Crop mapping in Palestine for winter and spring seasons 2023-24
Net primary production (WaPOR) and the spring crop map.
Introduction and study objectives
The primary objective of this work is to produce an inventory of crops for Jericho, a governorate that plays an important role in agricultural production in the West Bank. ARIJ, the PMoA and the PWA used Sentinel-2 satellite imagery and data for ground truthing collected in-situ at the peak of the two growing seasons (figure 1) to produce two crop maps: for the winter and spring growing season in 2025.
This exercise aimed to map crops covering more than 10% of the cultivated area while also including other agriculturally important crops that might be below this threshold, such as cauliflower, squash and corn .
The study faced significant operational challenges due to movement restrictions and transportation limitations resulting from the geopolitical and security situation, which affected field survey accessibility and sampling strategies. The team sought to mitigate these challenges by:
- making adaptations to the methodology such as the adoption of a sampling strategy that entailed dividing the target area into sections, focusing on areas where access was possible and seeking to collect a representative sample for each crop, and
- including satellite imagery analysis by experts in the validation process in order to verify and extend field observations.
This ultimately allowed for successful conduction of surveys during the peak of of the winter and spring growing seasons without any delays.
Why crop maps?
Crops maps can serve a wide range of purposes. In the context of this study and the local needs of the governorate, they are meant to assist with:
- water resource optimization: they allow the calculation of water consumption by crop type and can enable the evaluation of the current cropping calendar and the development of ones that better match water availability cycles, thereby supporting more sustainable agricultural water management;
- evidence-based policy development and measures for sustainable agriculture among others through climate adaptation and the improvement of agricultural planning for local consumption (food security) and crops for export markets (economic profitability);
- strategic economic planning; and
- the documentation of impacts of occupation restrictions on agricultural productivity, which ultimately can support advocacy for more equitable water and land access for Palestinian farmers.
The ultimate goal is to increase the profitability and sustainability of Palestinian agriculture while addressing food security concerns through data-driven decision-making that optimizes the use of limited land and water resources in Palestine's challenging geopolitical context.
Table of contents:
(click to be taken directly to the section)
Introduction and study objectives
Study area characteristics
(Jericho's agro-ecosystems, climate, population, LULC, water resources and land).
Methodology
(data sources and processing, classification approach and ground truth)
The Applied Research Institute of Jerusalem (ARIJ) performed this crop mapping exercise in collaboration with the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), the Palestinian Ministry of Agriculture (PMoA), and the Palestinian Water Authority (PWA). The crop maps were produced under the purview of the WaPOR project which, in Palestine, focuses on Jericho for the development of a tool for the monitoring of groundwater abstraction for irrigation, and of an irrigation advisory mobile application.
Palestinian Ministry of Agriculture
Acronyms and units:
Dunum: a unit of area measurement commonly used in the Middle East.
1 dunum = 1,000 square meters (m²) = 0.1 hectares
Main findings
Land use and occupation
For the winter season (2023 - 2024):
- total surveyed area: 194,124 dunums (19412.4 ha);
- main land covers: 48.5% bare soil, 19.3% urban areas, 32.2% cultivated land;
- Palestinian farmers cultivate 32,351 dunums and the settlers 30,170 dunums.
For the spring season (2024):
- Compared to the winter season, the cultivated land increased to 45.7% (23% increase);
- Palestinian farmers cultivated 138,383 dunums (72%).
Classification metrics:
- Winter: 88.8% overall accuracy (84.6% Kappa statistic*);
- Spring: 85.7% overall accuracy (82.4% Kappa statistic).
* Kappa accounts for agreement between the map and the ground truth data that might occur randomly; this value here means that the classification is 84.6% better than random guessing, that is, there is a very strong agreement between the map and ground truth.
The maximum likelihood algorithm performed best among tested methods and was therefore selected for the generation of the final maps.
Ground truthing was done using 366 ground truth points collected across both seasons (figure 1).
Other key insights:
Classification challenges:
- WINTER: initial misclassification of newly planted palm areas as bare soil;
- SPRING: bare soil was correctly identified as agricultural land, which highlights the importance of multi-seasonal monitoring.
Overall trends:
- shift from open cultivation to greenhouse farming among Palestinians (driven by water efficiency and profitability);
- significant increase in vegetable cultivation by Palestinian farmers: from 4,294.8 dunums (2021 census) to 9,792 dunums (this study).
The study demonstrated good alignment with the 2021 census.
