Tourism 2020 Vision: Forecast of Tourism Arrivals in Namibia by Main Market.
Origin Market |
Actual |
Forecast |
Growth Rate (% pa) | |||||||
1997 |
1998 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
1997-1998 |
1997-2000 |
2000-2010 |
2010-2020 |
1997-2020 | |
South Africa |
187.687 |
209.318 |
263.687 |
472.223 |
806.625 |
11.53 |
12.00 |
6.00 |
5.50 |
6.54 |
Angola |
158.188 |
177.316 |
210.548 |
326.975 |
439.427 |
12.09 |
10.00 |
4.50 |
3.00 |
4.54 |
Botswana |
17.695 |
19.589 |
22.916 |
41.038 |
66.847 |
10.70 |
9.00 |
6.00 |
5.00 |
5.95 |
Zambia |
7.589 |
9.317 |
12.469 |
26.920 |
46.209 |
22,77 |
18,00 |
8.00 |
6.00 |
8.37 |
Zimbabwe |
7.559 |
8.395 |
10.061 |
21.721 |
38.899 |
11.06 |
10.00 |
8.00 |
6.00 |
7.38 |
German |
54.952 |
59.623 |
69.224 |
129.942 |
232.707 |
8.50 |
8.00 |
6.50 |
6.00 |
6.48 |
United Kingdom |
12.555 |
13.992 |
16.711 |
36.077 |
64.609 |
11.45 |
10.00 |
8.00 |
6.00 |
7.38 |
Italy |
4.917 |
5.597 |
6.908 |
14.914 |
26.709 |
13.83 |
12.00 |
8.00 |
6.00 |
7.64 |
France |
5.463 |
6.156 |
7.471 |
13.380 |
22.855 |
12.69 |
11.00 |
6.00 |
5.50 |
6.42 |
Scandinavia |
3.253 |
3.355 |
3.929 |
7.376 |
13.210 |
3.23 |
6.50 |
6.50 |
6.00 |
6.28 |
Other |
42.154 |
47.013 |
60.020 |
186.413 |
553.637 |
11.53 |
12.50 |
12.00 |
11.50 |
11.85 |
Total |
502.012 |
559.674 |
683.944 |
1277 |
2313.734 |
11.53 |
10.86 |
6.44 |
6.12 |
6.87 |
Source: WTO
Source of Tourism in Namibia
Region and Country |
1993 |
Share % |
1996 |
Growth %p.a |
Share% |
1997 |
Growth %p.a |
Share% |
1998 |
Growth%p.a |
Share% |
AFRICA Angola |
12.719 |
4,99 |
144,915 |
125.02 |
31,41 |
158,188 |
9,16 |
31,51 |
177,316 |
12.09 |
31.68 |
Botswana |
11,889 |
4,66 |
16,011 |
10.43 |
3.47 |
17,695 |
10.52 |
3.52 |
19,589 |
10.70 |
3.50 |
South Africa |
155,050 |
60.81 |
172,544 |
3.63 |
37.40 |
187,687 |
8.78 |
37.39 |
209,318 |
11.53 |
37.40 |
Zambia |
8,798 |
3.45 |
6,699 |
8.69 |
1.45 |
7,589 |
13.29 |
1.51 |
9,317 |
22.77 |
1.66 |
Zimbabwe |
4,676 |
1.83 |
6,848 |
13.56 |
1.48 |
7,559 |
10.38 |
1.51 |
8,395 |
11.06 |
1.50 |
Other Africa |
3,440 |
1.35 |
4,381 |
8.39 |
0.95 |
4,797 |
9.50 |
0.96 |
5,597 |
16.68 |
1.00 |
TOTAL AFRICA |
196,572 |
77.09 |
351,398 |
21.36 |
76.17 |
383,515 |
9.14 |
76.40 |
429,532 |
12.00 |
76.75 |
EUROPE Australia |
n.a. |
n.a |
4,574 |
n.a |
0.99 |
4,958 |
8.40 |
0.99 |
5,541 |
11.76 |
0.99 |
France |
2,374 |
0.93 |
5,127 |
29.26 |
1.11 |
5,463 |
6.55 |
1.09 |
6,156 |
12.69 |
1.10 |
German |
29,730 |
11.66 |
50,899 |
19.63 |
11.03 |
54,952 |
7.90 |
10.95 |
59,623 |
8.50 |
10.65 |
Italy |
2,262 |
0.69 |
4,672 |
27.35 |
1.01 |
4,917 |
5.24 |
0.98 |
5,597 |
13.83 |
1.00 |
Scandinavia |
1,849 |
0.73 |
2,996 |
17.45 |
0.65 |
3,253 |
8.58 |
0.65 |
3,358 |
3.23 |
0.60 |
Spain/Portugal |
n.a |
n.a |
2,237 |
n.a |
0.48 |
2,427 |
8.49 |
0.48 |
2,686 |
10.67 |
0.48 |
Switzerland |
n.a |
n.a |
4,092 |
n.a |
0.89 |
4,325 |
5.69 |
0.86 |
4,702 |
8.72 |
0.84 |
United Kingdom |
5,987 |
2.35 |
11,562 |
24.53 |
2.51 |
12,555 |
8.59 |
2.50 |
13,992 |
11.45 |
2.50 |
Other Europe |
8,076 |
3.17 |
7,787 |
-1.21 |
1.69 |
8,312 |
6.74 |
1.66 |
9,458 |
13.79 |
1.60 |
TOTAL EUROPE |
50,276 |
19.72 |
93,946 |
23.17 |
20.37 |
101.162 |
7.68 |
20.15 |
111.116 |
9.84 |
19.85 |
Rest of World North America |
4,8900 |
1.92 |
8,452 |
20.01 |
1.83 |
9.181 |
8.63 |
1.83 |
10,074 |
9.73 |
1.80 |
Other, incl. Australia S.E.Asia Japan |
3,238 |
1.27 |
7,514 |
32.39 |
1.63 |
8,154 |
8.52 |
1.62 |
8,955 |
9.82 |
1.60 |
Total Rest of World |
8,128 |
3.19 |
15,966 |
25.24 |
3.46 |
17,335 |
8.57 |
3.45 |
19,029 |
9.77 |
3.40 |
Grand Total |
254,978 |
100.00 |
461,310 |
21.85 |
100.00 |
502,012 |
8.82 |
100.00 |
559,674 |
11.49 |
100.00 |
Graph on Harpagophytum Export, Extract adopted from Ministry of Environment and Tourism's Division of Special Support Services 1999.
