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Final Report - Study on livelihood systems assessment, vulnerable groups profiling and livelihood adaptation to climate hazard and long term climate change in drought prone areas of NW Bangladesh
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Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations
Department of Agricultural Extension, Bangladesh

Improved Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change for Sustainable Livelihood in the
Agriculture Sector. [BGD/01/004/01/99 DP/9/1]

Comprehensive Disaster Management Programme (CDMP).

March 2006

Report prepared by:

Atiq Kainan Ahmed
and
Ehsan Hafiz Chowdhury

With overall technical guidance from:

Dr. Stephan Baas, SDAR, FAO, Rome Italy.

Submitted by

Center for Environmental and Geographic Information Services
House 6, Road 23/C, Gulshan-1, Dhaka-1212 Bangladesh. Tel. 8817648-52, Fax: 880-2-8823128

Study team

Principal contributors and report prepared by:

Atiq Kainan Ahmed (Livelihoods vulnerability specialist)
Ehsan Hafiz Chowdhury (Hydrologist and database expert)

Field research support by:

Sushanto Paul
Kazi Kamrull Hassan
Md. Akbar Ali
Md. Abdur Rashid
Md. Aminur Rahman Shah

For further information please contact:
Atiq Kainan Ahmed (Project Leader)
E-mail: [email protected]

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations


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Table of Contents

Study team

Acknowledgement

Acronyms

Executive Summary

1   Introduction

1.1   Background

1.2   Objectives of the CEGIS study

2   Methodology

2.1     Sequential devising of the methodological measures

2.2     “Nature” and “representativeness” of the study

2.3     Review of secondary information

2.4     Reconnaissance field visit

2.5     Development of the detailed workplan

2.6     Identification of the major vulnerable livelihood groups

2.7     Selection of the study villages

2.8     Vulnerable group profiling and institutional analysis

2.8.1     Community sessions

2.8.2     Upazila and district workshops

2.8.3     Key informant interviews

2.9     Arrangements and implementation of the phases

2.10   Analysis of information

3   Physio-geographic environment and framework conditions

3.1     Geographical Locations

3.2     Data collection and secondary review

3.3     Topography

3.4     General Physiography

3.5     Soils

3.6     Lithology

3.7     Climatic Parameters

3.8     Rainfall Pattern/Trend

3.9     Rainfall Excess-Deficit

3.10   Flooding and Surface water flow

3.11   Groundwater situation and resources

3.12   Groundwater Development

3.13   Water Bodies

3.14   Agriculture Land use

3.15   Drought map

4   Risks and risk perceptions in the study area

4.1   Risk perceptions at community level

4.2   Past risks in the study area

4.3   Present risks in the non-irrigated areas

4.4   Present risks in irrigated areas

5   Vulnerable livelihood group profiles

5.1     Introduction

5.2     Process of selecting livelihood groups for profiling

5.3     The analytical framework for profiling livelihoods

5.4     Evaluation of livelihood assets

5.5     Livelihood profile of “small and marginal farmers”

5.6     Livelihood profile of “wage labourers”

5.7     Livelihood profile of “petty traders/businessmen”

5.8     Livelihood profile of “fishers (fishermen/fish traders/fishing labours)”

5.9     Least vulnerable groups: “large businessmen”

5.10   Least vulnerable groups: “large farmers”

5.11   Climate variations and gender specific vulnerabilities

6   Review of literature on adaptation and coping strategies

6.1   Introduction

6.2   A synoptic review of existing studies on climatic adaptation in Bangladesh

6.2.1   Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change for Bangladesh (Ahmed, AU et al: 1998, Kluwer)

6.2.2   Bangladesh: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (World Bank: 2000)

6.2.3   Reducing Vulnerabilities to Climate Change (RVCC: 2002–2005)

6.2.4   Final Report of National Adaptation Programme of Action (NAPA): Preparing for Future (MOEF: November 2005)

6.2.5   Bangladesh National Dialogue on Water and Climate: Report in Local Level Consultative Meeting by IUCN (July 2004)

7   Adaptive responses and coping strategies in the study area

7.1   Introduction

7.2   A free listing of local level adaptive responses identified (prioritized)

7.3   Classification of local level adaptive responses

7.4   Description of some local adaptive responses

7.4.1   Traditional responses.

7.4.2   State supported responses

7.4.3   Alternative responses

7.4.4   Domestic responses

7.4.5   Socio-economic adaptive responses

7.4.6   Adaptive responses by livelihood groups

7.4.7   Local energy uses and sources: a glimpse into local level ‘mitigation’ scopes

8   Institutional Assessment

8.1   Introduction

8.2   Institutional presence

8.2.1   Government agencies

8.2.2   NGOs and private institutions

8.2.3   Social, informal and private institutions

8.2.4   Farmers/water user groups

8.3   Coordination mechanism: institutional linkages vertical and horizontal

8.4   Status of disaster management and institutions at local level

8.5   Suggestions for improvements identified by agencies

8.6   Synergic conclusions of institutional domain

9   Conclusion and Recommendations

9.1   Conclusions

9.2   Recommendations and implications

References

List of Tables

Table 2-1. The methodological measure, issues, tools and sources

Table 2-2. Selected study villages by category

Table 2-3. Details of the field sessions and workshops by dates

Table 2-4. Dates, venue and participation related information of the district workshops

Table 3-1. Data interpreted for describing the geo-physical characteristics of the study area

Table 3-2. Drainage classification of the study area in percentage

Table 3-3. Monthly total rainfall and its distribution in the study upazila

Table 3-4 . Seasonal balance of rainfall excess and deficit (mm)

Table 3-5. Flooding situation in average year condition

Table 3-6. Groundwater development potential by irrigation mode

Table 3-7. Surface water bodies in the study area

Table 3-8. Agricultural land use of the selected study area

Table 5-1. Identified major vulnerable and non-vulnerable livelihood groups in the study area

Table 5-2. Proportion of main sources of income of the all households in the study villages

Table 5-3. Local indicators used for evaluation of the assets by livelihood groups

Table 5-4. Major vulnerability factors of the small and marginal farmers

Table 5-5. Major vulnerability factors of the wage labourers.

