Annex 1 Table 1: The base period (1996-2000) data for cotton in the ATPSM model
|
Country |
Base production |
Base exports |
Base imports |
Base consumption |
---Share in global --- |
|
|
Production |
Export |
|||||
|
------------------------------ 000 tonnes ----------------------- |
--------- % ---------- |
|||||
|
Australia |
709 |
608 |
0 |
101 |
3.8 |
11.3 |
|
Bangladesh |
15 |
0 |
185 |
200 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
Benin |
149 |
125 |
0 |
24 |
0.8 |
2.3 |
|
Brazil |
421 |
7 |
391 |
804 |
2.2 |
0.1 |
|
Burkina Faso |
119 |
51 |
0 |
68 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
|
Cameroon |
96 |
96 |
0 |
0 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
|
Chad |
77 |
62 |
0 |
15 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
|
China |
4311 |
116 |
338 |
4533 |
22.9 |
2.1 |
|
Colombia |
40 |
0 |
59 |
99 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
Cote d'Ivoire |
192 |
192 |
0 |
0 |
1.0 |
3.6 |
|
Egypt |
275 |
61 |
11 |
225 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
|
EU |
488 |
328 |
950 |
1111 |
2.6 |
6.1 |
|
India |
1991 |
90 |
102 |
2003 |
10.6 |
1.7 |
|
Indonesia |
9 |
5 |
561 |
565 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
Iran, I.R. |
150 |
0 |
0 |
150 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
|
Japan |
0 |
0 |
275 |
275 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
Korea Rep. |
4 |
4 |
315 |
315 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
Mali |
185 |
146 |
0 |
38 |
1.0 |
2.7 |
|
Mexico |
190 |
53 |
313 |
450 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
Nigeria |
147 |
0 |
9 |
156 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
|
Pakistan |
1678 |
105 |
78 |
1651 |
8.9 |
2.0 |
|
Russia |
0 |
0 |
297 |
297 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
Syria |
360 |
241 |
0 |
119 |
1.9 |
4.5 |
|
Taiwan |
0 |
0 |
271 |
271 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
Thailand |
13 |
0 |
380 |
392 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
Turkey |
834 |
53 |
349 |
1130 |
4.4 |
1.0 |
|
Turkmenistan |
189 |
176 |
0 |
13 |
1.0 |
3.3 |
|
United States |
3736 |
1214 |
60 |
2583 |
19.9 |
22.5 |
|
Uzbekistan |
1066 |
820 |
1 |
247 |
5.7 |
15.2 |
|
Zimbabwe |
167 |
167 |
0 |
0 |
0.9 |
3.1 |
|
Total of the above |
17611 |
4721 |
4943 |
17834 |
93.6 |
87.5 |
|
Rest of the world |
1202 |
673 |
969 |
1497 |
6.4 |
12.5 |
|
World total |
18813 |
5394 |
5912 |
19331 |
100 |
100 |
|
BBCM 1/ |
530 |
384 |
0 |
146 |
2.8 |
7.1 |
Source. ATPSM. The ATPSM has 161 countries/country groups; only the data for selected major producers and traders of cotton are shown here.
1/ This sub-group includes Benin, Burkina Faso, Chad and Mali.
Annex 1 Table 2: Cotton price elasticities of supply and demand in the ATPSM model and in Sumner (2003)
|
Country
|
Price elasticity of supply |
Price elasticity of demand |
||
|
ATPSM |
Sumner 1/ |
ATPSM |
Sumner |
|
|
Australia |
0.80 |
0.30 |
-0.60 |
-0.47 |
|
Bangladesh |
1.20 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Benin |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Brazil |
1.20 |
0.40 |
-0.60 |
0.31 |
|
Burkina Faso |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Chad |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
China (mainland) |
1.20 |
0.14 |
-1.00 |
-0.26 |
|
China Taiwan Province |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Colombia |
0.80 |
|
-1.30 |
|
|
Cote d'Ivoire |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Egypt |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
EU |
0.80 |
0.60 |
-0.60 |
|
|
India |
1.20 |
0.13 |
-0.80 |
-0.16 |
|
Indonesia |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
-0.20 |
|
Iran, Islamic Republic |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Japan |
0.74 |
|
-0.60 |
-0.33 |
|
Korea Rep. |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Mali |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Mexico |
1.00 |
0.50 |
-1.30 |
-0.14 |
|
Nigeria |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Pakistan |
1.20 |
0.30 |
-1.00 |
-0.24 |
|
Russia |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Syria |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Thailand |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Turkey |
1.20 |
0.30 |
-0.60 |
-0.25 |
|
Turkmenistan |
1.20 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
United States |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
|
Uzbekistan |
0.80 |
0.30 |
-0.60 |
-0.25 |
|
Zimbabwe |
0.80 |
|
-0.60 |
|
Source: Authors' for ATPSM parameters and Sumner (2003).
Note: In the ATPSM model, for the remaining countries cotton demand elasticities are set at -0.20 and supply price elasticities at 0.20. Blanks mean that relevant elasticity is not reported.
1/ These are reported by Sumner as planted area elasticities
