CCP:TE 05/CRS 6  |
| CCP:TE 05/CRS 6 |
COMMITTEE ON COMMODITY PROBLEMS |
INTERGOVERNMENTAL GROUP ON TEA |
Sixteenth Session |
Bali, Indonesia, 20 – 22 July 2005 |
CURRENT MARKET SITUATION AND MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK – REFERENCE TABLES |
Table 1: World production of tea (thousand tonnes)
1999-01 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 | |
World |
2980 |
3046 |
3075 |
3150 |
3218 |
|
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Developing |
2863 |
2929 |
2963 |
3035 |
3099 |
Africa |
412 |
450 |
448 |
463 |
508 |
Kenya |
260 |
295 |
287 |
294 |
328 |
Malawi |
43 |
37 |
39 |
42 |
50 |
Uganda |
27 |
33 |
34 |
36 |
37 |
Tanzania |
24 |
25 |
28 |
29 |
31 |
Other Africa |
58 |
60 |
60 |
62 |
62 |
Latin America |
67 |
65 |
76 |
75 |
73 |
Argentina |
54 |
52 |
62 |
62 |
62 |
Others |
13 |
13 |
14 |
13 |
11 |
Near East |
219 |
202 |
203 |
209 |
255 |
Iran |
54 |
51 |
51 |
50 |
50 |
Turkey |
160 |
143 |
142 |
155 |
205 |
Others |
5 |
8 |
10 |
4 |
0 |
Far East |
2155 |
2202 |
2227 |
2279 |
2255 |
Bangladesh |
55 |
57 |
53 |
57 |
56 |
China 1/ |
708 |
722 |
766 |
791 |
797 |
India |
844 |
856 |
829 |
857 |
820 |
India North |
na |
654 |
635 |
664 |
634 |
India South |
na |
202 |
194 |
193 |
186 |
Indonesia |
164 |
173 |
173 |
168 |
170 |
Sri Lanka |
296 |
296 |
310 |
305 |
309 |
Others |
88 |
98 |
96 |
101 |
103 |
Other Developing |
10 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
8 |
Developed |
117 |
117 |
112 |
115 |
119 |
CIS |
15 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
18 |
Georgia |
11 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
14 |
Russian Fed |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
Other Developed2/ |
102 |
102 |
98 |
101 |
101 |
1/ Includes tea produced in China, Province of Taiwan. (Tea produced in 2004 was 84 percent green tea and 16 percent black tea.) | |||||
Table 2: World exports of tea1/ (thousand tonnes)
1999-01 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 | |
World |
1337 |
1398 |
1444 |
1406 |
1467 |
Sri Lanka |
277 |
288 |
286 |
291 |
291 |
China2/ |
228 |
252 |
255 |
263 |
282 |
India |
194 |
183 |
199 |
173 |
179 |
Indonesia |
101 |
100 |
100 |
90 |
98 |
Bangladesh |
17 |
13 |
14 |
12 |
12 |
Kenya |
239 |
258 |
266 |
269 |
293 |
Malawi |
40 |
38 |
39 |
42 |
47 |
Uganda |
26 |
30 |
31 |
34 |
35 |
Tanzania |
22 |
22 |
23 |
20 |
24 |
Zimbabwe |
16 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
15 |
Argentina |
54 |
57 |
58 |
58 |
66 |
1/ The table excludes re-exports. |
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Table 3: World net Imports of Tea (Thousand Tonnes)
1999-/01 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 | |
|
|||||
World |
1293 |
1337 |
1382 |
1395 |
1416 |
EC (15) |
211 |
213 |
216 |
210 |
215 |
USA |
95 |
97 |
93 |
94 |
99 |
Canada |
18 |
18 |
19 |
19 |
20 |
Japan |
56 |
60 |
51 |
51 |
56 |
Australia |
14 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
CIS1/ |
228 |
229 |
238 |
239 |
226 |
Pakistan |
112 |
107 |
98 |
109 |
120 |
Egypt |
67 |
56 |
79 |
79 |
70 |
Morocco |
38 |
38 |
44 |
44 |
45 |
Iran |
42 |
40 |
41 |
41 |
41 |
Syria |
22 |
26 |
26 |
26 |
29 |
1/ Includes the Russian Federation. |
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Table 4: FAO Composite Prices (US$ per Kg)
| Year | Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Apr |
May |
June |
July |
Aug |
