FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 1999 NIGERIA 34

NIGERIA

Area:

911 000 sq.km

Climate:

Mostly tropical wet-dry, south-west tropical wet, extreme north semi-arid

Population:

117 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 260 (1997)

Specific characteristics of the country:

Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country

Logistics:

Ports adequate, roads inadequate during rainy season

Major foodcrops:

Roots and tubers, coarse grains, rice

Marketing year:

January/December; Lean season: April-May

Share of cereals in total calorie intake:

43 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Limited rainfall started in mid February in the south and increased in March, allowing the planting of the first maize crop and land preparation for rainfed rice planting. Rains remained limited in the north and reached the extreme north only in late May, being about one month late. This has led to a late planting and hampered the development of millet and sorghum crops in the northern states, which is reflected by satellite imagery showing below normal vegetation in these areas.

Food supply is still constrained by high levels of post-harvest losses and high distribution costs. The cereal import requirement for 1999 is estimated at 1 250 000 tonnes, including 1.05 million tonnes of wheat and 150 000 tonnes of rice.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total

Normal Production 45 2 800 16 970 19 815

Normal Imports 850 350 80 1 280

of which: Structural food aid - - - -

1999 Domestic Availability 98 2 025 19 345 21 468

1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) 98 3 375 19 335 22 808

1998 Production (rice in milled terms) 98 2 025 19 335 21 458

Possible stock drawdown - - 10 10

1999 Utilization 1 148 2 175 19 395 22 718

Food Use 1 108 1 775 15 016 17 899

of which: local purchase requirement - - - -

Non-food use 40 400 3 929 4 369

Exports or Re-exports - - 450 450

Possible stock build up - - - -

1999 Import Requirement 1 050 150 50 1 250

Anticipated commercial imports 1 050 150 50 1 250

Food aid needs - - - -

Current Aid Position

Food aid pledges - - - -

of which: Delivered - - - -

Donor-financed purchases - - - -

of which: for local use - - - -

for export - - - -

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 9 15 128 153

Indexes

1998 production as % of normal: 115

1999 import requirement as % of normal: 98

1999 food aid requirement as % of normal: -

FAO/GIEWS - August 1999

Area:	911 000 sq.km
Climate:	Mostly tropical wet-dry, south-west tropical wet, extreme north semi-arid
Population:	117 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 260 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:	Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics:	Ports adequate, roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops:	Roots and tubers, coarse grains, rice
Marketing year:	January/December; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:	43 percent

	Wheat	Rice	Coarse grains	Total
Normal Production	45	2 800	16 970	19 815
Normal Imports	850	350	80	1 280
of which: Structural food aid	-	-	-	-
1999 Domestic Availability	98	2 025	19 345	21 468
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms)	98	3 375	19 335	22 808
1998 Production (rice in milled terms)	98	2 025	19 335	21 458
Possible stock drawdown	-	-	10	10
1999 Utilization	1 148	2 175	19 395	22 718
Food Use	1 108	1 775	15 016	17 899
of which: local purchase requirement	-	-	-	-
Non-food use	40	400	3 929	4 369
Exports or Re-exports	-	-	450	450
Possible stock build up	-	-	-	-
1999 Import Requirement	1 050	150	50	1 250
Anticipated commercial imports	1 050	150	50	1 250
Food aid needs	-	-	-	-
Current Aid Position
Food aid pledges	-	-	-	-
of which: Delivered	-	-	-	-
Donor-financed purchases	-	-	-	-
of which: for local use	-	-	-	-
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)	9	15	128	153
Indexes
1998 production as % of normal:				115
1999 import requirement as % of normal:				98
1999 food aid requirement as % of normal:				-