Previous Page Table of Contents Next Page


Annex A. Tables and maps

Table A.1. Comparison between probit and spatial probit in the headcount index and in the percentage of poor people at county level, total sample

County

Total poor

Total pop.

% poor

Difference[((b-a)/b)*100]

Bigman (a)

Spatial p. (b)

Bigman (a)

Spatial p. (b)

Cuenca

98 079

97 735

331 028

29.6

29.5

-0.351

Giron

10 141

10 088

13 191

76.9

76.5

-0.525

Gualaceo

26 664

26 969

35 586

74.9

75.8

1.130

Nabon

11 716

11 768

14 606

80.2

80.6

0.436

Paute

16 207

16 327

21 887

74.0

74.6

0.736

Pucara

14 586

14 626

16 626

87.7

88.0

0.272

San Fernando

3 324

3 342

4 298

77.3

77.8

0.526

Santa Isabel

14 242

14 181

17 160

83.0

82.6

-0.434

Sigsig

20 566

20 619

25 103

81.9

82.1

0.258

Oña

2 461

2 473

3 244

75.9

76.2

0.503

Chordeleg

7 475

7 467

9 683

77.2

77.1

-0.111

El Pan

2 672

2 653

3 690

72.4

71.9

-0.750

Sevilla De Oro

4 928

4 902

6 553

75.2

74.8

-0.529

Guachapala

2 518

2 543

3 435

73.3

74.0

1.001

Guaranda

48 353

49 084

66 241

73.0

74.1

1.491

Chillanes

15 785

15 954

20 477

77.1

77.9

1.060

Chimbo

9 699

9 700

15 602

62.2

62.2

0.005

Echeandia

6 092

6 105

9 821

62.0

62.2

0.216

San Miguel

18 048

18 004

28 044

64.4

64.2

-0.242

Caluma

6 095

5 998

9 828

62.0

61.0

-1.603

Las Naves

3 777

3 814

5 075

74.4

75.2

0.974

Azogues

41 848

42 513

61 570

68.0

69.0

1.565

Biblian

16 665

16 719

22 286

74.8

75.0

0.323

Cañar

46 606

47 010

55 259

84.3

85.1

0.860

La Troncal

22 138

22 412

32 540

68.0

68.9

1.224

El Tambo

6 116

6 152

6 974

87.7

88.2

0.582

Deleg

5 431

5 485

7 298

74.4

75.2

0.991

Tulcan

37 614

38 598

63 158

59.6

61.1

2.550

Bolivar (De Carchi)

