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OECD-FAO Agricultural
Outlook 2017-2026

The thirteenth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish.

The 2017 report contains a special feature on the prospects for, and challenges facing, Southeast Asia.

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Strengthening sector policies for better food security and nutrition results
This guidance note aims to support policy makers and agriculture stakeholders in promoting greater coherence between trade and agricultural policies and identifying the policy space within trade agreements for developing countries to address food security concerns.

No. 21 - The World Trade Organization (WTO) Agreement on Agriculture: Export Competition after the Nairobi Ministerial Conference
Although agricultural export subsidies used by developed countries may have benefited net food-importing developing countries in the short term, by contributing to keeping prices relatively low, such subsidies have also affected the ability of farmers in other countries to compete in both domestic and international markets. 

Trade and Food Standards
This publication explains how international food safety standards are set through the joint FAO and World Health Organization Food Standards Programme – the Codex Alimentarius Commission – and how these standards are applied in the context of the World Trade Organization Agreements on the Application of Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures and on Technical Barriers to Trade.

What did we learn from the bout of high and volatile food commodity prices (2007-2013)?
This research paper looks at the crisis in international agricultural markets during the last decade and draws out some lessons. Although crop prices continue to be volatile, the bout of high prices/high volatility ended by 2015. The initial rapid rise of prices was not predicted, and surprised both market players and the international community more broadly. Considerable policy attention was focused on the crisis – by the UN broadly, by FAO and its members, by G20 heads, agricultural groups, and national governments.

Food Outlook - Biannual report on global food markets
Food commodity markets tend to exhibit a well-balanced situation at the global level for nearly all the commodities covered in this report, although in some cases prospects at the country or regional level may diverge from this positive outlook. Larger import volumes and rising shipping costs are expected to lift the global food import bill to over USD 1.3 trillion this year, up 10.6 percent from 2016.

Agricultural Trade Policies in the Post-Soviet Countries 2014/15: A Summary
The document is based on the publication Review of Agricultural Trade Policies in post-Soviet countries 2014-15. In the 2013-2014 period, most countries in the region registered a negative foreign trade balance in agrifood products (HS codes 1-24). The largest deficit in this product category was recorded in the Russian Federation, which had an average annual deficit over the two years of USD 23.9 billion.

Report of the Working Group on Climate Change of the FAO Intergovernmental Group on Tea
This compilation of adaptation strategies for tea cultivation developed and practiced by major tea growing countries of the world, is the first step taken by the working group on climate change of the FAO-IGG on tea to minimize climate change impacts on tea plantations. It is a joint effort by the scientists of Tea Research Institute of India, Sri Lanka, Kenya and China supported by the FAO-IGG on tea in Rome.

Home country measures that promote responsible foreign agricultural investment: Evidence from selected OECD countries
This paper summarizes the good practices by nine selected OECD countries that seek to promote responsible foreign investment in developing country agriculture, primarily by investors in their territory or jurisdiction. The study provides examples of the increasing trend of home countries in establishing binding legal norms and other mechanisms as safeguards that are relevant for agricultural investment.

Medium-term prospects for raw materials, horticulture and tropical products
This publication puts the focus on a set of selected Raw materials, Horticulture and Tropical (RAMHOT) Products, namely sugar, tea, banana, tropical fruits, citrus products, Jute, and hard fibres. A medium-term outlook is generated for each of these products, and an analysis is undertaken to assess underlying market drivers and the factors likely to shape market performance over the next 10 years.

How does agricultural trade impact food security?
The links between trade and food security are inherently complex, with several channels of interaction affecting the different dimensions of food security simultaneously. In essence, trade, influenced by the economic context and sectoral composition of growth, directly affects key domestic variables like food production, prices, employment and government revenues.

Policy brief | Trade and related policies for decent rural employment
The agriculture sector accounts for the majority of employment and output in most developing countries. Trade in agricultural products has the potential to significantly impact rural employment, incomes and poverty, by affecting the availability and price of food, as well as wages in this sector. 

Policy brief | Agricultural trade and decent rural employment
Agriculture is the largest employer of the world’s poor, most of whom live in rural areas. As developing economies grow, and undergo structural transformation, employment tends to shift away from agriculture into other sectors, such as industry or services.