Crop area distribution shifts:
| CROP | WINTER * | SPRING * | CHANGE |
| Open irrigated vegetables | 5,176 | 9,782 | +4,606 (nearly doubled) |
| Tree crops | 24,077 | 31,797 | +7,720 (32% increase) |
| Field crops (wheat/barley) | 0 | 7,991 | +7,991 (new production) |
| Greenhouse agriculture | 3,098 | 3,098 | No change |
* in dunums
Who farms where:
Palestinian farmers:
- focus primarily on open-field agriculture (69.4% of vegetable cultivation);
- face limited water access which restricts crop choices;
- plant primarily:
- mulukhiyah, eggplants, corn and watermelon in the spring;
- eggplants, corn and cauliflower in the winter.
Israeli settlers:
- account for 51.3% of greenhouse agriculture (3,259 dunums);
- cultivate 46.5% of tree crops (primarily dates and high-value crops like lychee and mango);
- have greater access to water resources and advanced technology.
Climate and environmental challenges
Palestine has not been sparred from the consequences of global climate change. In the Jerico governorate, these changes manifest through:
- rising temperatures: 1.5°C to 3°C above historical averages (January - July 2024);
this leads to the reduction of crop growth periods; with shorter growing seasons, farmers are increasingly under pressure; - increased water scarcity is leading to increasing evaporation rates (371.3mm above historical average in 2023).
Study area
The Jericho Governorate is located in the eastern part of the West Bank. It spans an area of approximately 592.815 km2 (592 815 dunums) and includes various land use categories such as agricultural land, Palestinian and settler built-up areas, closed military zones and bases bases, open spaces, forests, as well as mined areas.
Agriculture in the Jordan Valley is essential to Palestine’s agricultural sector and national economy, contributing significantly to food security, exports, and employment. Despite Israeli-imposed restrictions on land, water and inputs access, which limit the full production potential, the Jordan Valley remains a cornerstone for vegetable and fruit production. Palestinian agriculture represents around 7% of the national GDP and employs about 12% of the workforce, making it vital for economic stability.
More information on the different characteristics of the study area:
The governorate is located within the Jordan Valley (covering 53% of the area of the governorate) and Eastern Slope (the remainder 47%) agro-ecosystems and holds significant value for Palestine:
- for its ecology: the region is vital for biodiversity, harboring flora and fauna adapted to its semi-arid environment;
- regarding agriculture, it boasts high productivity of fruits and vegetables, especially dates, citrus, and tomatoes, as it benefits from fertile soils and water sources;
- in terms of climate, it is warm and features extended growing seasons that enable year-round cultivation, crucial for Palestine's food security and agricultural exports with a winter-growing potential that allows for multiple harvests giving the region an advantage in terms of productivity despite external challenges like water scarcity and geopolitical constraints.
Agriculture in the Jordan Valley is essential to Palestine’s agricultural sector and national economy, contributing significantly to food security, exports, and employment. Despite Israeli-imposed restrictions on land, water and inputs access, which limit its full potential, the Jordan Valley remains a cornerstone for vegetable and fruit production. Palestinian agriculture represents around 7% of the national GDP and employs about 12% of the workforce, making it vital for economic stability.
The Jericho Governorate features hot, dry summers and mild winters, with an average annual temperature of 23.2°C. The region's warm climate, coupled with fertile alluvial soil, renders it an ideal location for agriculture. In fact, it ranks third in agricultural area among the West Bank Governorates, emphasizing its vital role in the West bank agricultural production system.
Jericho's climate can be classified under the Köppen climate classification as dry or arid climates: with low precipitation rates and are described as a hot desert climate. This classification is indicative of extremely dry conditions, marked by low annual precipitation and high rates of evaporation and evapotranspiration.
The Jericho Governorate experienced significant warming in both 2023 and 2024, with temperatures consistently 1.5-5.4°C above historical averages across all months. In 2023, evaporation rates also increased dramatically, reaching 371.3mm above the historical average and peaking at over 400mm in July. The region maintains a stark seasonal precipitation pattern, with most rainfall concentrated in winter months (peaking at 35.8mm in January) and virtually no rain from June to August. These changes in the climate - combining higher temperatures, increased evaporation, and unchanged precipitation patterns - are intensifying arid conditions and creating significant challenges for water management and agriculture in the region.
In 2017, the population of Jericho and Al Aghwar Governorate was 50,002, which was projected to increase to 55,268 by 2023 according to the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics (5). The largest communities in terms of population are Aqbat Jaber Camp with 9,904 residents, Al 'Auja with 5,747 residents, and Al Jiftlik with 3,426 residents. The governorate comprises 12 main communities, including several other rural areas and camps.
