FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report 05/97

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NIGER

Area:

1 267 000 sq.km

Climate:

Northern part arid, southern part semi-arid with rains in June-October

Population:

9.29 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 220 (1995)

Specific characteristics of the country:

Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country

Logistics:

Roads inadequate during rainy season

Major foodcrops:

Millet and sorghum, pulses, roots and tubers

Marketing year:

November/October; Lean season: July-September

Share of cereals in total calorie intake:

70 percent



CURRENT SITUATION

Seasonably dry conditions prevail. A joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission last year, estimated 1996 aggregate cereal production at 2 325 000 tons. This is 10 percent more than in 1995 and 4 percent above the average of the last five years. The final estimates of 1996 production will be published shortly. Isolated Desert Locust adults may be present and will persist in a few areas of central Tamesna and perhaps in Aïr.

Despite this above-average harvest, the food supply situation is anticipated to be tight in several areas which gathered poor crops, some for the second successive year. The National Early Warning System (SAPR) estimates that the nine arrondissements of Ouallam, Tahoua, Tanout, Tchintabaraden, N’Guigmi, Arlit, Tchirozerine, Bilma and Agadez commune are particularly vulnerable. Twenty four other arrondissements are also classified as moderately vulnerable and need to be monitored closely. The situation is particularly worrisome in Tanout area, in Zinder department, where substantial population movements have been reported. Cereal prices are much higher than last year at the same period and cereals are sometimes scarce on the markets. Imports from northern Nigeria are also lower than usual due to limited cereal availibility.

In late February, an assessment mission visited the vulnerable areas of Maradi, Tanout and Zinder departments and confirmed the tight food supply and nutritional situation. Migrations of entire families have increased. Remaining families are consuming wild food and selling small livestock or borrowing against future harvest. The situation varies greatly in the villages but assistance is most urgently needed in the arrondissement of Tanout and neighbouring areas of Dakoro arrondissement. Some assistance will also be needed in urban areas where migrants from affected areas have concentrated, notably in Zinder. In addition, the national security stock is at a very low level. Only limited quantities could be bought to local traders following a bid launched in October for the partial reconstitution of the stock. In December, the government launched an appeal for external assistance amounting to 118 000 tons of cereals. Food aid distributions or food for work activities have started in several arrondissements. As of mid-April, around 40 000 tons of cereals have been pledged by various donors through local purchases, purchases in neighbouring countries or imported food aid.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1996/97 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

6

66

2 138

2 210

Normal Imports

25

40

135

200

of which: Structural food aid

-

5

10

15

1996/97 Domestic Availability

8

34

2 300

2 342

1996 Production (rice in paddy terms)

3

52

2 270

2 325

1996 Production (rice in milled terms)

3

34

2 270

2 307

Possible stock drawdown

5

-

30

35

1996/97 Utilization

33

89

2 470

2 592

Food Use

32

81

2 094

2 207

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

30

30

Non-food use

1

8

361

370

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

15

15

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

1996/97 Import Requirement

25

55

170

250

Anticipated commercial imports

25

50

155

230

Imported food aid needs

-

5

15

20

Current Aid Position





Imported food aid pledges

3

1

6

10

of which: Delivered

-

1

-

1

Donor-financed local purchases

-

-

28

28

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

3

9

226

238

Indexes





1996 production as % of normal:




105

1996/97 import requirement as % of normal:




125

1996/97 food aid requirement as % of normal:




133


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