FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report 10/96

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NIGERIA




BACKGROUND INFORMATION

Area: 911 000 sq.km
Climate: Mostly tropical wet-dry, south-west tropical wet, extreme north semi-arid
Population: 123 million (1995 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 280 (1994)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics: Ports adequate, roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops: Roots and tubers, coarse grains, rice
Marketing year: July/June; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 43 percent



CURRENT SITUATION

Rains were abundant and widespread during the first two dekads of July. During the last dekad of July, they became heavy in the north and light in the south and were concentrated over the eastern half of the country during the first dekad of August. Heavy rains occurred during the second and third dekads of August over the entire country. In the north, millet and sorghum are flowering/heading, while the first maize crop is being harvested. The second maize crop is being planted in the south.

The Government has started a food storage programme, including the construction of 26 silos providing a 636 000 tons storage capacity and the installation of 500 improved storage structures for farmers, in order to reduce large post-harvest losses. An epidemic of cholera has caused more than 800 deaths in the north since early June.

The cereal import requirement for 1996/97 is estimated at about 1 million tons, including 700 000 tons of wheat and 250 000 tons of rice.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1996/97 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)

Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal production 48 2 050 17 000 19 098
Normal imports (incl. re-exports) 800 300 80 1 180
of which: Structural food aid - - - -
1996/97 Domestic availability 236 1 950 20 373 22 559
1996 Production 36 1 950 20 373 22 359
Possible stock drawdown 200 - - 200
1996/97 Utilization 936 2 200 20 433 23 569
Food use 905 1 350 13 762 16 017
Non-food use 31 750 6 201 6 982
Exports - 100 170 270
Possible stock build-up - - 300 300
1996/97 Import Requirement 700 250 60 1 010
Anticipated commercial imports 700 250 60 1 010
Food aid needs - - - -
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges - - - -
of which: Delivered - - - -
Estimated per caput consumption (kg/year) 8 12 120 140
Indexes



1996 production as % of normal: 117
1996/97 import requirement as % of normal: 86
1996/97 food aid requirement as % of normal: -

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