Title:  Climate Change and Food Systems: Global assessments and implications for food security and trade
Division:  Trade and Markets Division
PDF Version


Climate Change and Food Systems:

Global assessments and implications for food security and trade

Edited by Aziz Elbehri


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Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations 2015


This book collects the findings of a group of scientists and economists who have taken stock of climate change impacts on food and agriculture at global and regional levels over the past two decades. The evidence presented describes how global warming will impact where and how food is produced and discusses the significant consequences for food security, health and nutrition, water scarcity and climate adaptation. The book also highlights the implications for global food trade.

The evidence presented in the book is presented in a way that is widely accessible to policy decision makers and practitioners and makes a distinct contribution towards a greater science-policy interchange. Put together, the different analyses in the book paint a comprehensive perspective linking climate change to food, nutrition, water, and trade along with suggested policy responses.

Table of Contents





Chapter 1: Climate change, food security and trade: An overview of global assessments and policy insights
Aziz Elbehri, Joshua Elliott and Tim Wheeler


Chapter 2: The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison: Approaches, insights and caveats for modelling climate change impacts on agriculture at the global scale
Christoph Müller and Joshua Elliott


Chapter 3: Economic modelling of climate impacts and adaptation in agriculture: A survey of methods, results and gaps
Aziz Elbehri and Mary Burfisher


Chapter 4: An overview of climate change impact on crop production and its variability in Europe, related uncertainties and research challenges
Reimund Rötter and Jukka Höhn


Chapter 5: Climate change impact on key crops in Africa: Using crop models and general equilibrium models to bound the predictions
Timothy Thomas and Mark Rosegrant


Chapter 6: Global climate change, food supply and livestock production systems: A bioeconomic analysis
Petr Havlik, David Leclère, Hugo Valin, Mario Herrero, Erwin Schmid, Jean-Francois Soussana, Christoph Müller and Michael Obersteiner


Chapter 7: Grain production trends in the Russian Federation, Ukraine and Kazakhstan in the context of climate change and international trade
Elena Lioubimtseva, Nicolai Dronin and Andrei Kirilenko


Chapter 8: The potential impact of climate change-induced sea level rise on the global rice market and food security
Ching-Cheng chang, Huey-Lin Lee and Shih-Hsun Hsu


Chapter 9: An assessment of global banana production and suitability under climate change scenarios
German Caliberto, Charles Staver and Pablo Siles


Chapter 10: The role of international trade under a changing climate: Insights from global economic modelling
Helal Ahammad and colleagues


Chapter 11: Climate change impacts on food systems and implications for climate-compatible food policies
Tim Wheeler


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ISBN 978-92-5-108699-5

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