12 471

12 442

15 157

82.3

82.1

-0.235

Espejo

9 541

9 469

13 188

72.3

71.8

-0.767

Mira

11 484

11 446

14 040

81.8

81.5

-0.331

Montufar

21 294

21 686

29 454

72.3

73.6

1.806

San Pedro De Huaca

5 109

5 058

6 485

78.8

78.0

-1.020

Latacunga

75 061

75 130

117 603

63.8

63.9

0.092

La Mana

14 433

14 564

20 960

68.9

69.5

0.897

Pangua

13 058

13 149

16 814

77.7

78.2

0.688

Pujili

35 343

35 554

44 343

79.7

80.2

0.592

Salcedo

31 799

31 808

45 322

70.2

70.2

0.027

Saquisili

9 893

9 857

12 829

77.1

76.8

-0.375

Sigchos

16 943

17 010

18 453

91.8

92.2

0.389

Riobamba

73 080

74 995

163 779

44.6

45.8

2.553

Alausi

34 109

34 473

39 309

86.8

87.7

1.055

Colta

41 615

42 052

47 568

87.5

88.4

1.038

Chambo

7 636

7 656

9 463

80.7

80.9

0.268

Chunchi

11 660

11 646

13 490

86.4

86.3

-0.119

Guamote

26 917

27 013

28 058

95.9

96.3

0.355

Guano

28 493

28 653

37 106

76.8

77.2

0.561

Pallatanga

7 864

7 919

9 482

82.9

83.5

0.699

Penipe

5 788

5 730

7 078

81.8

81.0

-1.005

Cumanda

5 711

5 785

7 097

80.5

81.5

1.282

Machala

49 491

50 447

157 607

31.4

32.0

1.895

Arenillas

9 702

9 809

18 314

53.0

53.6

1.092

Atahualpa

3 728

3 626

6 142

60.7

59.0

-2.803

Balsas

2 651

2 587

4 066

65.2

63.6

-2.488

Chilla

2 055

2 033

2 767

74.3

73.5

-1.083

El Guabo

19 871

19 817

28 058

70.8

70.6

-0.271

Huaquillas

17 487

17 985

27 806

62.9

64.7

2.770

Marcabeli

3 281

3 254

4 889

67.1

66.6

-0.836

Pasaje

28 665

29 537

51 406

55.8

57.5

2.952

Piñas

11 685

11 723

21 843

53.5

53.7

0.322

Portovelo

5 811

5 838

10 257

56.7

56.9

0.458

Santa Rosa

25 926

26 525

50 852

51.0

52.2

2.259

Zaruma

14 864

14 803

23 852

62.3

62.1

-0.410

Las Lajas

3 943

3 883

4 866

81.0

79.8

-1.529

Esmeraldas

57 564

61 927

135 145

42.6

45.8

7.044

Eloy Alfaro

22 267

22 237

25 389

87.7

87.6

-0.135

Muisne

18 278

18 095

22 537

81.1

80.3

-1.007

Quininde

57 135

56 509

71 901

79.5

78.6

-1.108

San Lorenzo

18 043

18 352

22 552

80.0

81.4

1.686

Atacames

15 801

15 980

18 014

87.7

88.7

1.122

Rio Verde

16 317

16 211

19 911

81.9

81.4

-0.649

Guayaquil

338 200

498 000

1 570 011

21.5

31.7

32.088

Alfredo Baquerizo Moreno

12 233

12 611

16 253

75.3

77.6

2.999

Balao

9 569

9 730

12 514

76.5

77.8

1.656

Balzar

30 523

31 810

43 965

69.4

72.4

4.044

Colimes

15 342

15 190

19 232

79.8

79.0

-1.001

Daule

44 471

44 988

65 534

67.9

68.6

1.150

Duran

31 164

34 078

85 196

36.6

40.0

8.551

El Empalme

38 198

39 192

58 351

65.5

67.2

2.538

El Triunfo

15 875

16 065

24 551

64.7

65.4

1.186

Milagro

55 693

57 488

116 397

47.8

49.4

3.121

Naranjal

38 222

37 587

39 466

96.8

95.2

-1.689

Naranjito

13 457

13 806

25 608

52.6

53.9

2.524

Palestina

7 669

7 830

11 191

68.5

70.0

2.055

Pedro Carbo

22 128

22 803

31 628

70.0

72.1

2.959

Salinas

16 511

17 042

32 434

50.9

52.5

3.111

Samborondon

18 948

19 629

33 965

55.8

57.8

3.468

Santa Elena

59 544

61 205

84 010

70.9

72.9

2.714

Santa Lucia

22 006

21 922

27 342

80.5

80.2

-0.379

Urbina Jado

38 462

38 904

43 812

87.8

88.8

1.135

Yaguachi

26 569

27 092

39 323

67.6

68.9

1.929

Playas

12 469

12 902

21 490

58.0

60.0

3.358

Simon Bolivar

13 632

13 591

17 240

79.1

78.8

-0.303

Coronel Marcelino Maridueña

5 424

5 450

11 078

49.0

49.2

0.474

Lomas De Sargentillo

7 353

7 579

10 410

70.6

72.8

2.992

Nobol (Piedrahita)

7 928

7 793

10 524

75.3

74.1

-1.732

La Libertad

31 389

32 763

53 108

59.1

61.7

4.193

General Antonio Elizalde (Bucay)

