FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3 - December 2002 p.23

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CHAD

Area: 1 284 000 sq km
Climate: From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; rainy season: May-Oct.
Population: 7.94 million (2003 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$200 (2001)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked Sahelian country.
Logistics: Roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops: Millet and sorghum, roots and tubers, tree nuts
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: August-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 52 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

After erratic and below-normal rains at the beginning of the season, that delayed sowings of cereals by 2 - 6 weeks, better precipitation occurred from July onwards, notably in the Sudanian zone. Pasture is adequate in both the Sudanian and Sahelian zones. However, in July, shortage of pasture in the departments of Dadaba, Baguirmi and Hadjer Lamis, resulted in some losses of livestock. Grasshopper attacks and army worm infestations were reported in several regions early in the season. In September, grasshoppers caused damage to crops in several areas of the Sahelian zone.

A joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission which visited the country in mid-October provisionally estimated the aggregate output of cereals at 1.12 million tonnes, 15 percent below last year's above average level of 1.31 million tonnes and only fractionally lower than the average for the previous five years.

Despite this year's reduced crop, the overall food supply position is satisfactory. However, people in the areas previously affected by floods and those living in the structural deficit areas of Karem and Bahr El Ghazel will continue to be in need of food assistance. Prices of cereals this year remained mostly stable compared to 2001 and started to decline with the arrival of the new crop on the markets.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002/03 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
     Previous five years average production 4 118 1 042 1 164
     Previous five years average imports 57 13 13 83
2002/03 Domestic Availability 4 62 1 099 1 165
     2002 Production (rice in paddy terms) 4 90 1 029 1 123
     2002 Production (rice in milled terms) 4 62 1 029 1 095
     Possible stock drawdown - - 70 70
2002/03 Utilization 69 86 1 108 1 263
     Food use 64 72 893 1 028
       of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
     Non-food use 1 14 199 214
     Exports or re-exports - - 16 16
     Possible stock build up 5 - - 5
2002/03 Import Requirement 65 24 9 98
     Anticipated commercial imports 65 24 2 91
     Food aid needs - - 7 7
Current Aid Position        
     Food aid pledges - - 7 7
       of which: delivered - - 2 2
     Donor-financed purchases - - - -
       of which: for local use - - - -
                        for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 8 9 112 130
Indexes        
     2002 Production as % of average:       97
     2002/03 Import requirement as % of average:       118

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