FAO/GIEWS - Food Outlook March/April 19971

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Table A.8 - WORLD STOCKS: Estimated Total Carryovers of Cereals 1/


 Crop Years ending in:

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 estim. 1997 forecast

( . . . . . . . . . . . . . . million tons . . . . . . . . . . . . . )
TOTAL CEREALS 351.7 339.1 383.1 345.8 319.4 261.3 294.3
held by:
- main exporters 2/ 146.6 132.6 168.9 119.2 109.1 76.4 118.3
- others 205.1 206.5 214.2 226.6 210.3 185.0 176.0
BY GRAINS
Wheat 141.9 137.4 147.7 145.8 117.6 104.9 116.8
held by:
- main exporters 2/ 54.9 49.4 54.5 46.7 31.8 29.8 43.1
- others 87.0 88.0 93.2 99.0 85.8 75.1 73.7
Coarse Grains 144.2 136.4 168.5 137.4 146.9 103.8 127.5
held by:
- main exporters 2/ 71.0 61.8 91.2 53.3 62.8 32.7 59.7
- others 73.1 74.6 77.3 84.1 84.0 71.1 67.8
Rice (milled basis) 65.8 65.3 66.9 62.6 54.9 52.7 50.0
held by:
- main exporters 2/ 20.6 21.4 23.2 19.1 14.5 13.8 15.6
- others 45.2 43.9 43.7 43.5 40.4 38.8 34.4
BY REGIONS
Developed Countries 197.4 176.6 215.7 176.4 160.6 107.3 140.6
of which:
North America 88.0 62.7 96.4 59.9 69.5 35.3 64.8
Canada 15.8 15.0 17.6 16.2 9.3 9.8 14.6
United States 72.2 47.7 78.8 43.7 60.2 25.5 50.2
Others 109.5 113.9 119.3 116.6 91.1 72.0 72.3
Australia 3.8 3.4 5.6 4.6 2.6 2.9 6.2
CIS 3/ 45.5 36.6 46.5 49.5 35.2 19.4 15.3
EC 4/ 34.9 46.0 45.1 35.7 23.2 24.6 32.1
Japan 6.7 5.8 5.7 5.5 6.4 7.2 6.4
Developing Countries 154.3 162.5 167.4 169.4 158.7 154.0 153.8
of which:
Asia 5/ 131.4 136.5 136.0 136.7 123.2 124.3 124.5
Bangladesh 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.0 2.6 1.9 2.3
China 6/ 57.1 62.2 58.1 55.1 49.5 53.6 57.3
India 7/ 12.7 8.3 11.3 19.0 23.6 18.4 14.5
Indonesia 5.1 4.7 6.3 6.1 4.8 5.7 5.4
Korea, Rep. of 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.1 2.0 1.5 1.5
Pakistan 3.1 2.8 3.6 4.1 3.2 3.2 3.2
Philippines 2.9 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.7 3.1
Turkey 5.1 2.5 2.3 4.5 1.9 2.7 2.0
Africa 13.2 17.0 18.2 18.0 20.0 14.4 18.2
Central America 4.3 3.5 4.4 4.3 4.8 4.2 3.6
South America 5.3 5.3 8.7 10.2 10.6 10.9 7.3
Argentina 0.7 0.4 0.4 1.1 0.7 1.0 0.8
Brazil 2.2 2.5 5.6 5.1 5.7 6.3 4.0
WORLD STOCKS ( . . . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . . )
as % of consumption 20.3 19.3 21.7 19.2 17.8 14.3 15.9

SOURCE: FAO
Note: Based on official and unofficial estimates. Totals computed from unrounded data.
1/ Stock data are based on an aggregate of carryovers at the end of national crop years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time.
2/ For a list of main exporters of wheat, coarse grains and rice see table A.7.
3/ FAO estimates; up to crop years ending in 1991, former U.S.S.R.; thereafter, Commonwealth of Independent States.
4/ From 1996, includes 15 member countries.
5/ Total includes FAO estimates for privately-held stocks.
6/ FAO estimates and including Taiwan Province.
7/ Government stocks only.

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