3 452

3 654

6 968

49.5

52.4

5.536

Isidro Ayora

4 705

4 646

5 797

81.2

80.1

-1.265

Ibarra

67 930

70 333

119 493

56.8

58.9

3.417

Antonio Ante

18 159

18 803

27 375

66.3

68.7

3.424

Cotacachi

26 914

26 855

33 250

80.9

80.8

-0.222

Otavalo

40 145

40 495

56 286

71.3

71.9

0.862

Pimampiro

14 035

14 020

15 359

91.4

91.3

-0.111

San Miguel De Urcuqui

11 263

11 061

13 736

82.0

80.5

-1.825

Loja

67 180

68 580

144 493

46.5

47.5

2.041

Calvas

20 998

21 373

29 398

71.4

72.7

1.757

Catamayo

15 726

16 133

22 357

70.3

72.2

2.520

Celica

11 264

11 325

14 329

78.6

79.0

0.538

Chaguarpamba

8 111

8 179

9 850

82.3

83.0

0.838

Espindola

15 830

15 815

18 191

87.0

86.9

-0.095

Gonzanama

13 908

13 822

17 276

80.5

80.0

-0.625

Macara

11 698

12 271

18 281

64.0

67.1

4.670

Paltas

21 991

22 123

28 605

76.9

77.3

0.597

Puyango

13 298

13 309

16 804

79.1

79.2

0.083

Saraguro

22 972

23 002

26 842

85.6

85.7

0.131

Sozoranga

8 338

8 330

9 729

85.7

85.6

-0.085

Zapotillo

7 830

7 931

10 234

76.5

77.5

1.269

Pindal

6 417

6 470

7 457

86.1

86.8

0.820

Quilanga

4 445

4 463

5 553

80.0

80.4

0.409

Olmedo

4 380

4 409

5 146

85.1

85.7

0.658

Babahoyo

57 078

57 445

105 471

54.1

54.5

0.638

Baba

22 580

22 500

29 406

76.8

76.5

-0.357

Montalvo

10 144

10 236

19 023

53.3

53.8

0.906

Pueblo Viejo

19 168

19 364

22 662

84.6

85.4

1.013

Quevedo

42 248

44 541

104 175

40.6

42.8

5.147

Urdaneta

14 223

14 087

23 459

60.6

60.1

-0.963

Ventanas

39 955

40 950

58 494

68.3

70.0

2.428

Vinces

40 117

41 532

54 234

74.0

76.6

3.406

Palenque

15 977

16 215

18 242

87.6

88.9

1.471

Buena Fe

19 348

19 695

33 370

58.0

59.0

1.765

Valencia

19 472

19 683

27 270

71.4

72.2

1.072

Mocache

23 947

24 507

31 753

75.4

77.2

2.288

Portoviejo

67 054

67 537

201 861

33.2

33.5

0.715

Bolivar (De Manabi)