Table 5-6. Major vulnerability factors of the petty traders/businessmen

Table 5-7. Major vulnerability factors of the fishers

Table 5-8. Major vulnerability factors of the large businessmen

Table 5-9. Climatic variations and gender specific vulnerabilities

Table 7-1. Various types of adaptive responses identified and prioritized

Table 7-2. Adaptation practices of livelihood groups

Table 7-3. Types, uses and vulnerabilities of energy in the study area

Table 8-1. Upazila level government agencies working in the area

Table 8-2. NGOs working in the area

Table 8-3. Activities of informal institutions

Table 8-4. Generic composition of union disaster management committee

Table 8-5. Information sources, flow and level of dissemination

Table 8-6. Suggestions for improvement by agency representatives

List of Figures

Figure 1-1. Pilot study area is shown in the map

Figure 2-1. Sequential progression of four phases of the study

Figure 3-1. Location map of the study area

Figure 3-2. General Topography (DEM)

Figure 3-3. Major physiography of the study area

Figure 3-4. Annual temperature variation in the study upazilas

Figure 3-3 to 3-5. Rainfall trend in the study upazilas

Figure 3-6. Water Deficits in the study area (Annual mean rainfall and ET condition)

Figure 3-7. Minimum river flow of Mohananda and Punarbhava river

Figure 3-8. Groundwater depth from surface of the study area

Figure 3-9. Groundwater development in the selected upazilas

Figure 3-10. Groundwater depletion and irrigation development trend in the selected upazila

Figure 3-11. Present agricultural land use of the selected study area

Figure 3-12. Growth of area and production of major rice crops

Figure 3-13. Output of drought mapping exercise through DRAS

Figure 4-1. Risk composition and climatic risks in non-irrigated areas

Figure 4-2. Non-climatic risks in non-irrigated areas

Figure 4-3. Risk composition and climatic risks in irrigated areas

Figure 4-4. Non-climatic risks in irrigated areas

Figure 5-1. Percentage of total number of hhs in relation to land-holdings in the study villages

Figure 5-2. Average proportion of total household in each livelihood groups calculated from censuses

Figure 5-3. Simplified operational version of SLF (modified from Ashley and Carney: 1999)

Figure 5-4. Asset composition of small and marginal farmers in non-irrigated and irrigated areas

Figure 5-5. Income earnings from livelihood activities of small-marginal farmer in non-irrigated area

Figure 5-6. Income earnings from livelihood activities of small-marginal farmer in irrigated area.

Figure 5-7. Asset composition of rural wage labourers in non-irrigated and irrigated areas

Figure 5-8. Income earnings from livelihood activities of wage labour in non-irrigated area

Figure 5-9. Income earnings from livelihood activities of wage labour in irrigated area

Figure 5-10. Asset composition of petty traders/businessmen in non-irrigated and irrigated areas

Figure 5-11. Income earnings from livelihood activities of petty trader/businessmen in non irrigated area.

Figure 5-12. Income earnings from livelihood activities of petty trader/businessmen in irrigated area

Figure 5-13. Asset composition of fishers in non-irrigated and irrigated areas.

Figure 5-14. Income earnings from livelihood activities of large businessmen in non-irrigated area

Figure 5-15. Income earnings from livelihood activities of large businessmen in irrigated area

Figure 5-16. Asset composition of petty traders/businessmen in non-irrigated and irrigated area

Figure 7-1. Traditional pond storage for irrigation and household use

Figure 7-2. khari for irrigation water storage near the cultivable lands

Figure 7-3. Tillage on the topsoil in the fields after and before crop cultivation

Figure 7-4. ail lifting for storing water in the field

Figure 7-5. State assisted responses

Figure 7-6. Adoption of mango farming as alternative

Figure 7-7. Homestead vegetation for household food security

Figure 7-8. Alternative livestock and poultry-birds which can cope with low amount of water, heat and consume on non-aquatic vegetations

Figure 7-9. Different types of pot sources and storage used for drinking water

Figure 7-10. Community involvement (different groups) in collecting potable water

Figure 7-11. Various uses of energy recorded in the study area

Figure 7-12. Various sources of energy in the study area

Figure 8-1. Some of the govt. agency activities were found demonstrated in billboards

Figure 8-2. Billboards of some NGOs, informal, private institutions in the study area

Figure 8-3. The notices for irrigation water charges are usually posted to the farmers groups (usually on the walls of each DTW pumps)

Figure 8-4. A metaphor of lack of coordination among national NGOs at local level is shown

Figure 9-1. Combination of few possible adaptive options

Figure 9-2. Growing awareness for keeping the “right balance” of possible adaptation options for adjustments against the increased vulnerabilities of climatic changes/variability could be pivotal. The picture above indicates metaphorically about this right balance

Annexes

Annex A. Various parameters on physio-geographic context.

Annex B. PRA matrices (for upazila and community level sessions.)

Annex C. Key informant interview/RRA Checklist for community (Non-institutional)

Annex D. Key informant interview/RRA Checklist for community (Institutional)

Annex E. Reflections of participation in various rounds of study activities

Annex F. SWORT Analysis of Irrigated areas.

Annex G. SWORT Analysis of non-irrigated areas

Annex H. Glossary of terms