics, 96(2): 371–379.

38 FAO. 2020. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2020. Los mercados agrícolas y el desarrollo sostenible: cadenas de valor mundiales, pequeños agricultores e innovaciones digitales. Roma, FAO.

39 FAO. 2021. Agricultural trade and policy responses during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Rome, FAO.

40 Schmidhuber, J. y Qiao, B. 2021. Surging trade, record import bills and rising food prices: how the international food system kept a lid on a global health crisis. En: Food Outlook - Biannual Report on Global Food Markets: June 2021, págs. 67–80. Roma, FAO.

41 Arita, S., Grant, J., Sydow, S. y Beckman, J. 2022. Has global agricultural trade been resilient under coronavirus (COVID-19)? Findings from an econometric assessment of 2020. Food Policy, 107: 102204.

42 Cottrell, R.S., Nash, K.L., Halpern, B.S., Remenyi, T.A., Corney, S.P., Fleming, A., Fulton, E.A. et al. 2019. Food production shocks across land and sea. Nature Sustainability, 2(2): 130–137.

43 Remans, R., Wood, S.A., Saha, N., Anderman, T.L. y DeFries, R.S. 2014. Measuring nutritional diversity of national food supplies. Global Food Security, 3(3): 174–182.

44 Sartori, M. y Schiavo, S. 2015. Connected we stand: A network perspective on trade and global food security. Food Policy, 57: 114–127.

45 Allouche, J. 2011. The sustainability and resilience of global water and food systems: Political analysis of the interplay between security, resource scarcity, political systems and global trade. Food Policy, 36: S3–S8.

46 FAO. 2016. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2015-16. Comercio y seguridad alimentaria: lograr un mayor equilibrio entre las prioridades nacionales y el bien colectivo. Roma, FAO.

47 FAO. 2018. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2018. El comercio agrícola, el cambio climático y la seguridad alimentaria. Roma, FAO.

48 Torreggiani, S., Mangioni, G., Puma, M.J. y Fagiolo, G. 2018. Identifying the community structure of the food-trade international multi-network. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5): 054026.

49 Puma, M.J., Bose, S., Chon, S.Y. y Cook, B.I. 2015. Assessing the evolving fragility of the global food system. Environmental Research Letters, 10(2): 024007.

50 FAO, FIDA, FMI, OCDE, UNCTAD, PMA, Banco Mundial, OMC, IFPRI y ONU HLTF. 2011. Price Volatility in Food and Agricultural Markets: Policy Responses. Roma, FAO.

51 Kummu, M., Kinnunen, P., Lehikoinen, E., Porkka, M., Queiroz, C., Röös, E., Troell, M. et al. 2020. Interplay of trade and food system resilience: Gains on supply diversity over time at the cost of trade independency. Global Food Security, 24: 100360.

52 UNCTAD. 2019. Trade and vulnerability. Note by the UNCTAD Secretariat. TD/B/C.I/48.

53 Acemoglu, D., Carvalho, V.M., Ozdaglar, A. y Tahbaz-Salehi, A. 2012. The Network Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations. Econometrica, 80(5): 1977–2016.

54 Acemoglu, D., Ozdaglar, A. y Tahbaz-Salehi, A. 2015. Networks, shocks, and systemic risk. Working Paper 20931. National Bureau of Economic Research.

55 Lucas, R.E. 1977. Understanding business cycles. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 5: 7–29.

56 Jafari, Y., Engemann, H. y Zimmermann, A. 2022. The evolution of the global structure of food and agricultural trade: Evidence from network analysis. Documento de antecedentes elaborado para El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2022. Roma, FAO.

57 Torreggiani, S., Mangioni, G., Puma, M.J. y Fagiolo, G. 2018. Identifying the community structure of the food-trade international multi-network. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5): 054026.

58 Fajgelbaum, P. y Khandelwal, A. 2021. The economic impacts of the US-China trade war. Working Paper Series 29315. National Bureau of Economic Research.

PARTE 1: recuadros

59 Vidya, C.T., Prabheesh, K.P. y Sirowa, S. 2020. Is Trade Integration Leading to Regionalization? Evidence from Cross-Country Network Analysis. Journal of Economic Integration, 35(1): 10–38.

60 Chung, M.G., Kapsar, K., Frank, K.A. y Liu, J. 2020. The spatial and temporal dynamics of global meat trade networks. Scientific Reports, 10(1): 16657.

61 Gutiérrez-Moya, E., Adenso-Díaz, B. y Lozano, S. 2021. Analysis and vulnerability of the international wheat trade network. Food Security, 13(1): 113–128.

62 Torreggiani, S., Mangioni, G., Puma, M.J. y Fagiolo, G. 2018. Identifying the community structure of the food-trade international multi-network. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5): 054026.

