FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - June 2004 p.38
The FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission estimated the 2004 cereal production at 1.84 million tonnes, 14 percent below last year’s near-normal level. Imports of maize will be necessary in the 2003/04 marketing year because of the satisfactory production and unprecedented levels of maize carry-over stocks, however, some amounts of cross-border maize imports are expected. Imports of cereals are estimated at 408 000 tonnes, of which maize accounts for 358 000 tonnes for 2004/05 marketing year. Food aid of 50 000 tonnes is recommended.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2004/05 MARKETING YEAR (April/March) | ||||
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
| [ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
| Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | 1 | 88 | 2 052 | 2 141 |
| Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | 2 | 88 | 2 102 | 2 192 |
| Previous year imports | 59 | 2 | 43 | 104 |
| Previous five years average imports | 45 | 2 | 161 | 208 |
| 2004/05 Domestic Availability | 2 | 43 | 1 768 | 1 812 |
| 2004 Production (incl. paddy rice) | 2 | 66 | 1 768 | 1 836 |
| 2004 Production (incl. milled rice) | 2 | 43 | 1 768 | 1 812 |
| Possible stock drawdown | - | - | - | - |
| 2004/05 Utilization | 60 | 43 | 2 118 | 2 221 |
| Food use | 60 | 40 | 1 726 | 1 825 |
| Non-food use | - | 3 | 339 | 342 |
| Exports or re-exports | - | - | - | - |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | 53 | 53 |
| 2004/05 Import Requirement | 58 | - | 350 | 408 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 58 | - | 300 | 358 |
| of which: received or contracted | - | - | 5 | 5 |
| Food aid needs | - | - | 50 | 50 |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | - | - | 9 | 9 |
| of which: delivered | - | - | - | - |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | - | 5 | 5 |
| of which: for local use | - | - | 5 | 5 |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 5 | 3 | 145 | 153 |
| Indexes | [ | Percentage | ] | |
| 2004 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | 85 | 75 | 84 | 84 |
| 2004/05 Import requirement compared to average | 130 | - | 217 | 196 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake | 58 | |||
| Additional Information | ||||
| Major foodcrops | maize; pulses; roots; tubers; rice | |||
| Lean season | February-March | |||
| Population (000s) | 11 938 | |||
| GNI per capita in 2002 (US$) | 160 | |||