FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report 02/97

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ZIMBABWE

Area:

387 000 sq.km

Climate:

Centre and north-east tropical wet-dry; south and west semi-arid. One rainy season


(November-March)

Population:

11.26 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 540 (1993)

Specific characteristics of the country:

Land-locked country; exporter and importer of grain

Logistics:

Exports and imports through Mozambique or South Africa

Major foodcrops:

Maize, wheat, millet, sorghum

Marketing year:

April/March; Lean season: February-April

Share of cereals in total calorie intake:

66 percent



CURRENT SITUATION

Planting of the 1996/97 coarse grain crops, mostly maize, is now complete. Widespread rains since late October and early November favoured large plantings of crops, not at late vegetative to tasseling stages. However continuing heavy rains may negatively affect crop yields. Harvesting of the winter wheat is complete. The output is estimated at 300 000 tons, which is above-average and should cover most of the country’s needs. The government has launched intensive control measures early in the season against red locusts to restrict damage.

Reflecting the above-average cereal crop in 1996, the national food supply situation is satisfactory. The Grain Marketing Board, which has a monopoly on maize exports, plans to export 295 000 tons of maize and to build up the Strategic Grain Reserve to a targeted level of 600 000 tons. Maize exports amount so far to some 129 000 tons destined mostly for Japan, Venezuela, and Angola.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1996/97 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production (rice in paddy terms)

240

4

1 880

2 124

Normal Imports

55

20

-

75

of which: Structural food aid

5

-

-

5

1996/97 Domestic Availability

300

-

2 731

3 031

1996 Production (rice in paddy terms)

300

-

2 731

3 031

1996 Production (rice in milled terms)

300

-

2 731

3 031

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1996/97 Utilization

345

20

2 731

3 096

Food Use

320

15

1 590

1 925

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

15

-

671

686

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

295

295

Possible stock build up

10

5

175

190

1996/97 Import Requirement

45

20

-

65

Anticipated commercial imports

45

20

-

65

Food aid needs

-

-

-

-

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

5

-

3

8

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Donor-financed purchases for export

-

-

18

18

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

29

1

141

171

Indexes





1996 production as % of normal:




143

1996/97 import requirement as % of normal:




87

1996/97 food aid requirement as % of normal:




-


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