FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report 10/96

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GUINEA




BACKGROUND INFORMATION

Area: 246 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: March/June to October/November
Population: 6.7 million (1995 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 510 (1994)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; mountainous coastal country
Logistics: Ports and roads inadequate
Major foodcrops: Rice, roots and tubers, coarse grains
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 52 percent



CURRENT SITUATION

Rainfall was abundant in July, decreased during the first and second dekads of August, notably in the east, and became very heavy during the third dekad over the entire country. Millet, sorghum and maize are flowering/heading in the north and rice is maturing in the south.

There are approximately 605 000 Liberian and Sierra-Leonean refugees in Guinea, of whom 536 000 receive food aid. The cereal import requirement for 1996 (including re-export) is estimated at 300 000 tons mostly wheat and rice.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1996 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)

Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal production - 423 250 673
Normal imports (incl. re-exports) 100 190 - 290
of which: Structural food aid 2 35 - 37
1996 Domestic availability 10 477 253 740
1995 Production - 467 253 720
Possible stock drawdown 10 10 - 20
1996 Utilization 110 677 253 1 040
Food use 107 567 215 889
Non-food use 3 70 38 111
(Re)exports - 40 - 40
1996 Import Requirement 100 200 - 300 1/
Anticipated commercial imports 98 160 - 258 1/
Food aid needs 2 40 2/ - 42
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges 3 10 - 13
of which: Delivered - 5 - 5
Donor-financed local purchases - 1 - 1
Estimated per caput consumption (kg/year) 15 85 32 132
Indexes



1995 production as % of normal: 107
1996 import requirement as % of normal: 103
1996 food aid requirement as % of normal (including refugee needs): 114

1/ Includes 40 000 tons of re-exports.
2/ Mostly for Liberian and Sierra Leonean refugees.

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