FAO Fisheries Circular No. 972/4, Part 2

FAO Fisheries Circular No. 972/4, Part 2


FIEP/C972/4, Part 2 (En)

FUTURE PROSPECTS FOR FISH AND FISHERY PRODUCTS
4. Fish consumption in the European Union in 2015 and 2030
Part 2. Country projections

by
Pierre Failler
Centre for the Economics and Management of Aquatic Resources
Portsmouth, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

With the collaboration of

Gilles Van de Walle
Nicolas Lecrivain
Amber Himbes
Roger Lewins
Centre for the Economics and Management of Aquatic Resources
Portsmouth, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland



FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS
Rome, 2008

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Contents


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ISBN 978-92-5-106050-6
ISSN 0429-9329

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© FAO 2008

Failler, P.
Future prospects for fish and fishery products. 4. Fish consumption in the European Union in 2015 and 2030. Part 2. Country projections.
FAO Fisheries Circular. No. 972/4, Part 2. Rome, FAO. 2008. 392p.

Abstract

This report presents the major results by country for fish consumption (consumption per capita and apparent consumption), production (captures and aquaculture and commodities) and fish trade (exports and imports) estimations and projections for 28 countries in Europe from 1989 to 2030.

The increasing demand of ready-to-eat products are projected for everywhere in Europe in 2030 but with a more marked trend in the western countries because of high purchasing power in the region. Changes in consumption are mainly changes in commodities rather than species: the same species will be consumed in 2030 but in a different form. Eastern European countries will progressively catch up and conform to the consumption pattern of the Western countries. The improvement of their economies and changing consumption habits will slowly allow Eastern countries to develop a demand-driven market rather than the current supplydriven one. But, behind the apparent standardisation of consumption, regional differences will still exist: a Spanish consumer will not have the same consumption pattern as a Swedish or a Romanian one. National preferences will be conditioned through the net supply of commodities that respect historical tastes and habits but also integrate modern living conditions.


TABLE OF CONTENTS



LIST OF TABLES (Download pdf 195 kb)
LIST OF FIGURES
FOREWORD

INTRODUCTION (Download pdf 931 kb)

Objectives
Scope of the study
Novelty of the method
Contents of the report
METHODOLOGY (Download pdf 47 kb)
Traditional methods
Difficulties with these traditional methods
Presentation of the method of the study
PART 1:  (Download pdf 892 kb)
EU-15 (AUSTRIA, BELGIUM, DENMARK, FINLAND, FRANCE, GERMANY, GREECE, IRELAND,
ITALY, LUXEMBOURG, NETHERLANDS, PORTUGAL, SPAIN, SWEDEN AND UNITED KINGDOM)
Production: captures, aquaculture and commodities 1989-1998
Non-food use: trade and net supply 1989-1998
Market for human consumption 1989-1998
Assumptions for projection 2005-2030 and main results
Food use net supply and human consumption 2005-2030
Non-food use net supply 2005-2030
Production 2005-2030
Trade 2005-2030
PART 2:  (Download pdf 340 kb)
EUR-6 NC (CYPRUS, THE CZECH REPUBLIC, ESTONIA, HUNGARY, POLAND, AND SLOVENIA)
Production: captures, aquaculture and commodities 1989-1998
Non-food use: trade and net supply 1989-1998
Market for human consumption 1989-1998
Assumptions for projection 2005-2030 and main results
Food use net supply and human consumption 2005-2030
Non-food use net supply 2005-2030
Production 2005-2030
Trade 2005-2030
PART 3:  (Download pdf 408 kb)
EUR-7 NC (BULGARIA, LATVIA, LITHUANIA, MALTA, ROMANIA, SLOVAKIA AND NORWAY)
Production: captures, aquaculture and commodities 1989-1998
Non-food use: trade and net supply 1989-1998
Market for human consumption 1989-1998
Assumptions for projection 2005-2030 and main results
Food use net supply and human consumption 2005-2030
Non-food use net supply 2005-2030
Production 2005-2030
Trade 2005-2030
REFERENCES  (Download pdf 244 kb)
ANNEX 1: HISTORY OF THE EUROPEAN UNION
ANNEX 2: DEFINITION OF COMPONENTS AND FLOWS TO CONSIDER
ANNEX 3: SOCIO-ECONOMIC OVERVIEW OF EUROPEAN COUNTRIES


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