FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report 05/97

Previous Page TOC Next Page

NIGERIA

Area:

911 000 sq.km

Climate:

Mostly tropical wet-dry, south-west tropical wet, extreme north semi-arid

Population:

115 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 260 (1995)

Specific characteristics of the country:

Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country

Logistics:

Ports adequate, roads inadequate during rainy season

Major foodcrops:

Roots and tubers, coarse grains, rice

Marketing year:

January/December; Lean season: April-May

Share of cereals in total calorie intake:

43 percent



CURRENT SITUATION

Rains started but remained very limited in early March, became abundant over the south during the second dekad of March and moved towards the north during the third dekad. Planting of maize is underway in the south and land preparation for the planting of rainfed rice is underway in the centre. Shortages of fertilizers, improved seeds and pesticides were reported during the past planting season, following an import ban imposed by the government and difficulties in the distribution of locally produced fertilizers. As a result, farmers have switched from maize crop to millet, sorghum and groundnuts, which are less fertilizer dependent. Nevertheless, following good climatic conditions during the growing season and low pest infestations, final overall cereal output for 1996 is 21.6 million tons, which is higher than last year but lower than the preliminary estimate. About 55 million tons of roots and tubers, which represent the main foodcrops, were also produced.

The food supply is still constrained by high levels of post-harvest losses and high distribution costs. In order to reduce large post-harvest losses, the Government has started a food storage programme, including the construction of 26 silos, with a 636 000 tons storage capacity, and the installation of 500 improved storage structures for farmers. Cross border exports of maize and rice into Niger and Chad are reported. The cereal import requirement for 1997 is estimated at 1 250 000 tons, including 900 000 tons of wheat and 250 000 tons of rice.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

45

2 800

16 970

19 815

Normal Imports

850

350

80

1 280

of which: Structural food aid

-

-

-

-

1997 Domestic Availability

67

1 873

18 467

20 407

1996 Production (rice in paddy terms)

47

3 122

18 467

21 636

1996 Production (rice in milled terms)

47

1 873

18 467

20 387

Possible stock drawdown

20

-

-

20

1997 Utilization

967

2 123

18 567

21 657

Food Use

936

1 673

14 330

16 939

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

31

450

3977

4 458

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

250

250

Possible stock build up

-

-

10

10

1997 Import Requirement

900

250

100

1 250

Anticipated commercial imports

900

250

100

1 250

Food aid needs

-

-

-

-

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

-

-

-

-

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

8

14

125

147

Indexes





1996 production as % of normal:




109

1997 import requirement as % of normal:




98

1997 food aid requirement as % of normal:




-


Previous Page TOC Next Page