Table A3.1. Population forecast
Table A3.2. Livestock
population
Table A3.3. Human development Index
Table A3.4. Sector shares
of gross domestic product
Table A3.5. Past gross domestic product
Table
A3.6. GDP during the current five year plan period
Government predictions of population for the current (VIII) and next two five year plan (IX and X) periods, assuming declining population growth rates as indicated against each year.
Population (million) |
Growth Rate (%) | |
1997 |
0.619 |
2.92 |
1998 |
0.636 |
2.83 |
1999 |
0.654 |
2.74 |
2000 |
0.672 |
2.65 |
2001 |
0.689 |
2.56 |
2002 |
0.725 |
2.43 |
2003 |
0.742 |
2.35 |
2004 |
0.759 |
2.26 |
2005 |
0.775 |
2.17 |
2006 |
0.792 |
2.08 |
2007 |
0.808 |
1.99 |
2008 |
0.823 |
1.91 |
2009 |
0.838 |
1.82 |
2010 |
0.853 |
1.73 |
2011 |
0.867 |
1.63 |
(Source: VIII FYP)
Livestock |
1985 |
1986 |
1987 |
1988 |
1989 |
1990 |
1991 |
1992 |
1 000 | ||||||||
Cattle |
347.4 |
340.3 |
357.0 |
357.4 |
349.9 |
358.6 |
335.5 |
310.0 |
Yak |
31.3 |
35.7 |
30.1 |
35.6 |
37.1 |
33.0 |
31.5 |
30.2 |
Buffalo |
n.a |
n.a |
5.2 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
2.6 |
0.9 |
Sheep |
52.3 |
43.8 |
36.4 |
46.6 |
47.8 |
45.2 |
36.0 |
31.0 |
Goat |
n.a |
n.a |
40.9 |
36.7 |
32.5 |
36.6 |
25.1 |
14.5 |
Horse |
n.a |
23.6 |
26.0 |
25.7 |
26.1 |
25.1 |
25.2 |
25.3 |
(Source: Wangchuk, 1998)
1984 |
1994 | |
Life expectancy at birth (years) |
47.4 |
66.0 |
Adult literacy rate (%) |
28.0 |
46.0 |
Combined first, second and third level gross enrolment rate (%) |
24.5 |
40.1 |
Real GDP per capita (PPP$) |
1,652 |
2,418 |
Life Expectancy Index |
0.373 |
0.683 |
Adult Literacy Index |
0.280 |
0.460 |
Combined Enrolment Index |
0.245 |
0.401 |
Educational Attainment Index |
0.268 |
0.440 |
GDP Index |
0.290 |
0.433 |
Human Development Index |
0.310 |
0.510 |
% GDP, 1985 |
% GDP, 1995 |
% Growth,
| |
54.9 |
38.0 |
2.9 | |
Mining |
0.8 |
1.3 |
11.6 |
Manufacturing |
4.9 |
9.1 |
13.5 |
Electricity |
0.4 |
8.3 |
48.2 |
Construction |
11.1 |
10.8 |
6.5 |
Trade |
8.7 |
6.0 |
3.0 |
Transport & Communications |
5.2 |
8.2 |
11.8 |
Financial Services |
5.6 |
7.4 |
9.8 |
Community & Social Services |
8.2 |
10.9 |
9.8 |
(Source: VIIIFYP, 1996)
This table provides information on the inter-sectoral structural development of the agriculture sector of the gross domestic product (GDP) during past decade.
Sector |
1985 |
1986 |
1987 |
1988 |
1989 |
1990 |
1991 |
1992 |
1993 |
1994 |
1995 |
Compound Growth (%), 1985-95 |
1. Agriculture |
834 |
881 |
926 |
940 |
963 |
993 |
1025 |
1006 |
1045 |
1066 |
1119 |
2.9 |
1.1 Agriculture Proper |
412 |
436 |
458 |
486 |
515 |
531 |
545 |
556 |
564 |
575 |
601 |
3.9 |
1.2 Livestock |
169 |
177 |
185 |
192 |
202 |
212 |
229 |
202 |
227 |
232 |
246 |
3.8 |
1.3 Forestry and logging |
254 |
267 |
283 |
263 |
247 |
250 |
250 |
249 |
254 |
259 |
271 |
1 |
2. Mining and quarrying |
13 |
22 |
22 |
19 |
22 |
19 |
27 |
24 |
26 |
30 |
38 |
11.6 |
3. Manufacturing |
75 |
71 |
105 |
110 |
129 |
158 |
187 |
209 |
217 |
224 |
268 |
13.5 |
4. Electricity & gas |
6 |
60 |
229 |
225 |
222 |
204 |
200 |
210 |
232 |
230 |
245 |
48.2 |
5. Construction |
169 |
142 |
152 |
129 |
136 |
137 |
116 |
157 |
182 |
280 |
317 |
6.5 |
6. Wholesale, retail trade, restaurant and hotels |
132 |
143 |
142 |
129 |
134 |
135 |
145 |
161 |
164 |
170 |
178 |
3 |
7. Transport, storage and communication |
79 |
84 |
91 |
122 |
142 |
172 |
182 |
192 |
223 |
231 |
242 |
11.8 |
8. Finance, insurance and real estate |
110 |
126 |
136 |
141 |
163 |
212 |
209 |
215 |
238 |
245 |
281 |
9.8 |
9. Community, social & personal services (Govt.) |
126 |
169 |
200 |
210 |
217 |
223 |
233 |
252 |
267 |
296 |
322 |
9.8 |
Less: Imputed bank service charges |
-25 |
-24 |
-30 |
32 |
-41 |
-29 |
-21 |
-28 |
-45 |
-55 |
-63 |
|
Gross Domestic Product |
1520 |
1675 |
1973 |
1994 |
2087 |
2225 |
2303 |
2397 |
2549 |
2716 |
2946 |
6.8 |
Growth rate of GDP over preceding year (%) |
3.7 |
10.2 |
17.8 |
1.2 |
4.7 |
6.6 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
8.5 |
(Source: VIIIFYP, 1996)
The government predicts following growth of GDP (in 1980 prices) during the current (VIII) five year plan. The table compares it with that during last five year plan.
Sector |
Estimated Compound GDP Growth Rate | |
Five Year Plan VII(1992-93 to 1996-97) |
Five Year Plan VIII | |
1. Agriculture |
||
1.1 Agriculture Proper |
2.4 |
2.5 |
1.2 Livestock |
3.5 |
3.0 |
1.3 Forestry and logging |
2.2 |
2.0 |
2. Mining and quarrying |
14.1 |
19.4 |
3. Manufacturing |
9.1 |
12.0 |
4. Electricity & gas |
3.9 |
7.0 |
5. Construction |
20.3 |
7.0 |
6. Trade and Commerce |
3.7 |
4.0 |
7. Transport, storage and communication |
5.9 |
10.0 |
8. Finance, insurance and real estate |
7.7 |
10.0 |
9. Government services |
6.7 |
6.0 |
Gross Domestic Product |
5.8 |
6.5 |
(Source: VIIIFYP, 1996)
Bhutan plans to achieve following GDP growth rates during the VIII, IX and X five year plans (FYP). Table also presents estimated population and per capita income.
Compound Rate of Growth | ||||
VII FYP |
VIII FYP |
IX FYP |
X FYP | |
GDP (Real) |
5.8 |
6.5 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
Population |
2.78 |
2.71 |
2.23 |
1.80 |
Per capita GDP |
2.79 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
(Source: VIII FYP 1996)