FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 1999 CHAD 9

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CHAD

Area:
1 259 000 sq.km
Climate:
From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; rainy season: May-Oct.
Population:
7.23 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 240 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country.
Logistics:
Roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops:
Millet and sorghum, roots and tubers, tree nuts
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: August-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
52 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Growing conditions improved following above normal rains in late June and early July. Following first sporadic rains in mid-March and April in the extreme south, the rainy season really started in May in the south. Rains progressed northwards through late May but decreased in early June, remaining below normal during the first two dekads of June. Precipitation resumed in late June and above normal rainfall has been received during the third dekad of June. During the first dekad of July, satellite imagery indicates that precitation remained generally above normal in the Sahelian zone but below normal in the south, in the Sudanian zone. Planting of coarse grains is underway in the Sahelian zone, while in the Sudanian zone crops are emerging but may suffer water stress if rains do not resume soon.

Pastures are regenerating following recent rains. Grasshopper infestations are reported in Guéra, Salamat and Tandjilé regions. They caused damage to emerging sorghum in Bitkine and Mongo areas in Guéra region. Army worm infestations reported in May in the Sudanian zone have decreased. No Desert Locust activity is reported.

Final 1998 cereal production figures have recently been published. The aggregate output of cereal is estimated at a record 1.3 million tonnes, some 37 percent above 1997 and 48 percent above the last five-year average. The overall food supply situation is satisfactory, notably in the Sahelian zone which harvested well above average production. However, food supply difficulties are likely in areas of the Sudanian zone affected by flooding and/or poor crops in 1998, notably in Logone oriental and occidental and in Tandjilé, where a WFP Assessment Mission in May undertook nutritional surveys and recommended about 4 000 tonnes of food aid for 255 700 persons.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 3 83 828 914
Normal Imports 50 10 10 70
of which: Structural food aid 4 1 10 15
1998/99 Domestic Availability 5 74 1 195 1 274
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) 5 100 1 195 1 300
1998 Production (rice in milled terms) 5 69 1 195 1 269
Possible stock drawdown - 5 - 5
1998/99 Utilization 65 86 1 195 1 346
Food Use 64 74 826 963
of which: local purchase requirement - - 20 20
Non-food use 1 12 189 202
Exports or Re-exports - - 20 20
Possible stock build up - - 160 160
1998/99 Import Requirement 60 12 - 72
Anticipated commercial imports 50 10 - 60
Food aid needs 10 2 - 12
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges 2 - 1 3
of which: Delivered 2 - 1 3
Donor-financed purchases - - 4 4
of which: for local use - - 4 4
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 9 10 114 133
Indexes        
1998 production as % of normal:       142
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:       103
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:       80


FAO/GIEWS - August 1999

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