63 Campi, M., Dueñas, M. y Fagiolo, G. 2021. Specialization in food production affects global food security and food systems sustainability. World Development, 141: 105411.

64 Distefano, T., Laio, F., Ridolfi, L. y Schiavo, S. 2018. Shock transmission in the International Food Trade Network. PLOS ONE, 13(8): e0200639.

65 Chiesi, A.M. 2001. Network Analysis. En: N.J. Smelser y P.B. Baltes, eds. International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences, págs. 10499–10502. Oxford (Reino Unido), Pergamon.

66 Marsden, P.V. 2015. Network Centrality, Measures of. In J.D. Wright, ed. International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences (2a Edición), págs. 532–539. Oxford (Reino Unido), Elsevier.

67 OMC. 2022. Regional trade agreements database. En: OMC. Londres. Consultado el 13 de febrero de 2022. https://rtais.wto.org/UI/PublicMaintainRTAHome.aspx

68 OMC. 2006. WTO General Council, Transparency Mechanism for Regional Trade Agreements, Decision of 14 December 2006.

69 FAO. 2016. Información actualizada sobre las negociaciones agrícolas en la OMC y los acuerdos comerciales regionales. Comité de Problemas de Productos Básicos. 71.º período de sesiones, 4-6 de octubre de 2016. CCP 16/INF/6. Roma, FAO. https://www.fao.org/3/mr112s/mr112s.pdf

70 UNCTAD. 2014. Regional Trade Agreements: Coverage of Trade in Agricultural Goods. Trade and Development Board. Sixty-first Session, 15–26 September 2014. TD/B/61/CRP.2. Ginebra (Suiza), UNCTAD. https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/tdb61crp2_en.pdf

71 Bhagwati, J. 1991. The world trading system at risk. Princeton (EE. UU.), Princeton University Press. 156 págs.

72 Bhagwati, J. 1993. Regionalism and multilateralism: An overview. En: J. de Melo y A. Panagariya, eds. New dimensions in regional integration, págs. 22-51. Cambridge University Press.

73 Sheldon, I.M., Chow, D.C.K. y McGuire, W. 2018. Trade liberalization and constraints on moves to protectionism: Multilateralism vs. regionalism. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 100(5): 1375–1390.

74 Grant, J.H. 2013. Is the growth of regionalism as significant as the headlines suggest? Lessons from agricultural trade. Agricultural Economics, 44(1): 93–109.

75 Karakoc, D.B. y Konar, M. 2021. A complex network framework for the efficiency and resilience trade-off in global food trade. Environmental Research Letters, 16(10): 105003.

76 Karakoc, D.B. y Konar, M. 2021. A complex network framework for the efficiency and resilience trade-off in global food trade. Environmental Research Letters, 16(10): 105003.

77 Puma, M.J., Bose, S., Chon, S.Y. y Cook, B.I. 2015. Assessing the evolving fragility of the global food system. Environmental Research Letters, 10(2): 024007.

78 Soffiantini, G. 2020. Food insecurity and political instability during the Arab Spring. Global Food Security, 26: 100400.

79 Gutiérrez-Moya, E., Adenso-Díaz, B. y Lozano, S. 2021. Analysis and vulnerability of the international wheat trade network. Food Security, 13(1): 113–128.

80 d’Amour, C.B., Wenz, L., Kalkuhl, M., Steckel, J.C. y Creutzig, F. 2016. Teleconnected food supply shocks. Environmental Research Letters, 11(3): 035007.

PARTE 2: texto principal

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82 Costinot, A., Donaldson, D. y Komunjer, I. 2012. What Goods Do Countries Trade? A Quantitative Exploration of Ricardo’s Ideas, Review of Economic Studies, 79(2): 581–608.

83 Fukase, E. y Martin W. 2016. Who Will Feed China in the 21st Century? Income Growth and Food Demand and Supply in China. Journal of Agricultural Economics 67 (1): 3–23.

84 FAO. 2020. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2020. Los mercados agrícolas y el desarrollo sostenible: cadenas de valor mundiales, pequeños agricultores e innovaciones digitales. Roma, FAO.

85 Deardorff, A.V. 1979. Weak Links in the Chain of Comparative Advantage. Journal of International Economics, 9: 197–209.

86 Beghin, J., Disdier, A.C., Marette, S., y Van Tongeren, F. 2012. Welfare costs and benefits of non-tariff measures in trade: A conceptual framework and application. World Trade Review, 11(3):356–375.

87 Porteous, O. 2019. High trade costs and their consequences: An estimated dynamic model of African agricultural storage and trade. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 11(4): 327–66.

88 Martin, W. 2018. A research agenda for international agricultural trade. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 40(1): 155–173.

