FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - August 1997

LIBERIA


Area: 96 000 sq.km
Climate: Southern half tropical wet, northern half tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: March-November
Population: 2.3 million (1997 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: n.a.
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics: Ports and roads adequate
Major foodcrops: Rice, roots and tubers, oils
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: July-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 48 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Rains started in late February in the south-east, becoming widespread over the entire country in late March, which is quite late. Precipitation remained abundant and widespread in April, May and early June, and decreased during the second and third dekads of June. Cumulative rainfall as of the end of June is normal to above normal. The season is well under way and planting period for upland (rain fed) rice is just finished. Food production in 1997 is expected to improve somewhat from past years. A relative peace and stability have continued to prevail throughout the country and have exerted a positive influence on farming activities. The resident population has been very busy with land preparation and planting in particular in Lofa, Bong and Nimba Counties considered to be the grain basket of country. Therefore the cultivated surface this year should be substantially higher than previous year. Although the lack of hand tools and the limited stock of seed rice in possession of the rural household represent a limiting factor, this was minimized by a massive seed and tool distribution programme. Preliminary reports are showing that some 118 000 vulnerable families or some 55% of the total should have been reached by the seed and tool distribution. No major climatic constraint or pest have been reported until now. In particular rice and cassava yields should be similar to the estimates of the 1996 growing season.

Following the disarmament and demobilization of a total of 21 300 soldiers, security conditions are returning to normal. A peace keeping force is controlling the country and national elections are planned for mid July 1997. The food supply situation is improving following recovery of trade and commercial activities. Population is still spontaneously returning to areas of origin. Data collected by International Organizations shows that at least 50 000 Liberians refugees have resettled in Lofa, Nimba and Grand Gedeh Counties during the first five months of the year. At the same time the numbers of Internally Displaced Persons in Monrovia and Buchanan were sharply reduced with population moving mainly to Grand Bassa, Rivercess, Bomi and Cape Mount Counties (at least 100 000). Total population is currently estimated at 2.3 million and the rural households are some 214 000. The distribution of seeds and tools is underway nationwide, organized by the Seeds and Tools Committee. A total of 2 700 tons of rice seed and more than 30 000 farming tools are being distributed to about 118 000 vulnerable households. Food aid is also being distributed to cover consumption needs during the planting season. Food supply on the urban market is stable and in general prices have gone down since the beginning of the year, in particular imported rice in Monrovia has gone down from 25 Liberian Dollars/kg to 21 LD/kg. But food supply situation in rural areas will continue to be tight, in particular, during the traditional lean season of August-September. Overall, Liberia will be a food deficit country dependent on food aid, especially the counties with a high number of returnees. In order to improve the food security situation in the country, FAO is assisting with a number of emergency/rehabilitation activities in the agriculture, forestry and fisheries sectors.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

-

76

1

77

Normal Imports

40

70

35

145

of which: Structural food aid

35

20

35

90

1997 Domestic Availability

-

63

1

64

1996 Production (rice in paddy terms)

-

94

1

95

1996 Production (rice in milled terms)

-

63

1

64

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1997 Utilization

70

183

46

299

Food Use

68

173

44

285

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

2

10

1

13

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

1

1

1997 Import Requirement

70

120

45

235

Anticipated commercial imports

-

80

-

80

Food aid needs

70

40

45

155

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

121

-

57

178

of which: Delivered

85

-

43

128

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

29

75

19

124

Indexes





1996 production as % of normal:




123

1997 import requirement as % of normal:




134

1997 food aid requirement as % of normal:




161

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