In June 2026, domestic rice prices exhibited mixed month-on-month trends across most countries in the subregion. In Thailand, wholesale prices of 5 percent and 25 percent broken rice in the Bangkok Market continued to rise sharply, increasing by approximately 15 percent month-on-month. This upward trend was supported by strong international demand, notably from the Philippines and Malaysia, as well as concerns regarding the potential impact of El Niño-induced dry weather conditions on the 2026/27 production. On an annual basis, prices were approximately 25 percent higher. In Viet Nam, wholesale rice prices remained broadly stable or recorded slight month-on-month increases in June, largely reflecting concerns about the potential adverse effects of El Niño, which is typically associated with below-average precipitation in parts of the country. In China (mainland), the national average wholesale price of Indica rice, the most widely consumed variety, remained generally stable in June 2026 and was marginally lower year-on-year. This stability was underpinned by ample market availability following the record production harvested in 2025 and the commencement of the early double-crop harvest in 2026, which is forecast at above-average levels. In Myanmar, retail prices of Emata rice, the most commonly consumed variety, remained stable in June 2026 and were slightly below their levels of a year earlier. However, prices continued to remain elevated relative to historical levels, following the sharp increases observed between 2022 and 2024, driven by high input and transport costs, ongoing conflict, and flood-related disruptions in mid-2025. In India, the national average retail price of rice recorded a slight month-on-month increase in June 2026, reflecting the conclusion of the 2025/26 secondary season harvest. Despite this increase, overall supplies remain ample, supported by record outputs from both the 2025/26 main Kharif and secondary Rabi harvests. In the Philippines, national average retail prices of regular and well-milled rice declined on a monthly basis in June 2026, contributing to a reduction in inflation from 6.8 percent in May to 6.4 percent in June. This decline followed government measures, including an agreement with Viet Nam to secure fixed-price imports of 1.5 million tonnes of rice through April 2027 and the imposition of a nationwide 30-day retail price ceiling on imported regular and well‑milled rice, effective from 13 May 2026. Overall, prices remained 15–18 percent above their year‑earlier levels, mainly due to higher logistics and transport costs driven by increased diesel and gasoline prices. In Bangladesh, the national average retail price of coarse rice increased marginally month‑on‑month in June 2026 but remained approximately 12 percent lower on a year‑on‑year basis. This trend reflects the impact of a record output in 2025 and above‑average supplies from the 2026 main Boro crop, which accounts for approximately 55 percent of total annual production. In Cambodia, wholesale rice prices were stable or increased moderately on a month‑on-month basis in June 2026 across most markets, while remaining significantly lower compared to the previous year. This reflects adequate market availability following the above-average 2025 harvest. In Sri Lanka, retail rice prices declined slightly month-on-month in June and were about 5 percent lower year-on-year, reflecting adequate supplies following the 2026 main harvest and government measures to contain price increases. These included permitting imports of alternative rice varieties to address shortages of Samba rice and enforcing maximum retail price caps for key staple varieties.

Regarding wheat grain and wheat flour, prices followed divergent trends across the subregion in June 2026. In Pakistan, retail wheat flour prices continued to increase in June 2026, driven by elevated production costs and generally tight market supplies due to limited carryover stocks and reduced production in some rainfed areas. In Afghanistan, retail wheat grain and wheat flour prices followed mixed trends in June 2026 but remained well above their year-earlier levels, largely attributed to expected production shortfalls in rainfed areas of the country due to dry weather conditions, as well as high transport costs and reduced informal trade following the closure of the border crossing with Pakistan in September 2025. In China (mainland), the national average wholesale price of wheat grain continued to decline marginally month-on-month in June, weighed down by supplies from the above-average 2026 winter wheat harvest. In India, the national average retail price of wheat grain remained stable in June 2026 and was close to their year-earlier levels. In Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, net importers of wheat, retail wheat flour prices increased marginally month-on-month in June 2026, reflecting high transportation and electricity costs.