FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report 10/96

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SENEGAL




BACKGROUND INFORMATION

Area: 192 000 sq.km
Climate: Semi-arid in north, tropical wet-dry in south, with rains in June-October
Population: 8.6 million (1995 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 610 (1994)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal Sahelian country
Logistics: Port capacity adequate; gateway to Mali.
Major foodcrops: Millet and sorghum, rice, maize, wheat
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: August-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 61 percent



CURRENT SITUATION

Widespread and above-normal rains in late August compensated for reduced rains of early August. Following abundant rains received in the south in late July, precipitation decreased during the first dekad of August, notably in the centre. Rains resumed during the second dekad, notably in the south and the east. The west and the north-west remained mostly dry. However, during the last part of the month, above normal rains covered almost the entire country, being particularly abundant in the extreme south. These good rains, following earlier reduced levels, permitted crop recovery and reconstitution of soil moisture reserves. Millet and sorghum are generally at the heading stage in the south. Maize is maturing. Rice is growing satisfactorily although some fields may have been flooded following heavy rain in late August. In the north, coarse grains are tillering/elongating. Pastures are regenerating well, following recent rains.

No Desert Locusts have been reported recently but adult groups and possibly a few small swarms are likely to appear from the north in the western part of the Senegal River Valley and lay upon arrival in areas of recent rains.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory and markets are generally well supplied except for maize. Prices of rice remain stable but are high. Prices of millet, sorghum and maize increased somewhat in both rural and urban markets but this is normal during the lean season. Some assistance may be needed for the procurement of surplus coarse grains in the south and its movement to traditional deficit areas in the north. For the 1995/96 marketing year (November/October), the cereal import requirement is estimated at 700 000 tons, mostly rice and wheat, including the structural food aid requirement of 27 000 tons. About 4 000 Mauritanian refugees are anticipated to return to Mauritania as soon as logistical problems are solved.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1995/96 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal production - 125 785 910
Normal imports (incl. re-exports) 195 410 90 695
of which: Structural food aid 5 15 8 28
1995/96 Domestic availability - 108 905 1 013
1995 Production - 103 905 1 008
Possible stock drawdown - 5 - 5
1995/96 Utilization 200 523 990 1 713
Food use 197 516 819 1 532
of which: local purchase requirement (-) (-) (10) (10)
Non-food use 3 5 146 154
Exports - 2 - 2
Possible stock build up - - 25 25
1995/96 Import Requirement 200 415 85 700
Anticipated commercial imports 195 400 78 673
Food aid needs 5 15 7 27
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges 13 3 1 17
of which: Delivered 13 3 1 17
Donor-financed purchases - - 3 3
of which: for local use - - 1 1
for export - - 2 2
Estimated per caput consumption (kg/year) 23 60 95 178
Indexes



1995 production as % of normal: 111
1995/96 import requirement as % of normal: 101
1995/96 food aid requirement as % of normal: 96

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