BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Area: 784 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry; coast is semi-arid
Population: 16 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 80 (1994)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; exposed to tropical storms and cyclones
Logistics: Dilapidated rail and road transport fleet; lack of fuel and spares; poor roads; substantial deliveries by coastal vessels; disruption by guerrillas
Major foodcrops: Roots, tubers, maize
Marketing year: April/March; Lean season: February-March
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 53 percent
CURRENT SITUATION
Harvesting of the 1995/96 main crop is virtually complete in most parts of the country. Reflecting above-average rainfall, total cereal output is estimated at an above-average 1.4 million tons, 22 percent above last year. Maize production is estimated at 947 000 tons, 29 percent higher than last year. The output of sorghum and millet is forecast at 289 000 tons, some 4 percent higher than the previous year. Paddy output is forecast at 139 400 tons, 23 percent above 1994/95. Cassava production (fresh roots) is estimated at some 4.7 million tons, some 13 percent higher than in 1994/95, whilst the output of beans is expected to reach some 140 000 tons.
The food supply situation in the 1996/97 marketing year is expected to improve considerably. As in the previous marketing year, provinces in the north and the centre are expected to be largely self-sufficient in basic foodstuffs and will even generate higher marketable surpluses of maize.
A recent FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission to the country estimated total cereal import requirement of 300 000 tons in 1996/97, 33 percent below the same period in 1995/96. Some 154 000 people will need approximately 25 000 tons of maize and 2 200 tons of pulses as emergency food assistance during the 1996/97 marketing year. Most of the emergency food aid requirement could be met with local purchases in surplus areas, mainly in the provinces of Cabo Delgado, Nampula, Zambezia, Manica, Niassa and Tete. Donors are urged to make efforts to purchase these surpluses early in the marketing year. So far, pledges amount to 122 000 tons, of which 35 000 tons have been delivered.
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse grains | Total | |
| Normal production | - | 33 | 458 | 491 |
| Normal imports (incl. re-exports) | 102 | 60 | 244 | 406 |
| of which: Structural food aid | 102 | 52 | 408 | 562 |
| 1996 Production | - | 93 | 1 235 | 1 328 |
| 1996/97 Utilization | 140 | 176 | 1 312 | 1 628 |
| Food use | 133 | 161 | 1 141 | 1 435 |
| of which: Local purchase requirements | - | - | (7) | (7) |
| Non-food use | 7 | 7 | 159 | 173 |
| Possible stock build-up | - | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| 1996/97 Import Requirement | 140 | 83 | 77 | 300 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 70 | 60 | 10 | 140 |
| Food aid needs | 70 | 23 | 67 | 160 |
| of which: Emergency | - | - | 25 | 25 |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | 3 | 45 | 74 | 122 |
| of which: Delivered | - | 15 | 20 | 35 |
| Donor-financed local purchases | - | - | 7 | 7 |
| Estimated per caput consumption (kg/year) | 8 | 10 | 71 | 89 |
| Indexes | ||||
| 1996 production as % of normal: | 270 | |||
| 1996/97 import requirement as % of normal: | 74 | |||
| 1996/97 food aid requirement as % of normal (including refugee needs): | 28 | |||