FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 1999 LIBERIA 25

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LIBERIA

Area:
96 000 sq.km
Climate:
Southern half tropical wet, northern half tropical wet-dry; rainy season: March-November
Population:
2.83 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: n.a.
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics:
Ports and roads adequate
Major foodcrops:
Rice, roots and tubers, oils
Marketing year:
January/December; Lean season: July-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
48 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Growing conditions are adequate since the beginning of the rainy season, and allow a good development of rice crop and tubers. Some occasional fighting occured in the north of the country and hampered agricultural activities and food aid deliveries. However, following improving security conditions, the 1999 crop is expected to be close or above last year's level.

Food assistance is delivered throughout almost the entire country and an improvement in the nutritional status of the population is reported but the country continues to rely mostly on humanitarian assistance. Food assistance is provided to about 250 000 IDPs and 95 000 refugees from Sierra Leone, out of an estimated 750 000 displaced people. Organised repatriation is underway for about 220 000 Liberian refugees remaining in neighbouring countries, and should be completed by the end of the year. On the basis of an estimated population of about 2.8 million in 1999, FAO estimates that Liberia will need to import 155 000 tonnes of cereals to meet its consumption requirements. Commercial imports are anticipated at 100 000 tonnes of rice and 5 000 tonnes of wheat. The remaining 50 000 tonnes will need to be covered by food aid, estimated at 30 000 tonnes of wheat and 20 000 tonnes of maize products such as maize meal and CSB for distribution to vulnerable displaced people. In mid July, 69 000 tonnes of food aid had been pledged, of which 63 000 tonnes had been delivered.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production - 78 1 79
Normal Imports 35 70 40 145
of which: Structural food aid 25 5 40 70
1999 Domestic Availability 11 148 1 160
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) - 210 1 211
1998 Production (rice in milled terms) - 140 1 141
Possible stock drawdown 11 8 - 19
1999 Utilization 46 248 21 315
Food Use 44 223 20 287
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 2 25 0 27
Exports or Re-exports - - - -
Possible stock build up - - 1 1
1999 Import Requirement 35 100 20 155
Anticipated commercial imports 5 100 - 105
Food aid needs 30 - 20 50
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges 57 - 12 69
of which: Delivered 53 - 11 63
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 15 79 7 101
Indexes        
1998 production as % of normal:       267
1999 import requirement as % of normal:       107
1999 food aid requirement as % of normal:       71


FAO/GIEWS - August 1999

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