Jericho's water supply relies on three main sources:
- groundwater (104 wells, mostly for agriculture):
in 2022, agriculture consumed 17.5 million cubic meters (MCM) from wells versus only 0.6 MCM for domestic use; - seven major springs:
their discharge fluctuated from 31 MCM (2020) to 24 MCM (2021) to 26 MCM (2022), with 'Ein as Sultan Spring serving as Jericho city's primary water source; and - treated wastewater:
provided by the Jericho wastewater treatment plant. 82% of treated effluent used for irrigation (up to 1,600 cubic meters daily in summer), primarily for date palms that tolerate higher salinity levels. Farmers pay 15 cents per cubic meter and manage their own distribution systems.
Land
The Oslo II Interim Agreement, enacted in September 1995 between the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) and Israel, marked a significant step towards addressing the prolonged occupation of the West Bank. The agreement stipulated a phased Israeli withdrawal from West Bank areas, leading to their division into three distinct zones each denoting different levels of Palestinian and Israeli control. This division was intended to facilitate further negotiations.
This segmentation into zones fragmented the landscape, disrupting the geographic and administrative unity of the Palestinian territories, also affecting heavily the agricultural sector.
Israeli settlement activities in Jericho began following the Israeli occupation of the West Bank and Gaza Strip in 1967. These activities aim to unilaterally and illegally establish demographic and physical presences that could undermine Palestinian sustainability on their lands, aspiring to create an Israeli majority from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea. The occupation has involved the continuous confiscation of Palestinian lands, uprooting of fruitful trees, and demolition of Palestinian houses.
After the June 1967 war, several Israeli settlements were established, leading to a significant expansion of settlement activity in the Governorate. Currently, there are 20 Israeli settlements in Jericho Governorate, housing approximately 8,450 settlers. These settlements occupy about 24,860 dunums, or roughly 4% of the Governorate’s total area. Additionally, there are 58,627 dunums of agricultural land associated with these settlements, accounting for 9.8% of the Governorate’s total area. Furthermore, in the years between 1996 and 2009; Israeli settlers in Jericho Governorate established 11 locations, which came to known as settlements’ outposts.
Methodology
The project team selected QGIS, an open-source geographic information system, for analyzing satellite imagery to map crop types using data sources like Sentinel-2 and Landsat. They employed supervised classification methods, training classifiers with ground truth data from field surveys to identify different crop types based on their spectral characteristics. The Semi-Automatic Classification Plugin within QGIS was used alongside Sentinel-2 imagery to create accurate crop type maps for the study area. Data preprocessing involved importing field survey data from Kobo Toolbox, cleaning it in Excel, and converting it to GIS shape files with digitized polygons around GPS sample points. The land cover data was classified into categories including natural vegetation, non-vegetation, water bodies, and various cropland types, with unique numerical codes added to the attribute tables for systematic classification.
The crop maps
Animation of the split view between the winter (left) and spring (right) crop maps of Jericho available in the WaPOR portal.
Winter growing season (2023 - 2024)
The winter growing season in Jericho Governorate corresponds to the agricultural period from December (2023) to February (2024).
Field surveys for training and validation data collection were conducted between December 10, 2023 and February 5, 2024 (55 days in total).
🛰️ The satellite imagery used for the classification was captured in December 26, 2023 (at the peak maturity of the crops).
Main crops: vegetables and field crops (eggplants, corn, squash, and cauliflower) as well as palm and banana trees.
Spring growing season (2024)
The spring growing season in the Jericho governorate corresponds to the agricultural period from January to May (2024).
Field surveys were conducted between April 20, 2024 and June 16, 2024 (53 days in total).
🛰️ The satellite imagery used for the classification was captured on April 23, 2024 (at the peak maturity of the crops).
Main crops: vegetables and field crops such as eggplants, corn, squash, mulukhiyah, muskmelon, okra, snake cucumber, tomato, watermelon, cauliflower, wheat, and barley.
Winter map classification statistics:
- nearly half the land remained bare (bare soil 48.5%);
- urban areas comprised 19.3% of the total surveyed area;
- and cultivated land accounted for 32.2% of the total surveyed area (regardless of who cultivates the land): 62,521 dunums.
Agricultural production concentrated on 62,521 dunums of cultivated land: tree crops dominated the landscape, palm trees, along with banana and citrus cultivation, occupied 80% of agricultural area (49,721 dunums); vegetables and field crops occupied the remaining 20% (12,800 dunums).