89 Fuglie, K. 2015. Accounting for Growth in Global Agriculture. Bio-based and Applied Economics 4(3): 221–254.

90 Restuccia, D., Yang, D. T. y Zhu, X. 2008. Agriculture and aggregate productivity: A quantitative cross-country analysis. Journal of Monetary Economics, 55(2): 234–250.

91 Barrett, C.B. 2008. Smallholder market participation: Concepts and evidence from eastern and southern Africa. Food Policy, 33(4): 299–317.

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93 Adamopoulos, T. y Restuccia, D. 2014. The size distribution of farms and international productivity differences. American Economic Review, 104(6): 1667–97.

94 Barrett, C.B. 2008. Smallholder market participation: Concepts and evidence from eastern and southern Africa. Food Policy, 33(4): 299–317.

95 Donovan, K. 2021. The equilibrium impact of agricultural risk on intermediate inputs and aggregate productivity. Review of Economic Studies, 88(5): 2275–2307.

96 FAO. 2020. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2020. Los mercados agrícolas y el desarrollo sostenible: cadenas de valor mundiales, pequeños agricultores e innovaciones digitales. Roma, FAO.

97 Gollin, D., Parente, S. y Rogerson, R. 2002. The role of agriculture in development. American Economic Review, 92(2): 160–164.

98 Gollin, D., Parente, S.L. y Rogerson, R. 2007. The food problem and the evolution of international income levels. Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(4): 1230–1255.

99 Bureau, J.C., Guimbard, H. y Jean, S. 2019. Agricultural trade liberalisation in the 21st century: Has it done the business?. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 70(1): 3–25.

100 OMC, ITC y UNCTAD. 2021. World Tariff Profiles 2021. Ginebra (Suiza), OMC.

101 UNCTAD y Banco Mundial. 2018. The unseen impact of non-tariff measures: Insights from a new database, UNCTAD/DITC/TAB/2018/2.

102 Von Lampe, M., Deconinck, K. y Bastien, V. 2016. Trade-related international regulatory cooperation: A theoretical framework. OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 195, París, OCDE.

103 Gourdon, J., Stone, S. y van Tongeren, F. 2020. Non-tariff measures in agriculture. OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, No. 147. París, OCDE.

104 Lamy, Pascal. 2015. The new world of trade: The third Jan Tumlir Lecture. https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/174861/1/ecipe-jtpe-2015-01.pdf

105 Lamy, Pascal. 2016. The Changing landscape of international trade, The Frank D. Graham Lecture. https://pascallamyeu.files.wordpress.com/2017/02/2016-04-07-lamy-princeton-graham-lecture-final.pdf

106 UNCTAD y Banco Mundial. 2018. The unseen impact of non-tariff measures: Insights from a new database, UNCTAD/DITC/TAB/2018/2.

107 Cadot, O. y Gourdon, J. 2016. Non-tariff measures, preferential trade agreements and prices: New evidence. Review of World Economics, 152: 227–249.

108 Anderson, J. E. y Van Wincoop, E. 2004. Trade costs. Journal of Economic literature, 42(3): 691–751.

109 Disdier, A. C. y Head, K. 2008. The puzzling persistence of the distance effect on bilateral trade. Review of Economics and Statistics, 90(1): 37–48.

110 Hummels, D.L. y Schaur, G. 2013. Time as a trade barrier. American Economic Review, 103(7): 2935–59.

111 Tombe, T. 2015. The missing food problem: Trade, agriculture, and international productivity differences. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 7(3): 226–58.

112 Kozlowska, M.K., Rapsomanikis, G. y Zimmermann, A. 2022. Comparative advantage and trade costs in a Ricardian model of global food and agricultural trade. Documento de antecedentes elaborado para El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2022. Roma, FAO.

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115 Lendle, A., Olarreaga, M., Schropp, S. y Vézina, P.-L. 2016. There Goes Gravity: eBay and the Death of Distance. The Economic Journal, 126(591): 406–441.

116 Tombe, T. 2015. The missing food problem: Trade, agriculture, and international productivity differences. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 7(3): 226–58.

117 Sotelo, S. 2020. Domestic trade frictions and agriculture. Journal of Political Economy, 128(7): 2690–2738.

118 Rivera-Padilla, A. 2020. Crop choice, trade costs, and agricultural productivity. Journal of Development Economics 146: 102517.

PARTE 2: recuadros

119 Dithmer, J. y Abdulai, A. 2017. Does trade openness contribute to food security? A dynamic panel analysis. Food Policy, 69: 218–230.

120 FAO. 2016. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2015-16. Comercio y seguridad alimentaria: lograr un mayor equilibrio entre las prioridades nacionales y el bien colectivo. Roma, FAO.

121 Remans, R., Wood, S.A., Saha, N., Anderman, T.L. y DeFries, R.S. 2014. Measuring nutritional diversity of national food supplies. Global Food Security, 3(3): 174–182.

