FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 1999 NIGER 33

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NIGER

Area:
1 267 000 sq.km
Climate:
Northern part arid, southern part semi-arid with rains in June-October
Population:
9.80 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 200 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country
Logistics:
Roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops:
Millet and sorghum, pulses, roots and tubers
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Following mostly dry weather in early to mid-June, substantial rains in late June and early July covered most of the agricultural zone. Plantings started in late May following first showers over most producing zones. However, the weather remained mostly dry during the first two dekads of June. Rains became widespread and above normal over the western and central producing areas but remained limited in the east during the third dekad of June. They started in the east in early July. Plantings and replantings are underway with satisfactory seed availability following 1998 record harvest.

Rodents are reported to be attacking recent sowings in Tahoua and Zinder departments. Grasshoppers have also been seen in Diffa and Tillabery departments but crop damage is negligible. Grain eating birds are also reported in Diffa department. Unconfirmed reports suggest that isolated Desert Locusts were present in eastern Aïr and Irhazer during the first dekad of June. Small scale breeding could occur once the seasonal rains commence in Aïr and Tamesna.

1998 aggregate cereal production has been estimated at a record 2.97 million tonnes, about 72 percent higher than 1997 and about 44 percent above the five-year average. The overall food supply situation is satisfactory. Low cereal prices following record crops in late 1998 should facilitate local purchases for the reconstitution of the national security stock for which external assistance is required. However, the food supply situation is likely to be tight in some areas which are chronically food deficit, notably in the arrondissements of Bouza, Illela, Konni, Matameye, centre-Madaoua, centre-Mayahi, north-Mirriah, south-Ouallam, north-Tanout (Belbedji), north-Tillabery (Aiorou), south-Diffa and south-N'Guigmi.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 4 66 1 991 2 061
Normal Imports 15 60 220 295
of which: Structural food aid 5 5 10 20
1998/99 Domestic Availability 12 36 2 903 2 952
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) 7 56 2 903 2 966
1998 Production (rice in milled terms) 7 36 2 903 2 947
Possible stock drawdown 5 - - 5
1998/99 Utilization 27 121 3 023 3 172
Food Use 26 105 2 267 2 398
of which: local purchase requirement - - 20 20
Non-food use 1 7 445 453
Exports or Re-exports - - 60 60
Possible stock build up - 10 250 260
1998/99 Import Requirement 15 85 120 220
Anticipated commercial imports 10 80 120 210
Food aid needs 5 5 - 10
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges 6 11 13 30
of which: Delivered 2 11 13 26
Donor-financed purchases - - 9 9
of which: for local use - - 9 9
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 3 11 231 245
Indexes        
1998 production as % of normal:       144
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:       75
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:       50


FAO/GIEWS - August 1999

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