FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 1999 ZIMBABWE 48

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ZIMBABWE

Area:
387 000 sq.km
Climate:
Centre and north-east tropical wet-dry; south and west semi-arid; rainy season: November-March
Population:
12.25 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 750 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Land-locked country; exporter and importer of grain
Logistics:
Exports and imports through Mozambique or South Africa
Major foodcrops:
Maize, wheat, millet, sorghum
Marketing year:
April/March; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
66 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Harvesting of the 1999 coarse grain crops, mainly maize, is completed. Despite a significant increase in the area planted and good rains at the beginning of the season, crop yields were adversely affected by excessive rains in January and February. Latest estimates indicate a maize output of 1.54 million tonnes, 5 percent above last year, but still below average. Millet and sorghum production is also estimated to have declined.

Prices of basic food commodities have increased sharply since the same period last year, reflecting the unsatisfactory harvest and low carryover stocks. The food supply situation in the 1999/2000 marketing year (April/March) is anticipated to be tight. Maize import requirements are estimated at about 450 000 tonnes.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999/2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 240 4 1 880 2 124
Normal Imports 55 20 - 75
of which: Structural food aid 5 - - 5
1999/2000 Domestic Availability 310 - 1 875 2 185
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms) 300 - 1 875 2 175
1999 Production (rice in milled terms) 300 - 1 875 2 175
Possible stock drawdown 10 - - 10
1999/2000 Utilization 385 25 2 325 2 735
Food Use 370 25 1 744 2 139
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 15 - 491 506
Exports or Re-exports - - - -
Possible stock build up - - 90 90
1999/2000 Import Requirement 75 25 450 550
Anticipated commercial imports 75 25 450 550
Food aid needs - - - -
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - - -
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 30 2 142 175
Indexes        
1999 production as % of normal:       102
1999/2000 import requirement as % of normal:       733
1999/2000 food aid requirement as % of normal:       -


FAO/GIEWS - August 1999

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