122 FAO. 2016. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2015-16. Comercio y seguridad alimentaria: lograr un mayor equilibrio entre las prioridades nacionales y el bien colectivo. Roma, FAO.

123 FAO. 2018. Trade and nutrition technical note. Trade policy technical note No. 21. Roma, FAO.

124 FAO. 2018. Trade and nutrition technical note. Trade policy technical note No. 21. Roma, FAO.

125 Mary, S. 2019. Hungry for free trade? Food trade and extreme hunger in developing countries. Food Security, 11(2): 461–477.

126 Dithmer, J. y Abdulai, A. 2017. Does trade openness contribute to food security? A dynamic panel analysis. Food Policy, 69: 218–230.

127 FAO. 2016. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2015-16. Comercio y seguridad alimentaria: lograr un mayor equilibrio entre las prioridades nacionales y el bien colectivo. Roma, FAO.

128 Mary, S. 2019. Hungry for free trade? Food trade and extreme hunger in developing countries. Food Security, 11(2): 461–477.

129 Tadesse, G., Algieri, B., Kalkuhl, M. y von Braun, J. 2014. Drivers and triggers of international food price spikes and volatility. Food Policy, 47: 117–128.

130 Anderson, K. y Nelgen, S. 2012. Trade Barrier Volatility and Agricultural Price Stabilization. World Development, 40(1): 36–48.

131 Anderson, K., Rausser, G. y Swinnen, J. 2013. Political Economy of Public Policies: Insights from Distortions to Agricultural and Food Markets. Journal of Economic Literature, 51(2): 423–477.

132 Rude, J. y An, H. 2015. Explaining grain and oilseed price volatility: The role of export restrictions. Food Policy, 57: 83–92.

133 Aguiar, S., Texeira, M., Garibaldi, L.A. y Jobbágy, E.G. 2020. Global changes in crop diversity: Trade rather than production enriches supply. Global Food Security, 26: 100385.

134 Remans, R., Wood, S.A., Saha, N., Anderman, T.L. y DeFries, R.S. 2014. Measuring nutritional diversity of national food supplies. Global Food Security, 3(3): 174–182.

135 Wood, S., Smith, M., Fanzo, J., Remans, R. y DeFries, R. 2018. Trade and the equitability of global food nutrient distribution. Nature Sustainability, 1.

136 Geyik, O., Hadjikakou, M., Karapinar, B. y Bryan, B.A. 2021. Does global food trade close the dietary nutrient gap for the world’s poorest nations? Global Food Security, 28: 100490.

137 Anderson, J.E. y van Wincoop, E. 2004. Trade Costs. Journal of Economic Literature, 42(3): 691–751.

138 Novy, D. 2013. Gravity redux: Measuring international trade costs with panel data. Economic inquiry, 51(1): 101–121. ESCAP-World Bank Trade Cost Database. https://www.unescap.org/resources/escap-world-bank-trade-cost-database#

139 Jacks, D.S., Meissner, C.M. y Novy, D. 2008. Trade Costs, 1870-2000. American Economic Review, 98(2): 529–34.

140 Tinbergen, J. 1962. Shaping the World Economy; Suggestions for an International Economic Policy. The Twentieth Century Fund, New York (EE. UU.).

141 Irwin, D.A. 2019. Does Trade Reform Promote Economic Growth? A Review of Recent Evidence. National Bureau of Economic Research.

142 Martin, W. 2018. A Research Agenda for International Agricultural Trade. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 40(1): 155–173.

143 FAO. 2018. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2018. El comercio agrícola, el cambio climático y la seguridad alimentaria. Roma, FAO.

144 Gutierrez, L. 2002. Why is agricultural labour productivity higher in some countries than others? Agricultural Economics Review, 3(1): 58–72.

145 Hart, J., Miljkovic, D. y Shaik, S. 2015. The impact of trade openness on technical efficiency in the agricultural sector of the European Union. Applied Economics, 47(12): 1230–1247.

146 Fleming, D.A. y Abler, D.G. 2013. Does agricultural trade affect productivity? Evidence from Chilean farms. Food Policy, 41: 11–17.

147 Olper, A., Curzi, D. y Raimondi, V. 2017. Imported Intermediate Inputs and Firms’ Productivity Growth: Evidence from the Food Industry. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 68(1): 280–300.

148 FAO. 2020. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2020. Los mercados agrícolas y el desarrollo sostenible: cadenas de valor mundiales, pequeños agricultores e innovaciones digitales. Roma, FAO.

149 Montalbano, P. y Nenci, S. 2020. The effects of global value chain (GVC) participation on the economic growth of the agricultural and food sectors. Documento de antecedentes elaborado para El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2020. Roma, FAO.

150 Farrokhi, F. y Pellegrina, H.S. 2020. Global Trade and Margins of Productivity in Agriculture. National Bureau of Economic Research.

