FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - June 2004 p.31
The 2003 aggregate cereal crop, estimated at about 2 million tonnes, is 12 percent higher than the average for the previous five years but about 7 percent down from the previous year. The cereal import requirement for 2004, mainly wheat and rice, is forecast at 506 000 tonnes of which about 420 000 tonnes are anticipated to be covered by commercial imports.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2004 MARKETING YEAR (January/December) | ||||
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
| [ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
| Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 280 | 1 875 | 2 155 |
| Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 241 | 1 563 | 1 804 |
| Previous year imports | 265 | 333 | 13 | 611 |
| Previous five years average imports | 257 | 241 | 37 | 535 |
| 2004 Domestic Availability | - | 172 | 1 770 | 1 942 |
| 2003 Production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 243 | 1 770 | 2 013 |
| 2003 Production (incl. milled rice) | - | 162 | 1 770 | 1 932 |
| Possible stock drawdown | - | 10 | - | 10 |
| 2004 Utilization | 266 | 392 | 1 790 | 2 448 |
| Food use | 263 | 352 | 1 241 | 1 856 |
| Non-food use | 3 | 30 | 399 | 432 |
| Exports or re-exports | - | 10 | 150 | 160 |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | - | - |
| 2004 Import Requirement | 266 | 220 | 20 | 506 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 210 | 200 | 10 | 420 |
| of which: received or contracted | 63 | 313 | - | 375 |
| Food aid needs | 56 | 20 | 10 | 86 |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | 38 | 6 | 5 | 49 |
| of which: delivered | - | 6 | - | 7 |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | - | - | - |
| of which: for local use | - | - | - | - |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 13 | 17 | 61 | 91 |
| Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
| 2003 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | - | 101 | 113 | 112 |
| 2004 Import requirement compared to average | 104 | 91 | 54 | 95 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake | 28 | |||
| Additional Information | ||||
| Major foodcrops | roots; tubers; coarse grains; rice | |||
| Lean season | April-June | |||
| Population (000s) | 20 422 | |||
| GNI per capita in 2002 (US$) | 270 | |||