|
Area: |
1 267 000 sq.km |
|
Climate: |
Northern part arid, southern part semi-arid with rains in June-October |
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Population: |
9.29 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 270 (1993) |
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Specific characteristics of the country: |
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country |
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Logistics: |
Roads inadequate during rainy season |
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Major foodcrops: |
Millet and sorghum, pulses, roots and tubers |
|
Marketing year: |
November/October; Lean season: July-September |
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Share of cereals in total calorie intake: |
70 percent |
CURRENT SITUATION
Seasonably dry conditions prevail. A joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission which visited the country in October, estimated 1996 aggregate cereal production on the basis of the agricultural survey at 2 325 000 tons. This is 11 percent more than in 1995 and 5 percent above the average of the last five years. Above all, sorghum production has increased while rice production is similar to 1995 results.
Infestations of Desert Locust in Tamesna were reported to be decreasing by late November and early December as most had fledged into immature adults. Scattered adults were seen at In Zinkad and in the Iguidi area in early December. Isolated adults may be present and will persist in a few areas of central Tamesna and perhaps in Air
Following an above-average harvest, the food supply is anticipated to remain mostly stable in 1996/97. However, several populations are particularly vulnerable following poor crops, notably in Tanout area, in Zinder department, where population movements have been reported in December. The national early warning system (SAP) estimated that the arrondissements of NGuigmi, Ouallam, Tahoua, Tanout, Tchintabaraden and all the arrondissements of Agadez departments are particularly vulnerable. In addition, in early November, the national security stock was almost exhausted. However, funds from sales of cereals undertaken in 1996 or donors commitments for the stocks reconstitution were registered and in late October, the marketing board (OPVN) launched a bid for the local purchase of 30 000 tons of millet for the reconstitution of the stock. Cereal prices are high due to low availibilities in northern Nigeria. On 11 December, the government launched an appeal for external assistance amounting to 118 000 tons of cereals. In late December, a joint FAO/WFP/FEWS Mission visited the arrondissement of Tanout in Zinder department to assess the situation of the vulnerable population and needs for external food assistance and non-food items including tools, seeds and logistic support. A first distribution of 570 tons of cereals has been organized in the arrondissement. In late January, another FAO mission has been organized in Ouallam arrondissement. Farmers stocks will be exhausted around mid-March and population movements are reported. Remaining populations have started to eat wild food.
|
Wheat |
Rice |
Coarse grains |
Total |
|
|
Normal Production (rice in paddy terms) |
6 |
66 |
2 138 |
2 210 |
|
Normal Imports |
25 |
40 |
135 |
200 |
|
of which: Structural food aid |
- |
5 |
10 |
15 |
|
1996/97 Domestic Availability |
8 |
34 |
2 300 |
2 342 |
|
1996 Production (rice in paddy terms) |
3 |
52 |
2 270 |
2 325 |
|
1996 Production (rice in milled terms) |
3 |
34 |
2 270 |
2 307 |
|
Possible stock drawdown |
5 |
- |
30 |
35 |
|
1996/97 Utilization |
33 |
89 |
2 470 |
2 592 |
|
Food Use |
32 |
81 |
2 094 |
2 207 |
|
of which: local purchase requirement |
- |
- |
25 |
25 |
|
Non-food use |
1 |
8 |
361 |
370 |
|
(Re-)Exports |
- |
- |
15 |
15 |
|
Possible stock build up |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
1996/97 Import Requirement |
25 |
55 |
170 |
250 |
|
Anticipated commercial imports |
25 |
50 |
155 |
230 |
|
Food aid needs |
- |
5 |
15 |
20 |
|
Current Aid Position | ||||
|
Food aid pledges |
3 |
1 |
15 |
19 |
|
of which: Delivered |
- |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Donor-financed local purchases |
- |
- |
10 |
10 |
|
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) |
3 |
9 |
226 |
238 |
|
Indexes | ||||
|
1996 production as % of normal: |
105 |
|||
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1996/97 import requirement as % of normal: |
125 |
|||
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1996/97 food aid requirement as % of normal: |
133 |