151 Artuc, E., Porto, G. y Rijkers, B. 2019. Household impacts of tariffs: Data and results from agricultural trade protection. Policy Research Working Papers. Washington, D.C., Banco Mundial.

152 Aguayo-Téllez, E. 2011. The impact of trade liberalization policies and FDI on gender inequality: A literature review. Background Paper for the World Development Report 2012.

153 Giovannetti, G., Sanfilippo, M. y Vivoli, A. 2021. Trade liberalization, employment, and gender in Ethiopia, WIDER Working Paper, No. 2021/59, The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER), Helsinki.

154 FAO. 2020. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2020. Los mercados agrícolas y el desarrollo sostenible: cadenas de valor mundiales, pequeños agricultores e innovaciones digitales. Roma, FAO.

PARTE 3: texto principal

155 Allan, T. 1997. ‘Virtual water’: A long term solution for water short Middle Eastern countries? Paper presented at the 1997 British Association Festival of Science, Roger Stevens Lecture Theatre, University of Leeds, Water and Development Session - TUE.51, 14.45, 9 September 1997.

156 Davis, D.R. y D. E. Weinstein. 2001. The Factor Content of Trade, NBER Working Paper No. 8637.

157 Chen, B., Han, M., Peng, K., Zhou, S., Shao, L., Wu, X., Wei, W., et al. 2018. Global land-water nexus: Agricultural land and freshwater use embodied in worldwide supply chains. Science of the Total Environment 613–614, 931–943.

158 Fracasso, A. 2014. A gravity model of virtual water trade. Ecological Economics 108: 215–228.

159 Schiavo, S. 2022. International (Food) Trade and Natural Resources. Documento de antecedentes elaborado para El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2022. Roma, FAO.

160 Delbourg, E. & Dinar, S. 2020. The globalization of virtual water flows: Explaining trade patterns of a scarce resource. World Development, 131, 104917.

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166 Graham, N.T., Hejazi, M.I., Kim, S.H., Davies, E.G., Edmonds, J.A., y Miralles-Wilhelm, F. 2020. Future changes in the trading of virtual water. Nature Communications, 11(1):1–7.

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168 Tunietti, M., Ridolfi, L. y Laio, F. 2020. Charting out the future agricultural trade and its impact on water resources. Science of the Total Environment 714, 136626.

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171 Dalin, C. y Rodríguez-Iturbe, I. 2016 Environmental impacts of food trade via resource use and greenhouse gas emissions. Environmental Research Letters, 11(3), 035012.

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173 Zhang, J., Zhao, N., Liu, X. y Liu, Y. 2016. Global virtual-land flow and saving through international cereal trade. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 26(5): 619-639.

174 Fader, M., Gerten, D., Thammer, M., Heinke, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Lucht, W. y Cramer, W. 2011. Internal and external green-blue agricultural water footprints of nations, and related water and land savings through trade. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15: 1641–1660.

175 Fader, M., Gerten, D., Thammer, M., Heinke, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Lucht, W. y Cramer, W. 2011. Internal and external green-blue agricultural water footprints of nations, and related water and land savings through trade. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15: 1641–1660.

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180 Rosa, L., Chiarelli, D.D., Tu, C., Rulli, M.C. y D’Odorico, P. 2019. Global unsustainable virtual water flows in agricultural trade. Environmental Research Letters 14(11), 114001.

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184 Chaudhary, A. y Brooks, T.M. 2019. National Consumption and Global Trade Impacts on Biodiversity. World Development, 121: 178–187.

185 FAO y PNUMA. 2020. El estado de los bosques del mundo 2020. Los bosques, la biodiversidad y las personas. Roma, FAO.

186 Green, J.M.H., Crofta, S.A., Durán, A.P., Balmford, A.P., Burgess, N.D., Fick, S., Gardner, T.A., et al. 2019. Linking global drivers of agricultural trade to on-the-ground impacts on biodiversity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116(46), 23202–23208.

187 FAO y PNUMA. 2020. El estado de los bosques del mundo 2020. Los bosques, la biodiversidad y las personas. Roma, FAO.

188 Gardner, T.A., Benzie, M., Börner, J., Dawkins, E., Fick, S., Garrett, R., Godar, J., et al. 2019. Transparency and sustainability in global commodity supply chains. World Development, 121: 163–177.

189 FAO y PNUMA. 2020. El estado de los bosques del mundo 2020. Los bosques, la biodiversidad y las personas. Roma, FAO.

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199 Bellmann, C., y van der Ven, C. 2020. Greening regional trade agreements on non-tariff measures through technical barriers to trade and regulatory co-operation. OECD Trade and Environment Working Papers, No. 2020/04. París, OCDE.

200 Howse, R. 2016. The World Trade Organization 20 years on: Global governance by judiciary, European Journal of International Law, 27(1): 9–77.

