FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3 - December 2002 p.46

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NAMIBIA

Area: 823 000 sq km
Climate: Mostly arid (south-west and coast) or semi-arid. Only north and north-east gets regular rainfall in November-April
Population: 1.98 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$1 960 (2001)
Specific characteristics of the country: Arid to semi-arid country; cereal production mainly in the north
Logistics: Good road and railway network
Major foodcrops: Millet, maize, sorghum, wheat
Marketing year: May/April;
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 48 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Abundant rains in the third dekad of November and first week of December in northern growing areas, benefited planting of the 2003 cereal crops. Early prospects are favourable.

The food supply situation is tight for large numbers of people in rural areas following two consecutive reduced cereal harvests. While most of the deficit in marketing year 2002/03 (May/April) estimated at 156 000 tonnes, is expected to be covered on commercial basis, only 71 000 tonnes have been received in the country by late November. Prices of cereals are reported one-quarter higher than a year earlier. Some 345 000 most vulnerable people face food shortages and are in need of food assistance until the next harvest. The Government plans to distribute 30 000 tonnes of cereals to the affected population and has allocated up to US$ 14 million for the emergency operation.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002/03 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
     Previous five years average production 5 - 105 110
     Previous five years average imports 56 - 92 148
2002/03 Domestic Availability 6 - 75 81
     2002 Production (rice in paddy terms) 6 - 63 69
     2002 Production (rice in milled terms) 6 - 63 69
     Possible stock drawdown - - 12 12
2002/03 Utilization 54 - 183 237
     Food use 53 - 176 229
       of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
     Non-food use - - 7 7
     Exports or re-exports - - - -
     Possible stock build up 1 - - 1
2002/03 Import Requirement 48 - 108 156
     Anticipated commercial imports 48 - 108 156
     Food aid needs - - - -
Current Aid Position        
     Food aid pledges 20 - - 20
       of which: delivered - - - -
     Donor-financed purchases - - - -
       of which: for local use - - - -
                        for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 28 - 95 124
Indexes        
     2002 Production as % of average:       63
     2002/03 Import requirement as % of average:       105

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