FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report 10/96

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GUINEA-BISSAU




BACKGROUND INFORMATION

Area: 28 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: May-October
Population: 1.08 million (1995 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 240 (1994)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics: Port capacity being improved; roads inadequate, particularly during the rainy season; river transport important
Major foodcrops: Rice, coarse grains, oils and fats, roots and tubers
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: May-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 64 percent



CURRENT SITUATION

Following somewhat reduced rains in mid/late June, precipitation improved significantly in early July and remained widespread and abundant over the entire country in mid/late July. Rainfall generally exceeded 100 mm during the second and third dekads except in the centre where it decreased in mid July but became abundant in late July (34.4 mm during the second dekad and 190.4 mm during the third in Fulacunda meteorological station). In contrast, rainfall decreased significantly in the first dekad of August over the entire country but resumed in the second. In the east, maize is elongating/maturing. Insect attacks are reported in most regions and free pesticide distributions have been organized. Coarse grains are developing satisfactorily in the east and the north. Preparation of upland and swamp rice fields is well underway and transplanting has begun.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory. Markets are well supplied and prices remain mostly stable. Cereal imports for domestic use and re-exports in 1996 are estimated at 70 000 tons, mostly rice. Structural food aid requirement is estimated at 6 000 tons.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1996 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)

Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal production - 84 52 136
Normal imports 10 60 - 70
of which: Structural food aid 1 5 - 6
1995 Production - 89 68 157
1996 Utilization 10 149 68 227
Food use 10 119 51 180
Non-food use - 20 11 31
(Re)exports - 10 1/ - 10
Possible stock build-up - - 6 6
1996 Import Requirement 10 60 2/ - 70 2/
Anticipated commercial imports 9 55 - 64
Food aid needs 1 5 - 6
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges 1 5 - 6
of which: Delivered - 2 - 2
Estimated per caput consumption (kg/year) 9 110 47 166
Indexes



1995 production as % of normal: 115
1996 import requirement as % of normal: 100
1996 food aid requirement as % of normal 100

1/ Re-exports (5 000 tons) and cross border trade (5 000 tons) with neighbouring countries.
2/ Includes 5 000 tons of re-exports.

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