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203 Yamaguchi, S. 2020. Greening regional trade agreements: Subsidies related to energy and environmental goods. OECD Trade and Environment Working Papers, No. 2020/01, París, OCDE.

204 Mattoo, A., Nadia R. y Michele, R. 2020. Handbook of Deep Trade Agreements. Washington, D.C., Banco Mundial.

205 Monteiro, J. A. 2016. Typology of environment-related provisions in regional trade agreements. WTO Working Paper ERSD-2016- 13, Ginebra (Suiza), OMC.

206 Morin, J., Blümer, D., Brandi, C. y Berger, A. 2019. Kick-starting diffusion: Explaining the varying frequency of preferential trade agreements’ environmental provisions by their initial conditions. The World Economy, 42(9), 2602–2628.

207 Mattoo, A., Nadia R., y Michele, R. 2020. Handbook of Deep Trade Agreements. Banco Mundial. Washington, D.C.

208 Monteiro, J. y Trachtman, J. 2020. Environmental Laws. En: A. Mattoo, M. Rocha y N. Ruta, eds. Handbook of Deep Trade Agreements. Washington, D.C., Banco Mundial.

209 Brandi, C., Schwab, J., Berger, A. y Morin, J. 2020. Do environmental provisions in trade agreements make exports from developing countries greener? World Development, 129, 104899.

210 Mattoo, A., Nadia R. y Michele, R. 2020. Handbook of Deep Trade Agreements. Washington, D.C., Banco Mundial.

211 Yanai, A. 2014. Environmental provisions in Japanese regional trade agreements with developing countries. IDE Discussion Paper No. 467.

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214 PNUMA. 2007. Trade-Related Measures and Multilateral Environmental Agreements. Nairobi, PNUMA.

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216 Mattoo, A., Nadia R., y Michele, R. 2020. Handbook of Deep Trade Agreements. Washington, D.C., Banco Mundial.

217 Monteiro, J.A. 2016. Typology of environment-related provisions in regional trade agreements. WTO Working Paper ERSD-2016- 13, Ginebra (Suiza), OMC.

218 PNUE. 2019. Guidelines for Conducting Integrated Environmental Assessments. Nairobi, PNUE.

219 Moïsé, E. y Rubínová, S. 2021. Sustainability impact assessments of free trade agreements: A critical review. OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 255, París, OCDE.

220 Yong B. y Qiang B. 2014. Chapter 17 - Environmental Impact Assessment. Subsea Pipeline Integrity and Risk Management. Gulf Professional Publishing, 363–376.

221 Marceddu, M. 2018. Implementing transparency and public participation in FTA negotiations: Are the times a-Changin’? Journal of International Economic Law, 21(3): 681–702.

222 Brandi, C., Schwab, J., Berger, A. y Morin, J. 2020. Do environmental provisions in trade agreements make exports from developing countries greener? World Development, 129, 104899.

223 Baghdadi, L., Martinez-Zarzoso, I. y Zitouna, H. 2013. Are RTA agreements with environmental provisions reducing emissions? Journal of International Economics. Vol. 90, Issue 2, pp 378–390.

224 Abman, R., Lundberg, C. y Ruta, M. 2021.The effectiveness of environmental provisions in regional trade agreements. Washington, D.C., Banco Mundial.

225 Schiavo, S. 2022. International (Food) Trade and Natural Resources. Documento de antecedentes para El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2022. Roma, FAO.

226 Brandi, C., Schwab, J., Berger, A. y Morin, J. 2020. Do environmental provisions in trade agreements make exports from developing countries greener? World Development, 129, 104899.

227 Heyl, K., Ekardt, F., Roos, P., Stubenrauch, J., y Garske, B. 2021. Free trade, environment, agriculture, and plurilateral treaties: The ambivalent example of Mercosur, CETA, and the EU–Vietnam Free Trade Agreement. Sustainability. 13(6):3153.

228 Abman, R., Lundberg, C. y Ruta, M. 2021. The effectiveness of environmental provisions in Regional Trade Agreements. Policy Research Working Paper 9601.Washington, D.C., Banco Mundial.

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232 FAO. 2020. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2020. Los mercados agrícolas y el desarrollo sostenible: cadenas de valor mundiales, pequeños agricultores e innovaciones digitales. Roma, FAO.

233 Von Hagen, O. y Alvarez, G. 2011. The interplay of public and private standards: Literature review series on the impacts of private standards, Part III. Ginebra (Suiza), Centro de Comercio Internacional.

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281 Crawford, J.-A. y Laird, S. 2001. Regional trade agreements and the WTO. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 12(2): 193–211.

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296 Sarker, R. y Jayasinghe, S. 2007. Regional trade agreements and trade in agri-food products: evidence for the European Union from gravity modeling using disaggregated data. Agricultural Economics, 37(1): 93–104.