Citrus fruits statistics 2015
This is the 2015 edition of the annual compilation of statistics related to the international production, trade, and processing into juice of citrus fruits with grower and wholesale prices. The fruits covered are oranges, tangerines, lemons, limes and grapefruit. The statistics are disaggregated by fruit, by year, by region and by country from 1981/2 to 2013/14.

Jute, Kenaf, Sisal, Abaca, Coir and Allied Fibres Statistics, December 2015
Information relating to the production, marketing, trade and consumption of jute, kenaf and allied fibres are tabulated and presented in this bulletin. This information is used by the IGG Secretariat to analyze national policies and their international effects as well as supply and demand position and its probable development in the short and medium terms.

Review of Agricultural Trade Policies in former Soviet Union countries 2014-15 [available in Russian only]
This publication has been prepared as part of the FAO Regional initiatives in Europe and Central Asia "Development of agricultural trade and market integration in Europe and in Central Asia.

Analysis of the size and distribution of the impacts of agricultural trade at the firm and industry levels in developing countries
The main purpose of the studies compiled in this report was to analyse the size and distribution of trade impacts among heterogeneous agrotrading firms in developing countries, with special attention given to the role of the organization and behaviour of these firms.

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015-2024‌
The Agricultural Outlook, 2015-2024, is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and FAO. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations and input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.

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Climate Change and Food Systems: Global assessments and implications for food security and trade
This book collects the findings of a group of scientists and economists who have taken stock of climate change impacts on food and agriculture at global and regional levels over the past two decades. 

Also available as an ebook

    

Russia’s restrictions on imports of agricultural and food products: An initial assessment
On 7 August 2014 Russia announced a ban on food imports from Western countries which, in an earlier move, had imposed sanctions on Russian business interests in connection with the crisis in eastern Ukraine. 

Policy responses to high food prices in Latin America and the Caribbean: Country case studies
This publication presents evidence on the effectiveness of policies and programmes introduced in response to rising food prices in eight Latin American countries: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, the Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Mexico, Nicaragua and Peru.

Countries in the Commonwealth of Independent States: Agricultural policy issues in the context of the World Trade Organization
This report examines the experience and main issues of twelve of these countries in the context of the rules and commitments in agriculture under the World Trade Organization (WTO). ENGLISH |  RUSSIAN

Import surges and the Special Safeguard Mechanism revisited
This Technical Note revisits the analysis presented in Technical Note No. 9, updating data used in the identification of Import Surges to 2013 to capture recent changes in the global market context of higher and more volatile food prices and significant increases in volumes of imports to food deficit developing countries

Smallholder participation in the tropical superfruits value chain: ensuring equitable share of the success to enhance their livelihood
The production and trade of tropical fruits generate income, improving the livelihoods and food security of producers, who are almost exclusively smallholders in developing countries.

El Paquete de Bali: repercusiones para el comercio y la seguridad alimentaria En este informe se explica de forma concisa el paquete de Bali y se hace especial referencia a aquellos elementos que tienen consecuencias directas para el comercio y las políticas afines encaminadas a mejorar la seguridad alimentaria.

Rebuilding West Africa’s Food Potential: Policies and private initiatives to promote smallholder-inclusive food value chains
This book contains a large number of in-depth case studies of food value chains, including traditional export commodities (cocoa, cotton), high value exports (mangoes, horticulture) and the most important staple food value chains in the region.

Food Security in Africa: Market and Trade Policy for Staple Foods in Eastern and Southern Africa
Drawing on insights from theoretical applications, empirically based approaches and case study experience, this book contributes to the improved design and use of trade and related policy interventions in staple food markets.

G-33 proposal: early agreement on elements of the draft Doha accord to address food security
Some developing countries have proposed that WTO rules should be changed to allow them more flexibility to purchase food at subsidized prices under public stockholding or domestic food aid programmes. This short information note, published jointly by ICTSD and the FAO, looks at how rules, policies and practices in this area can affect trade and food security, in the run-up to the global trade body’s ninth ministerial conference this December

Smallholder integration in changing food markets
A key message of this report is that without better understanding the determinants of smallholders’ participation in agricultural markets, and formulating appropriate measures to facilitate improved participation, initiatives seeking to promote the adoption of productivity enhancing technology by smallholder producers are likely to have limited success