FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3 - December 2002 p.58

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TANZANIA

Area: 886 000 sq km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry climate with two rainy seasons in north (November-December and March-May) and one in south (November-April)
Population: 34.77 million (2002 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$270 (2001)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; cereal surplus production in south and south-west; cereal deficit in central and north-west. Distribution difficulties
Logistics: Serious shortage of rolling stock, fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops: Maize, roots, tubers, sorghum, pulses, plantains, rice
Marketing year: June/May; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 60 percent

CURRENT SITUATION

Planting of the 2002/03 short season “vuli” crops in the bi-modal northern areas is underway. The 2002 total cereal production (maize, rice, wheat, sorghum and millet) at 4.3 (milled basis) million tonnes, is about 10 percent above last year's harvest due to favourable rains. Similarly, production of non-cereal crops (pulses, potatoes, cassava and plantains) is reported to be good.

The overall food situation remains satisfactory with increased on-farm stocks and market supplies. However, current wholesale prices for maize in major maize producing regions (including Rukwa, Mbeya, and Iringa in the Southern Highlands, and Dodoma in central Tanzania) were higher this month than the previous five-year average.  Also, on some other markets such as Kilimanjaro and Tanga (northern Tanzania), wholesale prices for maize have already started to rise at earlier dates relative to their five-year average trends.

WFP distributed over 3 900 tonnes of food in end-October to early-November to almost 529 000 refugees in Ngara, Kibondo, Kasulu and Lugufu camps.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2002/03 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)

  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
     Previous five years average production 89 788 3 135 4 012
     Previous five years average imports 278 72 92 442
2002/03 Domestic Availability 179 507 3 704 4 390
     2002 Production (rice in paddy terms) 79 780 3 704 4 563
     2002 Production (rice in milled terms) 79 507 3 704 4 290
     Possible stock drawdown 100 - - 100
2002/03 Utilization 299 587 3 774 4 660
     Food use 271 537 3 304 4 112
       of which: local purchase requirement - - 60 60
     Non-food use 8 50 370 428
     Exports or re-exports 20 - 50 70
     Possible stock build up - - 50 50
2002/03 Import Requirement 120 80 70 270
     Anticipated commercial imports 117 80 20 217
     Food aid needs 3 - 50 53
Current Aid Position        
     Food aid pledges 3 - 14 17
       of which: delivered 3 - 14 17
     Donor-financed purchases - - 19 19
       of which: for local use - - 19 19
                        for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 8 15 95 118
Indexes        
     2002 Production as % of average:       114
     2002/03 Import requirement as % of average:       61

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