FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report 02/97

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NAMIBIA

Area:

824 000 sq.km

Climate:

Mostly arid (south-west and coast) or semi-arid. Only north and north-east gets regular

rainfall in November-April


Population:

1.54 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 1 660 (1993)

Specific characteristics of the country:

Arid to semi-arid country; cereal production mainly in the north

Logistics:

Good road and railway network

Major foodcrops:

Millet, maize, sorghum, wheat

Marketing year:

May/April;

Share of cereals in total calorie intake:

48 percent



CURRENT SITUATION

Following dry weather conditions in October, widespread rains were received in November, in the southern half of the country gradually reaching northern crop growing regions. Normal to above normal rains fell over all parts of the country from late December through January benfiting pastures and crops. Pasture conditions have now recovered from the 1996 drought. The maize crop planted in the flood plain areas of Caprivi is at flowering stage and in good condition. Elsewhere, most of the crop is at the germination and early vegetative stages. The early outlook for harvest is generally favourable.

Harvesting of irrigated winter wheat is complete and output is estimated at 4 100 tons. This is slightly lower than earlier anticipated due to a reduction in water supply and some damage by rain storms in early November.

The national food supply situation in 1996/97 remains satisfactory. Cereal stocks and planned imports virtually cover the national requirements. However, some 180 000 people remain food-insecure. Food distribution under the Government’s drought relief programme continues for vulnerable people in northern and pastoral areas.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1996/97 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production (rice in paddy terms)

4

-

88

92

Normal Imports

30

-

31

61

of which: Structural food aid

1

-

2

3

1996/97 Domestic Availability

4

-

82

86

1996 Production (rice in paddy terms)

4

-

82

86

1996 Production (rice in milled terms)

4

-

82

86

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1996/97 Utilization

33

-

162

195

Food Use

32

-

151

183

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

1

-

9

10

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

2

2

1996/97 Import Requirement

29

-

80

109

Anticipated commercial imports

29

-

80

109

Food aid needs

-

-

-

-

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

-

-

-

-

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

21

-

98

119

Indexes





1996 production as % of normal:




93

1996/97 import requirement as % of normal:




179

1996/97 food aid requirement as % of normal:




-


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