Palestinian farmers managed 32,351 dunums compared to 30,170 dunums cultivated by settlers.
The study revealed distinct farming approaches between the two groups:
- Palestinian farmers focused on open-field irrigated agriculture, cultivating 5,176 dunums of vegetables and representing 64.6% of total vegetable farming; primarily eggplants, corn, and cauliflower, with squash representing the smallest cultivation area.
- Israeli settlers, however, controlled 51.3% of greenhouse operations (3,259 dunums), demonstrating superior access to advanced technology, infrastructure, and irrigation systems.
The classification yielded an 88.8% overall classification accuracy and 84.6% Kappa statistic, showcasing the great potential of combining satellite imagery with field validation for agricultural monitoring.
The study faced challenges distinguishing between Palestinian and Israeli settler cultivations due to their proximity and crop overlap, plus timing differences between the 2021 census and 2023 survey. Despite these limitations, the data showed close alignment between the two datasets.
Key comparisons revealed:
- Protected agriculture: 2,273.3 dunums (census) vs. 3,098 dunums (study) - 26.6% increase
- Open irrigated vegetables: 6,149.6 dunums (census) vs. 5,176 dunums (study) - 18.8% decrease
- Tree crops (dates/bananas): 26,247.3 dunums (census) vs. 24,077 dunums (study) - 9% decrease
Explanation for discrepancies: the most significant factor was a documented shift from open-field to greenhouse cultivation over the past two years, driven by their potential for improved productivity, water efficiency, and profitability. Such transition to protected agriculture corresponds to a decrease in open cultivation areas. Additionally, newly planted fruit tree areas were sometimes misclassified as bare soil due to similar spectral signatures in early growth stages.
Overall validation: total cultivated area was 34,670.2 dunums (census) compared to 32,351 dunums (study), representing only a 7.2% difference and confirming the reliability of the remote sensing methodology despite the methodological challenges encountered.
Spring classification statistics:
- bare soil decreased to 35.6% (69,201 dunums);
- urban areas remained at 19.3% (37,394 dunums);
- and cultivated land expanded to 45.1% of the total surveyed area (regardless of who cultivates the land): 87,528 dunums.
Agricultural production corresponded to 87,528 dunums of cultivated land, which includes 81,171 dunums of main crops (trees, vegetables, and field crops) plus 6,357 dunums of greenhouses. Tree crops dominated the landscape, occupying 68% of main crop area; vegetables and field crops occupied 17% (11,915 dunums), primarily wheat and barley, representing a significant new category at 15%.
Palestinian farmers managed 47,291 dunums of main crops compared to 33,880 dunums cultivated by settlers. Additionally, greenhouses covered 6,357 dunums (Palestinian: 3,098 dunums; Settlers: 3,259 dunums).
Open irrigated vegetable cultivation seems to have more than doubled from 4,294.8 dunums in 2021 (from census data) to 9,792 dunums in 2024, potentially indicating successful adaptation to the strenuous economic conditions of Palestinians and their access to labor markets.
The performance of the classification was of 85.7% accuracy and a Kappa statistic of 82.4%.
The study faced similar challenges as the winter season in distinguishing Palestinian from Israeli settler cultivations due to crop proximity and overlap, compounded by timing differences between the 2021 census and 2024 survey. Despite these methodological limitations, the comparison showed general data alignment with notable increases in certain crop areas that corroborated field observations.
Key comparisons revealed substantial growth:
- Protected agriculture: 2,273.3 dunums (2021 census) vs. 3,098 dunums (2024 study) - 36.3% increase
- Open irrigated vegetables: 4,294.8 dunums (2021 census) vs. 9,792 dunums (2024 study) - 128% increase
- Tree crops (palm/citrus/banana): 28,175.4 dunums (2021 census) vs. 29,518 dunums (2024 study) - 4.8% increase
Explanation for significant increases: the dramatic growth in open vegetable cultivation reflected multiple factors:
- continued farmer transition from open-field to greenhouse systems for efficiency gains,
- limited access to Israeli labor markets prompting increased agricultural focus, and
- improved remote sensing accuracy in detecting previously unrecorded cultivation areas.
Overall validation: total cultivated area increased from 34,792 dunums (2021 census) to 50,389 dunums (2024 study), representing a 44.8% increase. While larger than the winter season variance, this substantial growth aligned with documented agricultural expansion trends and demonstrated the value of combining remote sensing with ground-truth validation for monitoring agricultural changes in water-scarce regions.
