No.2 April 2009 | ||
Crop Prospects and Food Situation | ||
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Countries in crisis requiring external assistance 1
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Nature of Food Insecurity |
Main Reasons |
Changes from last report (February 2009) |
AFRICA (20 countries) |
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Exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies |
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Kenya |
Lingering effects of civil strife, adverse weather |
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Lesotho |
Low productivity, HIV/AIDS pandemic |
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Somalia |
Conflict, economic crisis, adverse weather |
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Swaziland |
Low productivity, HIV/AIDS pandemic |
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Zimbabwe |
Deepening economic crisis |
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Widespread lack of access |
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Eritrea |
IDPs, economic constraints |
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Liberia |
War related damage, pests |
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Mauritania |
Several years of drought |
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Sierra Leone |
War related damage |
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Severe localized food insecurity |
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Burundi |
Civil strife, IDPs and returnees |
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Central African Republic |
Refugees, insecurity in parts |
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Chad |
Refugees, conflict |
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Congo |
IDPs |
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Côte d'Ivoire |
Conflict related damage |
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Democratic Republic of Congo |
Civil strife, returnees |
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Ethiopia |
Insecurity in parts, localized crop failure |
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Guinea |
Refugees, conflict related damage |
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Guinea-Bissau |
Localized insecurity |
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Sudan |
Civil strife (Darfur), insecurity (southern Sudan), localized crop failure |
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Uganda |
Localized crop failure, insecurity |
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ASIA/NEAR EAST (9 countries) |
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Exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies |
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Iraq |
Conflict and insufficient rainfall |
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Widespread lack of access |
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Afghanistan |
Conflict and insecurity, inadequate rainfall |
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Dem. People's Rep. of Korea |
Economic constraints |
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Severe localized food insecurity |
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Bangladesh |
Past floods and cyclone |
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Iran, Islamic Rep. of |
Past drought |
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Myanmar |
Past cyclone |
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Nepal |
Poor market access and drought in the west |
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Sri Lanka |
Conflict, IDPs |
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Timor-Leste |
IDPs |
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LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN (2 countries) |
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Severe localized food insecurity |
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Haiti |
Past floods and other hurricane damage |
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Honduras |
Past floods |
COUNTRIES WITH UNFAVOURABLE PROSPECTS FOR CURRENT CROPS 2
AFRICA (5 countries) | ||
Angola | Erratic rains | + |
Ethiopia | Late onset of belg rains | + |
Mozambique | Erratic rains | + |
Tunisia | Insufficient rainfall | |
Zimbabwe | Economic constraints | |
ASIA/NEAR EAST (5 countries) | ||
Afghanistan | Adverse weather, limited input supplies and high food prices | |
China | Drought (northern and western parts) | |
Israel | Drought | + |
Jordan | Drought | + |
Syrian Arab Republic | Drought | + |
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN (1 country) | ||
Argentina | Insufficient rainfall |
No change | Improving | Deteriorating | + New entry |
TERMINOLOGY
1 Countries in crisis requiring external assistance are expected to lack the resources to deal with reported critical problems of food insecurity. Food crises are nearly always due to a combination of factors but for the purpose of response planning, it is important to establish whether the nature of food crises is predominantly related to lack of food availability, limited access to food, or severe but localized problems. Accordingly, the list of countries requiring external assistance is organized into three broad, not mutually exclusive, categories:
Countries facing an exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies as a result of crop failure, natural disasters, interruption of imports, disruption of distribution, excessive post-harvest losses, or other supply bottlenecks.
Countries with widespread lack of access, where a majority of the population is considered to be unable to procure food from local markets, due to very low incomes, exceptionally high food prices, or the inability to circulate within the country.
Countries with severe localized food insecurity due to the influx of refugees, a concentration of internally displaced persons, or areas with combinations of crop failure and deep poverty.
2 Countries facing unfavourable prospects for current crops are countries where prospects point to a shortfall in production of current crops as a result of a reduction of the area planted and/or adverse weather conditions, plant pests, diseases and other calamities which indicate a need for close monitoring of the crops for the remainder of the growing season.
GIEWS | global information and early warning system on food and agriculture |