FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 1998 -

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NIGERIA


Area: 911 000 sq.km
Climate: Mostly tropical wet-dry, south-west tropical wet, extreme north semi-arid
Population: 116 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 260 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics: Ports adequate, roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops: Roots and tubers, coarse grains, rice
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 43 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

First rains started over the south in mid-March, allowing the planting of the first maize crop in this area. Rains reached the north in mid and late April and remained abundant and widespread over the entire country in May and June. Following the onset of rains, the growing season started in May in the centre and the north, with the planting of maize, rainfed rice, and millet and sorghum crops. Despite a late start of the growing season, satellite images show above normal vegetation in the whole country, meaning that agro-meteorological condition allowed above normal crop development. Nevertheless, shortages of fertilisers, improved seeds and pesticides are reported and may hamper foodcrops production.

Food supply is still constrained by high levels of post-harvest losses and high distribution costs but is satisfactory following the marketing of the main crops. The cereal import requirement for 1998 is estimated at 1 300 000 tonnes, including 1 million tonnes of wheat and 200 000 tonnes of rice.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 45 2 800 16 970 19 815
Normal Imports 850 350 80 1 280
of which: Structural food aid - - - -
1998 Domestic Availability 66 1 967 18 489 20 522
1997 Production (rice in paddy terms) 66 3 278 18 489 21 833
1997 Production (rice in milled terms) 66 1 967 18 489 20 522
Possible stock drawdown - - - -
1998 Utilization 1 066 2 167 18 589 21 822
Food Use 1 035 1 917 14 406 17 358
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 31 250 3 843 4 124
Exports or Re-exports - - 200 200
Possible stock build up - - 140 140
1998 Import Requirement 1 000 200 100 1 300
Anticipated commercial imports 1 000 200 100 1 300
Food aid needs - - - -
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges - - - -
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 9 17 124 149
Indexes



1997 production as % of normal:


110
1998 import requirement as % of normal:


102
1998 food aid requirement as % of normal:


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