FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 1998 -

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BOTSWANA


Area: 567 000 sq.km
Climate: South-western part arid (Kalahari desert); rest semi-arid with some rains in Dec.-Feb.
Population: 1.58 million (1997 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 3 020 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: east; swamps in the northern parts; desert in the west
Logistics: Imports through South Africa
Major foodcrops: Sorghum, pulses, vegetables
Marketing year: April/March; Lean season: January/March
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 55 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Harvesting of the 1998 cereal crop is complete and production is expected to be below average. Erratic and poorly distributed rainfall in March and April seriously affected yields in several parts of the country, leading to a major crop loss. Total cereal output is not expected to exceed 9 000 tonnes, a sharp drop compared to the 1997 below average crop of 28 000 tonnes. Even in good years, the country imports over half of its cereal needs. It is therefore anticipated that available grain stocks and planned imports by major commercial millers will meet national requirements during the 1998/99 marketing year.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 1 - 59 60
Normal Imports 60 8 116 184
of which: Structural food aid - - 20 20
1998/99 Domestic Availability - - 9 9
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) - - 9 9
1998 Production (rice in milled terms) 1 - 9 9
Possible stock drawdown - - - -
1998/99 Utilization 66 - 199 265
Food Use 66 - 195 261
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use - - 4 4
Exports or Re-exports - - - -
Possible stock build up - - - -
1998/99 Import Requirement 66 - 190 256
Anticipated commercial imports 66 - 190 256
Food aid needs - - - -
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges - - - -
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 43 - 126 169
Indexes



1998 production as % of normal:


40
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:


128
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:


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