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324 Wheeler, T. y von Braun, J. 2013. Climate Change Impacts on Global Food Security. Science, 341(6145): 508–513.

325 Ahammad, H., Heyhoe, E., Nelson, G., Sands, R., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., van der Mensbrugghe, D., et al. 2015. The role of international trade under a changing climate: Insights from global economic modelling. En: A. Elbehri, ed. Climate change and food systems: global assessments and implications for food security and trade. Roma, FAO.

326 Baldos, U.L.C. y Hertel, T.W. 2015. The role of international trade in managing food security risks from climate change. Food Security, 7(2): 275–290.

327 FAO. 2018. El estado de los mercados de productos básicos agrícolas 2018. El comercio agrícola, el cambio climático y la seguridad alimentaria. Roma, FAO.

328 Havlík, P., Valin, H., Gusti, M., Schmid, E., Leclère, D., Forsell, N., Herrero, M., et al. 2015. Climate Change Impacts and Mitigation in the Developing World. Policy Research Working Paper. Banco Mundial.

329 Janssens, C., Havlík, P., Krisztin, T., Baker, J., Frank, S., Hasegawa, T., Leclère, D., et al. 2020. Global hunger and climate change adaptation through international trade. Nature Climate Change, 10(9): 829–835.

330 Von Lampe, M., Willenbockel, D., Ahammad, H., Blanc, E., Cai, Y., Calvin, K., Fujimori, S., et al. 2014. Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model IntercomParíson. Agricultural Economics, 45(1): 3–20.

331 Nelson, G.C., Valin, H., Sands, R.D., Havlík, P., Ahammad, H., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., et al. 2014. Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(9): 3274–3279.

332 Gouel, C. y Laborde, D. 2021. The crucial role of domestic and international market-mediated adaptation to climate change. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 106: 102408.

333 Costinot, A., Donaldson, D. y Smith, C. 2016. Evolving comparative advantage and the impact of climate change in agricultural markets: Evidence from 1.7 million fields around the world. Journal of Political Economy, 124(1): 205–248.

334 Stevanović, M., Popp, A., Lotze-Campen, H., Dietrich, J.P., Müller, C., Bonsch, M., Schmitz, C., et al. 2016. The impact of high-end climate change on agricultural welfare. Science Advances, 2(8): e1501452;

335 Wiebe, K., Lotze-Campen, H., Sands, R., Tabeau, A., Mensbrugghe, D. van der, Anne Biewald, Bodirsky, B., et al. 2015. Climate change impacts on agriculture in 2050 under a range of plausible socioeconomic and emissions scenarios. Environmental Research Letters, 10(8): 085010.

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338 Nordhaus, W. 2019. Climate change: The ultimate challenge for economics. American Economic Review, 109(6), 1991–2014.

339 Rosenzweig, C., Mbow, C., Barioni, L.G., Benton, T.G., Herrero, M., Krishnapillai, M., Liwenga, E.T., et al. 2020. Climate change responses benefit from a global food system approach. Nature Food, 1(2): 94–97.

340 Escobar, N., Tizado, E.J., zu Ermgassen, E.K.H.J., Löfgren, P., Börner, J. y Godar, J. 2020. Spatially-explicit footprints of agricultural commodities: Mapping carbon emissions embodied in Brazil’s soy exports. Global Environmental Change, 62: 102067.

341 Kortum, S.S., y Weisbach, D.A. 2021. Optimal unilateral carbon policy. Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2659.

342 Nordhaus, W. 2015. Climate clubs: Overcoming free-riding in international climate policy. American Economic Review, 105(4), 133970.

PARTE 4: recuadros

343 FAO, FIDA, OIM y PMA. 2018. The linkages between migration, agriculture, food security and rural development. Roma, FAO.

344 Teignier, M. 2018. The role of trade in structural transformation. Journal of Development Economics, 130:45–65.

345 Timmer, C. P. y Akkus, S. 2008. The structural transformation as a pathway out of poverty: analytics, empirics and politics. Center for Global Development Working Paper, 150.

346 Gardner, B.L. 2002. American agriculture in the twentieth Century: How it flourished and what it cost. Cambridge, MA (EE. UU.), Harvard University Press.

347 Nakuja, T. 2018. Do WTO commitments restrict the policy space of countries wishing to provide food security through stockholding programs? Journal of World Trade, 52(6).

348 Thow, A.M., Sharma, S.K. y Rachmi, C.N. 2019. An analysis of Indonesia’s shrinking food security policy space under the WTO. Food Security, 11(6): 1275–1287.

349 FAO, PNUD y PNUMA. 2021. A multi-billion-dollar opportunity – Repurposing agricultural support to transform food systems. Roma, FAO.