22 183

22 259

37 580

59.0

59.2

0.341

Chone

66 058

65 711

114 811

57.5

57.2

-0.529

El Carmen

33 673

34 089

54 070

62.3

63.0

1.220

Flavio Alfaro

16 385

16 244

23 613

69.4

68.8

-0.868

Jipijapa

48 970

49 453

69 177

70.8

71.5

0.976

Junin

11 177

11 102

18 243

61.3

60.9

-0.668

Manta

47 021

49 856

132 816

35.4

37.5

5.687

Montecristi

19 008

19 801

29 636

64.1

66.8

4.006

Pajan

34 159

34 311

42 446

80.5

80.8

0.444

Pichincha

21 760

21 474

28 827

75.5

74.5

-1.334

Rocafuerte

16 489

16 615

26 021

63.4

63.9

0.759

Santa Ana

32 976

32 592

49 164

67.1

66.3

-1.177

Sucre

35 410

36 532

65 322

54.2

55.9

3.071

Tosagua

20 935

20 891

31 778

65.9

65.7

-0.212

24 De Mayo

23 902

23 969

34 026

70.2

70.4

0.279

Pedernales

22 811

22 643

30 677

74.4

73.8

-0.739

Olmedo

7 402

7 365

10 166

72.8

72.4

-0.505

Puerto Lopez

10 599

10 782

13 630

77.8

79.1

1.698

Jama

7 404

7 376

10 039

73.8

73.5

-0.380

Jaramijo

5 421

5 651

8 024

67.6

70.4

4.077

Morona

13 194

13 219

20 562

64.2

64.3

0.191

Gualaquiza

8 254

8 039

12 518

65.9

64.2

-2.679

Limon

5 995

5 949

8 813

68.0

67.5

-0.770

Palanda

3 848

3 764

5 525

69.7

68.1

-2.232

Santiago

6 006

5 906

8 319

72.2

71.0

-1.685

Sucua

7 231

7 033

10 996

65.8

64.0

-2.817

Huamboya

2 976

2 949

3 922

75.9

75.2

-0.916

San Juan Bosco

2 336

2 316

3 249

71.9

71.3

-0.859

Taisha

5 664

5 673

6 666

85.0

85.1

0.146

Logroño

3 150

3 114

3 646

86.4

85.4

-1.143

Tena

22 397

22 365

33 337

67.2

67.1

-0.144

Archidona

11 194

11 027

13 650

82.0

80.8

-1.509

El Chaco

3 077

2 992

4 445

69.2

67.3

-2.863

Quijos

2 329

2 251

3 847

60.5

58.5

-3.464

Carlos Julio Arosemena Tola

1 437

1 428

2 037

70.5

70.1

-0.598

Pastaza

12 989

13 336

29 780

43.6

44.8

2.603

Mera

3 427

3 310

5 947

57.6

55.7

-3.557

Santa Clara

1 631

1 620

2 233

73.0

72.5

-0.712

Arajuno

3 180

3 183

3 594

88.5

88.6

0.085

Quito

104 404

148 638

1 371 461

7.6

10.8

29.760

Cayambe

24 991

24 546

46 938

53.2

52.3

-1.810

Mejia

22 188

21 238

46 687

47.5

45.5

-4.474

Pedro Moncayo

7 377

7 047

15 718

46.9

44.8

-4.686

Rumiñahui

10 016

10 715

46 215

21.7

23.2

6.529

Sto Domingo De Los Colorados

70 145

69 634

190 825

36.8

36.5

-0.734

San Miguel De Los Bancos

10 449

10 442

16 928

61.7

61.7

-0.062

Pedro Vicente Maldonado

4 669

4 511

7 681

60.8

58.7

-3.494

Puerto Quito

10 086

9 351

13 775

73.2

67.9

-7.860

Ambato

78 805

80 133

227 790

34.6

35.2

1.657

Baños

6 978

7 027

15 416

45.3

45.6

0.693

Cevallos

3 452

3 317

5 964

57.9

55.6

-4.074

Mocha

4 329

4 212

6 368

68.0

66.2

-2.776

Patate

5 932

5 756

10 292

57.6

55.9

-3.072

Quero

11 086

10 812

15 997

69.3

67.6

-2.531

Pelileo

21 374

20 768

37 619

56.8

55.2

-2.918

Pillaro

19 129

18 835

33 369

57.3

56.4

-1.562

Tisaleo

6 599

6 452

9 165

72.0

70.4

-2.270

Zamora

12 552

12 547

21 743

57.7

57.7

-0.040

Chinchipe

5 243

5 218

6 989

75.0

74.7

-0.483

Nangaritza

3 137

3 111

4 316

72.7

72.1

-0.827

Yacuambi

2 751

2 766

3 448

79.8

80.2

0.542

Yantzaza

7 775

7 669

11 856

65.6

64.7

-1.385

El Pangui

4 295

4 274

6 054

70.9

70.6

-0.509

Centinela Del Condor

4 504

4 450

6 331

71.1

70.3

-1.199

Palanda

4 513

4 483

5 430

83.1

82.6

-0.669

Lago Agrio

28 186

28 314

38 753

72.7

73.1

0.451

Gonzalo Pizarro

3 290

3 206

4 472

73.6

71.7

-2.615

Putumayo

4 145

4 122

4 794

86.5

86.0

-0.548

Shushufindi

14 736

14 462

18 977

77.7

76.2

-1.899

Sucumbios

2 090

2 049

2 441

85.6

84.0

-2.004

Cascales

3 719

3 644

5 014

74.2

72.7

-2.067

Cuyabeno

2 121

2 098

2 501

84.8

83.9

-1.061

Orellana

12 626

12 836

19 174

65.8

66.9

1.639

Aguarico

2 733

2 738

3 150

86.8

86.9

0.196

La Joya De Los Sachas

12 571

12 458

16 193

77.6

76.9

-0.911

Loreto

6 915

6 897

7 811

88.5

88.3

-0.251

Total

4 372 957

4 619 221

9 573 184

45.6

48.2

5.394

Figure A.1. Comparison between probit method and spatial probit at county level, total sample


Previous Page Top of Page Next Page