Conclusion and recommendations
Recommendations
The ARIJ contextualized the findings of the study of the two crop maps, to create a list of recommendations that can support the improvement of Palestinian agriculture, guiding decision-maker actions and investments in a few categories:
1. Water use optimization
Agricultural stakeholders should prioritize implementing water-saving technologies including drip irrigation and precision agriculture systems across Palestinian farming areas to address the current water scarcity challenges.
The expansion of treated wastewater use for irrigation presents a viable solution, building on the successful Jericho waste water treatment plant permitting farmers to utilize as much as 82% of treated effluent for date palm irrigation. It has to be, however, accompanied with other interventions, such as the development of soil moisture conservation techniques such as mulching and cover cropping to maximize water retention efficiency, particularly important given the 371.3 mm increase in evaporation rates documented in the climate tab of the study area section in this page.
2. Technology transfer and capacity building
Palestinian farmers require technical and financial support to expand greenhouse agriculture, which offers superior water efficiency and profitability compared to open-field cultivation. Political stability is, however, a pre-requisite for this to be achieved. Training programs should focus on advanced agricultural techniques, including:
- greenhouse management,
- integrated pest management, and
- climate-resilient farming practices that can help farmers cope with the temperature increases of 1.5-5.4°C above historical averages.
Agricultural professionals also need access and trainng on data-driven tools such as the ones based on WaPOR data to enhance local capacity for agricultural monitoring and planning, ensuring the sustainability of crop mapping initiatives.
3. Agricultural planning and data systems
The development of integrated cropping calendars based on water availability, crop demand, and market conditions would optimize resource allocation in this water-constrained environment. Establishing a national crop mapping system that extends this methodology to all Palestinian governorates would create comprehensive agricultural monitoring capabilities. This is partially already in motion with the integration of WaPOR data into the Palestinian water information system. The linking of this information system with a centralized agricultural database that includes data such as crop maps, market information, as well as climate projections has the pontential to enable evidence-based decision-making for sustainable agricultural development.
4. Climate adaptation
The current climate pressures create a need for drought-resistant crop varieties and farming techniques that are adapted to the rising temperatures and the increased evaporation rates. Moreover, early warning systems for climate risks including heatwaves, droughts, and extreme weather events can help farmers proactively protect their crops and adjust cultivation practices. Climate-smart agricultural practices that reduce water demand while maintaining productivity are essential for long-term agricultural sustainability in the region.
5. Resource access and rights
Occupation-imposed restrictions on access to land and water resources, has and continues to be one of the biggest hurdles facing Palestinian farmers. 27.8 - 28% of surveyed land remains under Israeli control (in Winter and Spring).
Palestinian authorities need support in developing policies that ensure equitable resource distribution and sustainable land management practices. Documenting and sharing the impacts of resource restrictions on Palestinian agricultural productivity and food security can contribute to strengthening advocacy efforts and inform international policy discussions.
6. Research and monitoring
Regular crop mapping surveys using remote sensing technology enable the monitoring of agricultural dynamics over time and of the impacts of agricultural policies. Having that information on a regular basis can ensure that decision-makers have the best and most current data for strategic planning.
The ultimate goal remains increasing the profitability and sustainability of agriculture in the Jericho Governorate while enhancing food security through data-driven decision-making that optimizes limited land and water resources. Success will require sustained commitment to both technological advancement and addressing the structural barriers that currently constrain Palestinian agricultural development in this strategically important region.
Conclusions
This comprehensive crop mapping study of Jericho Governorate demonstrates the significant value of integrating remote sensing technologies with field validation for agricultural monitoring in complex geopolitical environments. The research successfully mapped crop distributions across winter and spring seasons 2023-2024, achieving high classification accuracies of 88.8% (winter) and 85.7% (spring), while revealing critical insights about agricultural dynamics in one of Palestine's most important farming regions.
The study documented a substantial increase in cultivated land from winter to spring seasons driven by the emergence of spring field crops, the nearly doubling of open irrigated vegetables and the continued expansion of tree cultivation. However, the research uncovered persistent structural constraints that limit Palestinian agricultural potential. Israeli control of over 27.8-28% of the surveyed area, particularly prime agricultural land and water resources, creates fundamental barriers to sustainable development. Moreover, climate data revealed intensifying environmental pressures, with temperatures consistently above historical averages and evaporation rates higher than normal. These conditions, combined with unchanged precipitation patterns, are creating additional stress on an already water-constrained agricultural system.
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