350 FAO, FIDA, UNICEF, PMA y OMS. 2022. The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2022. Roma, FAO.

351 Zimmermann A. y Rapsomanikis, G. 2021. Trade and Sustainable Food Systems. Food Systems Summit Brief Prepared by the Research Partners of the Scientific Group for the United Nations Food Systems Summit.

352 Chauffour, J.P. y Maur, J.C. 2011. Beyond market access. In Chauffour, J. P., & Maur, J. C. eds. Preferential trade agreement policies for development: A handbook. Washington, D.C., Banco Mundial.

353 Maggi, G. y Ossa, R. 2020. Are trade agreements good for you? Working Paper 27252. National Bureau of Economic Research.

354 Rodrik, D. 2021. Why does globalization fuel populism? Economics, culture and the rise of right-wing populism. Annual Review of Economics, 13:133–170.

355 Maggi, G. y Ossa, R. 2020. The political economy of deep integration. Annual Review of Economics, 13:19–38.

356 Rodrik, D. 2018. What do trade agreements really do? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 32(2): 73–90.

357 Young, A.R. 2016. Not your parents’ trade politics: the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership negotiations. Review of International Political Economy, 23(3): 345–378.

358 Young, A.R. 2016. Not your parents’ trade politics: the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership negotiations. Review of International Political Economy, 23(3): 345–378.

359 Treat, S.A. 2020. Standards at stake: US-UK trade deal risks lower food standards. Institute for Agriculture and Trade Policy. En: Institute for Agriculture & Trade Policy. Consultado el 22 de marzo de 2022. https://www.iatp.org/blog/202003/standards-stake-us-uk-trade-deal-risks-lower-food-standards

360 Poppy, G. M., Baverstock, J. y Baverstock-Poppy, J. 2019. Meeting the demand for meat – Analysing meat flows to and from the UK pre- and post-Brexit. Commentary. Trends in Food Science & Technology 86: 569–578.

361 Maggi, G. y Ossa, R. 2020. Are trade agreements good for you? Working Paper 27252. National Bureau of Economic Research.

362 FAO y AUC. 2021. Framework for boosting intra-African trade in agricultural commodities and services. Addis Abeba, FAO y AUC.

363 Trade Law Centre. 2022. Status of AfCFTA Ratification. En: TRALAC Infographics. Consultado el 20 de abril de 2022. https://www.tralac.org/resources/infographic/13795-status-of-afcfta-ratification.html

364 FMI. 2019. Is the African Continental Free Trade Area a game changer for the continent? Chapter 3 in IMF. Regional economic outlook. Sub-Saharan Africa: recovery amid elevated uncertainty. Washington, D.C., FMI.

365 Comisión Económica para África (CEPA). 2018. An empirical assessment of AfCFTA modalities on goods. Addis Abeba, CEPA.

366 CEPA y TradeMark East Africa. 2020. Creating a unified regional market. Towards the implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area in East Africa. CEPA.

367 FAO y AUC. 2021. Framework for boosting intra-African trade in agricultural commodities and services. Addis Abeba, FAO y AUC.

368 Banco Mundial. 2020. The African Continental Free Trade Area: Economic and Distributional Effects. Washington, D.C., Banco Mundial.

369 Viljoen, W. 2018. Intra-Africa agricultural trade: an overview. Trade Law Centre Annual Conference 2018. AfCFTA: Africa’s opportunity.

370 Bouët, A., Tadesse, G. y Zaki, C., eds. 2021. Africa Agriculture Trade Monitor 2021. AKADEMIYA2063 and International Food Policy Research Institute. Kigali y Washington, D.C.

371 Banco Asiático de Desarrollo. 2020. Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership: Overview and economic impact. ADB Briefs. No. 164.

372 UNCTAD. 2021. A new centre of gravity: Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership and its trade effects. Ginebra (Suiza), UNCTAD.

373 Flach, L., Hildenbrand, H.-M. y Teti, F. 2021. The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement and its expected effects on world trade. Intereconomics, 56(2): 92–98.

374 Liu, Y., Chen, X. y Tian, Y. 2022. Modelling the impact of RCEP agreement on the economic and trade environment of Beijing. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 2022: e9237940.

375 Gupta, S. y Ganguly, S. 2020. Why India refused to join the world’s biggest trading bloc. En: Foreign Policy. Consultado el 25 de abril de 2022. https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/11/23/why-india-refused-to-join-rcep-worlds-biggest-trading-bloc/?gclid=CjwKCAjwjZmTBhB4EiwAynRmD7k8oXCmKFKBrZNSUGAxWpdj3jEUqICejQcYN05M_FtkimaQf1y8aBoCzysQAvD_BwE

376 Mishra, R. 2019. Why India pulled out of the RCEP free trade deal. En: Deutsche Welle. Consultado el 25 de abril de 2022. https://www.dw.com/en/why-india-pulled-out-of-the-rcep-free-trade-deal/a-51137128

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