农业食品经济

Decoupling direct payments in North Macedonia

Impacts on farmer income
年份: 2023
作者: Weber, R., Díaz González, A.M. & Morales Opazo, C.
出版方: FAO

Agricultural Development Economics Working Paper, No. 23-03.

North Macedonia’s ambition to join the European Union requires reforms of the agricultural sector and subsidy system. One major reform is the alignment to the rules of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) of the European Union on direct payments, including the “decoupling” of direct payments from production quantities. The decoupling of direct payments is likely to have significant impacts on production decisions, prices and therefore on farmer income. This paper identifies four possible scenarios for North Macedonia to align the direct payment scheme to the regulations of the European Union and subsequently analyses the impact of each scenario on farmer income, using an ex ante analysis method in the form of a static microsimulation approach and the farm accountancy data network (FADN) data at individual farm level. The results show that, on average, farmer income increases when direct payments are decoupled in North Macedonia. We further test for heterogeneity and identify different effects along farm types and economic farm size – and find that some farmers would exhibit income losses as a result of the reform (i.e. specialist cattle, mixed crops and livestock farmers).

The document was developed as a key deliverable in the context of TCP/MCD/3703 “Strengthening of Agriculture and Rural Development Policy Analysis and Programming”.

The findings of this working paper have been summarized in the policy brief Farmer income and decoupled direct payments in North Macedonia
出版物类别: 工作文件
國家: North Macedonia
区域: Europe and Central Asia
ISBN: 978-92-5-137780-2
ISSN: 2521-1838