FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report 02/97

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NIGERIA

Area:

911 000 sq.km

Climate:

Mostly tropical wet-dry, south-west tropical wet, extreme north semi-arid

Population:

115 million (1996 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 310 (1993)

Specific characteristics of the country:

Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country

Logistics:

Ports adequate, roads inadequate during rainy season

Major foodcrops:

Roots and tubers, coarse grains, rice

Marketing year:

January/December; Lean season: April-May

Share of cereals in total calorie intake:

43 percent



CURRENT SITUATION

Seasonably dry condition prevail. In the north, the harvest of the second maize crop and irrigated rice are drawing to an end.

Shortages of fertilizers, improved seeds and pesticides were reported during the planting season, following an import ban imposed by the government and difficulties in the distribution of locally produced fertilizers. As a result, farmers may have switched from rice crop to millet, sorghum and groundnuts, which are less fertilizer dependent. Nevertheless, following good climatic conditions during the growing season and low pest infestations, the overall cereal output for 1996 is estimated at 23.4 million tons, which is higher than last year. About 55 million tons of roots and tubers, which represent the main foodcrop, have also been produced.

The food supply is still limited by high levels of harvest and post harvest losses and high distribution costs. In order to reduce large post-harvest losses, the Government has started a food storage programme, including the construction of 26 silos, with a 636 000 tons storage capacity, and the installation of 500 improved storage structures for farmers. Cross border exports of maize and rice into Niger and Chad are reported. The 1997 cereal import requirement is estimated at 1 115 000 tons, including 900 000 tons of wheat and 250 000 tons of rice.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production (rice in paddy terms)

45

2 660

16 970

19 675

Normal Imports

825

325

80

1 230

of which: Structural food aid

-

-

-

-

1997 Domestic Availability

55

1 800

20 373

22 228

1996 Production (rice in paddy terms)

35

3 000

20 373

23 408

1996 Production (rice in milled terms)

35

1 800

20 373

22 208

Possible stock drawdown

20

-

-

20

1997 Utilization

955

2 050

20 373

23 378

Food Use

924

1 600

13 765

16 289

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

31

450

6 308

6 789

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

250

250

Possible stock build up

-

-

50

50

1997 Import Requirement

900

250

-

1 150

Anticipated commercial imports

900

250

-

1 150

Food aid needs

-

-

-

-

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

-

-

-

-

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

8

14

120

142

Indexes





1996 production as % of normal:




119

1997 import requirement as % of normal:




93

1997 food aid requirement as % of normal:




-


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