FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report 10/96

Previous Page TOC Next Page

BOTSWANA




BACKGROUND INFORMATION

Area: 567 000 sq.km
Climate: South-western part arid (Kalahari desert);rest semi-arid with some rains in Dec.-Feb.
Population: 1.49 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 2 800 (1994)
Specific characteristics of the country: Land-locked country; drought-prone; agricultural production only in the east and south- east; swamps in the northern parts; desert in the west
Logistics: Imports through South Africa
Major foodcrops: Sorghum, pulses, vegetables
Marketing year: April/March; Lean season: January/March
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 55 percent



CURRENT SITUATION

Following above-normal rainfall, the recently harvested 1995/96 cereal crop is now forecast at 81 000 tons. This is slightly lower than initial estimates but above average and still double last year’s output. Maize production is estimated at 23 000 tons, over four times higher than last year’s drought-reduced crop of 5 000 tons. The output of sorghum and millet has been revised down to 59 000 tons, which is above average and still much higher than last year.

The food supply situation for the 1996/97 marketing year is expected to be satisfactory. As a result of the substantial increase in production, cereal availability has improved noticeably and a cereal import requirement of 234 000 tons for the marketing year should be covered by commercial channels.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1996/97 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)

Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal production 1 - 59 60
Normal imports (incl. re-exports) 60 8 116 184
of which: Structural food aid - - 20 20
1996 Production - - 81 81
1996/97 Utilization 85 8 222 315
Food use 67 8 206 281
Non-food use - - 9 9
Re-exports and exports 7 - - 7
Possible stock build-up 11 - 7 18
1996/97 Import Requirement 85 8 141 234
Anticipated commercial imports 85 8 141 234
Food aid needs - - - -
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges - - 1 1
of which: Delivered - - 1 1
Estimated per caput consumption (kg/year) 45 5 139 189
Indexes



1996 production as % of normal: 135
1996/97 import requirement as % of normal: 127
1996/97 food aid requirement as % of normal (including refugee needs): -

Previous Page TOC Next Page