Technical Network on Poverty Analysis (THINK-PA)

Prepared, not just reactive: anticipatory social protection for a changing climate

Hybrid Event, 30/10/2025

This webinar will explore how social protection systems can act before shocks hit by incorporating anticipatory action – such as early cash transfers, food assistance, and agricultural inputs – based on forecasts and risk analyses, rather than only responding after disasters. Drawing on evidence from countries like Bangladesh and Niger, the session will highlight how timely, well-targeted interventions can protect livelihoods, improve food security, enhance well-being, and foster adaptive behaviors. Participants will gain an understanding of how anticipatory approaches differ from traditional shock-responsive programs. anticipatory social protection for a changing climate.

What will you learn?

  • Understand anticipatory social protection systems: what they are, how they differ from other shock responsive programs, and why tailoring them to different types of hazards matters.
  • Gain insights from real-world experiences: lessons from Bangladesh and Niger on how anticipatory programmes were implemented, for whom they worked, and with what outcomes.
  • Explore evidence of impact: how anticipatory action can improve preparedness, protect assets, enhance food security, and support mental well-being when well-`med and adequately resourced.
  • Examine pathways to sustainability: how anticipatory approaches can be embedded into national social protection systems, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.
  • Identify future priorities: key research gaps and operational challenges that need to be addressed at both multilateral and national levels to strengthen implementation.
SPEAKERS
  • Daniel Clarke: Executive Director - Centre for Disaster Protection
  • Ashley Pople: Economist, Young Professional, World Bank Group  
Discussant:
  • Niccolò Lombardi: Emergency and Rehabilitation officer FAO-OER