FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3 - December 2002 p.45

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MOZAMBIQUE

Area: 784 000 sq km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry; coast is semi-arid
Population: 18.19 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$210 (2001)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; exposed to tropical storms and cyclones
Logistics: Dilapidated rail and road transport fleet; lack of fuel and spares; poor roads; substantial Deliveries by coastal vessels
Major foodcrops: Roots, tubers, maize
Marketing year: April/March; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 53 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Excessive rains in the first week of November in southern parts, which resulted in localized floods have been followed by well below-average precipitation until the end of the month which has delayed planting of the 2003 cereal crops. Expectations of an increase in the area planted in response to high level of prices and adequate input availability could not materialize if more rains are not received soon.

The overall food supply situation remains stable following the good cereal harvest of 2002 that resulted in exportable surpluses in northern parts. Prices of maize which have increased sharply since August, stabilized in October. However, in the capital Maputo they are above their level of a year ago. The increase in prices reflects steady internal demand and substantial exports to deficit neighbouring countries.

The food situation remains difficult in southern provinces and parts of the central and northern provinces, where cereal production declined by 34 percent from the reduced level of the previous year, and 590 000 people are estimated to be in need of relief assistance. Emergency food aid requirement for the period September 2002-March 2003 are estimated at 49 000 tonnes. Food aid in WFP pipeline is adequate to cover requirements until February. However, distributions have been delayed because low capacity of implementing partners.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002/03 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
     Previous five years average production 2 175 1 463 1 640
     Previous five years average imports 201 123 113 437
2002/03 Domestic Availability - 109 1 626 1 735
     2002 Production (rice in paddy terms) - 164 1 606 1 770
     2002 Production (rice in milled terms) - 109 1 606 1 715
     Possible stock drawdown - - 20 20
2002/03 Utilization 260 371 1 746 2 377
     Food use 255 341 1 273 1 869
       of which: local purchase requirement - - 20 20
     Non-food use 5 30 273 308
     Exports or re-exports - - 200 200
     Possible stock build up - - - -
2002/03 Import Requirement 260 262 120 642
     Anticipated commercial imports 260 262 70 592
     Food aid needs - - 50 50
Current Aid Position        
     Food aid pledges 35 7 63 105
       of which: delivered - - 63 63
     Donor-financed purchases - - 5 5
       of which: for local use - - 5 5
                        for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 14 19 70 103
Indexes        
     2002 Production as % of average:       108
     2002/03 Import requirement as % of average:       147

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