Sept |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
Average |
|
$US per Kg | ||||||||||||
1999 |
1.76 |
1.65 |
1.62 |
1.60 |
1.63 |
1.60 |
1.75 |
1.78 |
1.89 |
1.95 |
1.90 |
1.80 |
1.74 |
2000 |
1.84 |
1.85 |
1.79 |
1.79 |
1.76 |
1.71 |
1.88 |
1.78 |
1.88 |
1.81 |
1.76 |
1.71 |
1.80 |
2001 |
1.82 |
1.72 |
1.64 |
1.55 |
1.49 |
1.46 |
1.55 |
1.54 |
1.51 |
1.45 |
1.50 |
1.48 |
1.57 |
2002 |
1.48 |
1.49 |
1.52 |
1.46 |
1.43 |
1.44 |
1.44 |
1.48 |
1.53 |
1.54 |
1.50 |
1.46 |
1.48 |
2003 |
1.59 |
1.48 |
1.47 |
1.45 |
1.44 |
1.45 |
1.58 |
1.49 |
1.51 |
1.56 |
1.52 |
1.65 |
1.51 |
2004 |
1.56 |
1.61 |
1.64 |
1.65 |
1.61 |
1.56 |
1.64 |
1.64 |
1.77 |
1.76 |
1.74 |
1.73 |
1.65 |
Source: FAO. | |||||||||||||
Table 5: Black tea – actual and projected production
|
Countries/Regions |
PRODUCTION | |||
Actual |
Projected |
Growth Rate | ||
2003 |
2014 |
1993/2003 |
2003/2014 | |
Thousand metric tonnes |
Percent per year | |||
WORLD |
2 244 |
2 706 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
DEVELOPING |
2 217 |
2 675 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
Africa |
459 |
560 |
3.4 |
1.3 |
Kenya |
291 |
379 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
Malawi |
42 |
49 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
Uganda |
36 |
38 |
10.4 |
0.4 |
Tanzania |
29 |
33 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
Others |
60 |
61 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
Latin America |
69 |
77 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
Argentina |
56 |
62 |
3.0 |
1.0 |
Other |
13 |
15 |
-2.1 |
1.0 |
Near East |
205 |
268 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
Iran |
50 |
70 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
Turkey |
155 |
198 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
Far East |
1475 |
1758 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
India |
848 |
1010 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
Sri Lanka |
302 |
370 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
Indonesia |
128 |
150 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
China |
72 |
46 |
-4.4 |
-4.0 |
Bangladesh |
57 |
68 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
Vietnam |
48 |
91 |
15.0 |
6.0 |
Others |
20 |
22 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
Other developing |
9 |
12 |
-1.1 |
2.5 |
Developed |
27 |
31 |
-13.0 |
1.4 |
CIS |
11 |
14 |
-18.0 |
2.5 |
Other developed |
16 |
17 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
Table 6: Green tea – actual and projected production and exports
|
Countries |
PRODUCTION |
EXPORTS | ||||||
Actual |
Forecast |
Growth Rates |
Actual |
Forecast |
Growth Rates | |||
2003 |
2014 |
1993/2003 |
2003/2014 |
2003 |
2014 |
1993/2003 |
2003/2014 | |
‘000 metric tonnes |
Percent per year |
‘000 metric tonnes |
Percent per year | |||||
World |
756.1 |
975.0 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
202.6 |
275 |
5.6 |
2.8 |
China |
585.0 |
740.1 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
178.6 |
242 |
6.5 |
2.8 |
Japan |
87.0 |
92 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
9.9 |
3.2 |
Viet Nam |
30.0 |
39.6 |
4.3 |
2.6 |
17.0 |
28 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
Indonesia |
41.0 |
49.1 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
5.5 |
5.8 |
-6.3 |
0.5 |
Table 7: Black tea – actual and forecast imports and consumption
CONSUMPTION | ||||
|
