FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 1998 -

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NAMIBIA


Area: 824 000 sq.km
Climate: Mostly arid (south-west and coast) or semi-arid. Only north and north-east gets regular rainfall in November-April
Population: 1.69 million (1997 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 2 000 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Arid to semi-arid country; cereal production mainly in the north
Logistics: Good road and railway network
Major foodcrops: Millet, maize, sorghum, wheat
Marketing year: May/April;
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 48 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

The 1998 production of cereals is officially estimated at 59 000 tonnnes. This is well below normal as a consequence of erratic rainfall with prolonged dry spells in March/April. These caused widespread crop failures in the northeastern part of the country, particularly the Caprivi and Kavango regions where many subsistence farmers could not even plant any staple foodcrops this year. The national food supply situation is expected to be tight during the 1998/99 marketing year. Although carryover stocks from last year’s bumper harvest will help cushion the impact of the anticipated food shortage, large quantities of cereals will have to be imported in the coming months, primarily through commercial channels. The Government has recently approved a national drought strategy, which includes the setting up of a permanent national drought fund in order to find ways to ensure household food security, particularly for vulnerable groups.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 4 - 88 92
Normal Imports 30 - 31 61
of which: Structural food aid 1 - 2 3
1998/99 Domestic Availability 16 - 69 85
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) 6 - 53 59
1998 Production (rice in milled terms) 6 - 53 59
Possible stock drawdown 10 - 16 26
1998/99 Utilization 51 - 189 240
Food Use 51 - 180 231
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use - - 9 9
Exports or Re-exports - - - -
Possible stock build up - - - -
1998/99 Import Requirement 35 - 120 155
Anticipated commercial imports 35 - 120 155
Food aid needs - - - -
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges - - - -
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 29 - 103 132
Indexes



1998 production as % of normal:


64
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:


254
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:


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