Countries/Regions |
Actual |
Forecast |
Growth Rate | |
2003 |
2014 |
1993/2003 |
2003/2014 | |
Thousand metric tonnes |
Percent per year | |||
WORLD |
2279.7 |
2608.1 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
Net Imports |
1170.9 |
1336.0 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
DEVELOPING |
515.0 |
573.4 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
Far East |
350.0 |
399.1 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
Pakistan |
83.1 |
120.3 |
0.6 |
3.4 |
Others |
195.0 |
201.5 |
2.1 |
0.3 |
Other Developing |
165.0 |
174.3 |
-0.6 |
0.5 |
DEVELOPED |
655.9 |
762.6 |
0.1 |
1.4 |
EC (15) |
246.2 |
242.2 |
8.6 |
-0.1 |
U.K. |
125.3 |
104.6 |
-2.2 |
-1.6 |
Netherlands |
15.3 |
16.1 |
-0.6 |
0.5 |
Italy |
6.8 |
9.1 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
Ireland |
11.2 |
14.7 |
0.3 |
2.5 |
Germany |
27.0 |
31.5 |
3.6 |
1.4 |
France |
13.6 |
18.7 |
4.6 |
2.9 |
Others |
47.0 |
47.5 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
CIS |
247.4 |
342.4 |
4.5 |
3.0 |
North America |
112.8 |
127.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
USA |
94.1 |
105.0 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
Canada |
18.7 |
22.4 |
3.4 |
1.7 |
Oceania |
20.4 |
20.2 |
22.5 |
-0.1 |
Australia |
16.4 |
16.3 |
-2.4 |
-0.1 |
New Zealand |
4.0 |
4.0 |
-2.7 |
-0.1 |
Other developed |
29.0 |
30.3 |
-2.9 |
0.4 |
Japan |
16.0 |
19.9 |
-4.0 |
2.0 |
Others |
13.0 |
10.4 |
-0.8 |
-2.0 |
Domestic Consumption1/ |
1108.8 |
1272.2 |
2.6 |
1.3 |
Africa |
48.5 |
54.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
Kenya |
24.4 |
26.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
Malawi |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Tanzania |
9.1 |
11.0 |
8.2 |
1.8 |
Others |
14.0 |
15.6 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
Far East |
1043.3 |
1198.9 |
2.8 |
1.3 |
India |
684.0 |
805.7 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
China |
28.0 |
30.0 |
-4.5 |
0.6 |
Indonesia |
48.0 |
57.0 |
13.6 |
1.6 |
Bangladesh |
35.0 |
48.4 |
7.5 |
3.0 |
Sri Lanka |
13.4 |
17.5 |
-4.7 |
2.5 |
Others |
235.0 |
240.2 |
5.2 |
0.2 |
Latin America |
15.0 |
16.4 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
Oceania developing |
2.0 |
2.8 |
-0.3 |
3.0 |
1/ Production minus export. |
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Table 8: Projected black tea exports
EXPORTS | ||||
|
Countries/Regions |
Actual |
Forecast |
Growth Rate | |
2003 |
2014 |
1993/2003 |
2003/2014 | |
Thousand metric tonnes |
Percent per year | |||
WORLD |
1129 |
1315 |
1.15 |
1.4 |
DEVELOPING |
1113 |
1297 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
Africa |
407 |
518 |
4.0 |
2.2 |
Kenya |
268 |
358 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
Malawi |
42 |
48 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
Uganda |
34 |
43 |
11.6 |
2.2 |
Tanzania |
20 |
21 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
Others |
43 |
48 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
Sri Lanka |
289 |
330 |
3.0 |
1.2 |
India |
170 |
211 |
-0.03 |
2.0 |
Indonesia |
85 |
88 |
-2.6 |
0.4 |
China |
41 |
16 |
-6.5 |
-8.2 |
Bangladesh |
12 |
12 |
-7.8 |
0.2 |
Others |
40 |
45 |
2.7 |
1.0 |
Latin America |
63 |
70 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
Other developing |
6 |
7 |
-1.0 |
1.0 |
Developed |
16 |
18 |
1.0 | |
CIS |
10 |
11 |
1.0 | |
South Africa |
1 |
2 |
|
6.0 |